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FYR Macedonia crestFYR Macedonia
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Scotland crestScotland

UEFA Nations League | Sat 03 Oct, 19:45

FYR Macedonia v Scotland Stats

Data last updated: Fri 02 Oct 2026, 10:42 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

FYR Macedonia hosts Scotland in a UEFA Nations League clash where both teams have shown defensive solidity recently. Scotland's recent matches have been low-scoring affairs, while FYR Macedonia has struggled to find the net, suggesting a cautious tactical approach from both sides. The fixture carries importance for group standings, with both teams aiming to avoid defeat. Given the defensive discipline and recent form, a tight game with limited goal-scoring opportunities is anticipated, increasing the likelihood of a match where both teams do not score.

BT4Y best bet

BTTS No

  • FYR Macedonia has a 0% BTTS rate in recent matches, indicating strong defensive resilience or limited attacking threat.
  • Scotland also shows a 0% BTTS rate, reflecting a tendency for matches with one or no goals.
  • Average shots on target per game are low for FYR Macedonia (0.5) compared to Scotland (2.5), suggesting limited clear chances.
  • Both teams have a 50% rate for Over 2.5 goals, but recent form and defensive stats favor fewer goals and BTTS No.
  • No previous head-to-head meetings add uncertainty, but current defensive trends support a low-scoring match.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors BTTS No with a 68% chance, supported by both teams' recent defensive performances and low goal threat. FYR Macedonia's zero BTTS rate and Scotland's similar trend indicate matches often end with one or no team scoring. Shot data shows limited attacking penetration from FYR Macedonia, while Scotland's moderate shot volume has not translated into both teams scoring. This defensive solidity and cautious play style make BTTS No a logical choice. No price warnings apply, and data quality is solid for both teams.

Model BTTS No Chance68%
Strong positive
FYR Macedonia BTTS Rate0% recent matches
Strong positive
Scotland BTTS Rate0% recent matches
Strong positive
Shots on Target FYR Macedonia0.5 per game
Positive
Shots on Target Scotland2.5 per game
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BTTS No is a sensible pick given the defensive focus from both FYR Macedonia and Scotland. Scotland's recent form shows limited goal concessions and a tendency for low-scoring matches, while FYR Macedonia's attack has struggled to break through. This tactical setup and recent data suggest a match where both teams are unlikely to score.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · BTTS No rationale

“The defensive discipline and low attacking threat from both sides make BTTS No a compelling angle here, especially with no prior meetings to suggest otherwise.”

Key Data Signals

BTTS No evidence

FYR Macedonia has a 0% BTTS rate in recent matches, indicating strong defensive resilience or limited attacking threat.

Scotland also shows a 0% BTTS rate, reflecting a tendency for matches with one or no goals.

Average shots on target per game are low for FYR Macedonia (0.5) compared to Scotland (2.5), suggesting limited clear chances.

What To Watch In The Data

BTTS No notes

  • Over the last five matches for both teams, the Over 2.5 goals rate stands at 50%, but the average goals scored and conceded suggest a balanced tempo with defensive control.
  • The trend points to a match where goals are possible but not guaranteed, aligning with a cautious BTTS No outlook.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

FYR Macedonia0
Avg goals scored
Scotland0
FYR Macedonia2.5
Avg goals conceded
Scotland1.5
FYR Macedonia0%
BTTS rate
Scotland0%
FYR Macedonia50%
Over 2.5 goals
Scotland50%

No priced odds are available for this section yet.

Check odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionDrawBetMGM guide price · Model 22% vs implied 33% · edge -11.8 pts
3
Check odds @ 3
Load more odds for this section
Scotland to WinBet365 guide price · model 42%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
FYR Macedonia to WinBet365 guide price · model 37%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
The 48.3% for BTTS No sits against roughly 33.3% implied by the current price (+15 pts). FYR Macedonia show a 0% BTTS rate and Scotland show a 0% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

FYR Macedonia

LL
Last 50W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 2L
29 Sep 2026A Slovenia0-2
26 Sep 2026H Switzerland0-3

Scotland

LD
Last 50W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 1D 1L
29 Sep 2026H Switzerland0-3
26 Sep 2026A Slovenia0-0
Best odds for this sectionDrawBetMGM guide price · Model 22% vs implied 33% · edge -11.8 pts
3
Check odds @ 3
Load more odds for this section
Scotland to WinBet365 guide price · model 42%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
FYR Macedonia to WinBet365 guide price · model 37%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Recent form data shows both teams have not allowed both sides to score in their last matches, with FYR Macedonia conceding 2.5 goals on average but scoring none, and Scotland conceding 1.5 goals with no goals scored themselves. This defensive solidity and low scoring output support the BTTS No selection.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

50%FYR Macedonia Over 2.5
50%Scotland Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Over the last five matches for both teams, the Over 2.5 goals rate stands at 50%, but the average goals scored and conceded suggest a balanced tempo with defensive control. The trend points to a match where goals are possible but not guaranteed, aligning with a cautious BTTS No outlook.

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