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Gateshead crestGateshead
v
Worthing crestWorthing

National League | Sat 03 Oct, 15:00

Gateshead v Worthing Stats

Data last updated: Fri 02 Oct 2026, 10:39 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Gateshead and Worthing meet in a National League clash where Worthing holds a clear advantage in recent form and league standing. Worthing sits comfortably in 8th place with 18 points, showcasing a more potent attack and tighter defense, while Gateshead struggles near the bottom with only 4 points and a leaky defense conceding over three goals per game. Worthing's consistent scoring and Gateshead's defensive vulnerabilities set the stage for an open game with both sides likely to find the net, despite Gateshead's current scoring struggles.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Worthing averages 1.8 goals per game and concedes just 1 goal on average, indicating solid attacking and defensive balance.
  • Gateshead concedes 3.2 goals per game but scores only 0.2, showing defensive frailty but limited scoring threat.
  • Worthing has an 80% BTTS rate, suggesting they frequently see both teams scoring in their matches.
  • Gateshead's BTTS rate is low at 20%, but Worthing's attacking consistency may overcome this in the fixture.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies a 66.7% chance for both teams to score, driven by Worthing's strong attacking form and Gateshead's defensive weaknesses. Worthing's high BTTS rate and Gateshead's tendency to concede heavily create a favorable environment for goals at both ends. Although Gateshead's scoring is limited, Worthing's offensive pressure and consistent goal threat support the likelihood of both teams finding the net. Data quality is solid for both teams, reinforcing in this BTTS selection.

Worthing's BTTS rate80%
Strong positive
Gateshead's goals conceded per game3.2
Strong positive
Gateshead's goals scored per game0.2
Negative
Worthing's goals scored per game1.8
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both teams to score is a sensible call given Worthing's strong attacking form and Gateshead's defensive struggles. Worthing's ability to score consistently combined with Gateshead's tendency to concede heavily suggests an open game where both sides can find the net. This bet balances tactical and statistical evidence effectively.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · BTTS rationale

“Worthing's offensive consistency paired with Gateshead's defensive vulnerabilities creates a compelling case for both teams scoring. While Gateshead's scoring is limited, Worthing's pressure should unlock at least one goal, making BTTS a logical choice.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Worthing averages 1.8 goals per game and concedes just 1 goal on average, indicating solid attacking and defensive balance.

Gateshead concedes 3.2 goals per game but scores only 0.2, showing defensive frailty but limited scoring threat.

Worthing has an 80% BTTS rate, suggesting they frequently see both teams scoring in their matches.

Gateshead's BTTS rate is low at 20%, but Worthing's attacking consistency may overcome this in the fixture.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last ten matches, both teams have a 60% rate of games finishing over 2.5 goals, suggesting a tendency for open, high-scoring encounters.
  • Worthing's balanced attack and Gateshead's defensive frailty contribute to this trend.
  • The tempo and chance creation in recent games support an expectation of multiple goals, reinforcing the BTTS and Over 2.5 goals betting angles for this match.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Gateshead0.2
Avg goals scored
Worthing1.8
Gateshead3.2
Avg goals conceded
Worthing1
Gateshead20%
BTTS rate
Worthing80%
Gateshead60%
Over 2.5 goals
Worthing60%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 57% · edge +9.6 pts
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
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Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 44%
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 60%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 42%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 37%
2
Check odds @ 2
Worthing's matches show a high frequency of both teams scoring, with an 80% BTTS rate, reflecting their balanced attack and defense. Gateshead's low scoring rate contrasts with their high goals conceded, suggesting they often concede but less frequently score. This dynamic supports a game where Worthing scores and Gateshead manages to breach Worthing's defense at least once, fitting the BTTS profile.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 57% · edge +9.6 pts
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
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Gateshead Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 41%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
Worthing to WinBetMGM guide price · model 70%
1.42
Check odds @ 1.42
Worthing Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Gateshead to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 60%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
DrawBetfred guide price · model 18%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
The 66.7% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 57.1% implied by the current price (+9.6 pts). Gateshead show a 20% BTTS rate and Worthing show a 80% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Gateshead

LLLLL
Last 50W 0D 5L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 1D 8L
29 Sep 2026H Altrincham0-1
26 Sep 2026A Wealdstone0-4
19 Sep 2026H Southend1-6
16 Sep 2026A Kidderminster Harriers0-1
12 Sep 2026A Forest Green0-4

Worthing

DWWWD
Last 53W 2D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 3D 3L
29 Sep 2026A Yeovil Town1-1
26 Sep 2026H FC Halifax Town2-1
19 Sep 2026A Hartlepool3-1
15 Sep 2026H AFC Hornchurch1-0
12 Sep 2026H Barrow2-2
Best odds for this sectionGateshead Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 41% vs implied 26% · edge +15 pts
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
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Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 48%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 84%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
Worthing to WinBetMGM guide price · model 70%
1.42
Check odds @ 1.42
Worthing Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Gateshead to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
DrawBetfred guide price · model 18%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Worthing's recent form is strong, accumulating 11 points with an average of 1.8 goals scored and only 1 conceded per game, indicating both attacking efficiency and defensive solidity. Gateshead's form is poor with no points and just 0.2 goals scored per game, while conceding 3.2 goals, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities and scoring struggles. This contrast suggests Worthing will press forward confidently, increasing chances for both teams to score.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Gateshead Over 2.5
60%Worthing Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Over the last ten matches, both teams have a 60% rate of games finishing over 2.5 goals, suggesting a tendency for open, high-scoring encounters. Worthing's balanced attack and Gateshead's defensive frailty contribute to this trend. The tempo and chance creation in recent games support an expectation of multiple goals, reinforcing the BTTS and Over 2.5 goals betting angles for this match.

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