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Airdrie United crestAirdrie United
v
Montrose crestMontrose

League One | Sat 03 Oct, 15:00

Airdrie United v Montrose Stats

Data last updated: Fri 02 Oct 2026, 10:40 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Airdrie United host Montrose in a League One clash where goal-scoring potential is high. Montrose have been prolific recently, averaging 2.4 goals per game and boasting a perfect 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate this season. Airdrie United, while less prolific, still contribute to open games with a 60% Over 2.5 rate and a tendency to concede 1.2 goals per match. Montrose's strong defensive record, conceding only 0.6 goals per game, contrasts with Airdrie's more porous defense, setting the stage for a lively encounter with multiple goal opportunities.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • Montrose have a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate this season, indicating consistent high-scoring games.
  • Airdrie United's matches see Over 2.5 Goals 60% of the time, supporting an open game scenario.
  • Head-to-head meetings average 4.6 goals per game, highlighting a history of goal-rich encounters.
  • Montrose average 2.4 goals scored per match, showing strong attacking form.
  • Airdrie United concede 1.2 goals per game, suggesting defensive vulnerabilities to exploit.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 77.7% chance for Over 2.5 Goals, reflecting strong attacking trends and historical data. Montrose's perfect Over 2.5 record and high scoring average combine with Airdrie United's moderate scoring and defensive concessions to create a favorable environment for multiple goals. The head-to-head average of 4.6 goals further reinforces the likelihood of a high-scoring match. Data quality is solid, with no limitations affecting in these trends.

Montrose Over 2.5 Rate100%
Strong positive
Airdrie United Over 2.5 Rate60%
Positive
Head-to-Head Average Goals4.6 per match
Strong positive
Montrose Goals For per Match2.4
Strong positive
Airdrie United Goals Against per Match1.2
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open and attacking game with Montrose's strong offensive form likely to challenge Airdrie United's defense. The high average goals in their meetings and Montrose's perfect Over 2.5 record this season suggest multiple goals are probable, making Over 2.5 Goals a compelling choice.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Goal-scoring potential

“Montrose's attacking prowess combined with Airdrie United's defensive lapses sets the stage for a high-scoring encounter. The historical goal averages and current form strongly favor Over 2.5 Goals in this fixture.”

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

Montrose have a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate this season, indicating consistent high-scoring games.

Airdrie United's matches see Over 2.5 Goals 60% of the time, supporting an open game scenario.

Head-to-head meetings average 4.6 goals per game, highlighting a history of goal-rich encounters.

Montrose average 2.4 goals scored per match, showing strong attacking form.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • Over the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals tally is 4.6, indicating a history of high-scoring games.
  • This trend, combined with current season data, suggests a fast tempo and open play conducive to Over 2.5 Goals.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Airdrie United1
Avg goals scored
Montrose2.4
Airdrie United1.2
Avg goals conceded
Montrose0.6
Airdrie United60%
BTTS rate
Montrose60%
Airdrie United60%
Over 2.5 goals
Montrose100%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 73% vs implied 58% · edge +15 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
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Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 88%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 70%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 51%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 34%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 26%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
Goal and BTTS trends support a high-scoring match. Montrose's perfect Over 2.5 record and Airdrie United's 60% rate show both teams contribute to open games. The 4.6 average goals in head-to-head matches further underline the attacking nature of this fixture.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 73% vs implied 58% · edge +15 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 70%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Montrose Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 54%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Montrose to WinBetMGM guide price · model 43%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
DrawBet365 guide price · model 18%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Airdrie United Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
The 72.8% for Over 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 57.8% implied by the current price (+15 pts). The Over 2.5 trend is 60% for Airdrie United and 100% for Montrose, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Airdrie United

WWLDL
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 3D 3L
19 Sep 2026A Peterhead2-1
12 Sep 2026H Alloa Athletic1-0
05 Sep 2026A Queen of the South1-2
29 Aug 2026H East Fife0-0
22 Aug 2026H Ross County1-3

Montrose

WWWWW
Last 55W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 0D 3L
19 Sep 2026A East Fife2-1
12 Sep 2026H Cove Rangers2-1
05 Sep 2026A Peterhead3-0
29 Aug 2026H Queen of the South2-1
22 Aug 2026H East Kilbride3-0
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +15 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Load more odds for this section
Montrose Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 54%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Montrose to WinBetMGM guide price · model 43%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
DrawBet365 guide price · model 18%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Airdrie United Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Home / DrawBetUK guide price · model 48%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Airdrie United to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Recent form highlights Montrose's offensive efficiency with 15 points and 2.4 goals per game, contrasting with Airdrie United's 7 points and 1 goal per game. Both teams' Over 2.5 rates (100% and 60%) indicate a trend towards matches with multiple goals, supporting the pick.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Airdrie United Over 2.5
100%Montrose Over 2.5
4.6H2H avg goals
Over the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals tally is 4.6, indicating a history of high-scoring games. This trend, combined with current season data, suggests a fast tempo and open play conducive to Over 2.5 Goals.

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