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Stranraer crestStranraer
v
Edinburgh City crestEdinburgh City

League Two | Sat 03 Oct, 15:00

Stranraer v Edinburgh City Stats

Data last updated: Fri 02 Oct 2026, 10:42 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Stranraer and Edinburgh City face off in a League Two clash where both teams have shown offensive intent this season. Stranraer sits second in the standings with a strong defensive record, conceding just 0.8 goals per game, while Edinburgh City, ranked sixth, has been more vulnerable at the back, allowing 1.6 goals per match. Both sides have demonstrated a willingness to attack, with Stranraer scoring 3 goals per game and Edinburgh City averaging 2.8. This fixture promises an open contest with both teams likely to find the net given their recent scoring and conceding patterns.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Stranraer concedes only 0.8 goals per game but scores 3, indicating attacking strength with some defensive solidity.
  • Edinburgh City concedes 1.6 goals per game and scores 2.8, showing offensive capability but defensive vulnerability.
  • Stranraer has a 60% BTTS rate this season, while Edinburgh City’s BTTS rate is 80%, suggesting both teams often score and concede.
  • The model estimates a 76% chance of both teams scoring, with a positive of 16.1%.
  • Recent form and league positions support an open game with goals at both ends likely.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Both Teams to Score due to strong attacking outputs from both sides combined with defensive records that allow goals. Stranraer’s solid scoring and Edinburgh City’s higher concession rate create a scenario where both teams are likely to score. The BTTS rates of 60% and 80% respectively reinforce this, alongside a 2.2 average goals per game in their recent head-to-head matches. The current reflect good value given the model’s 76% probability, making this a compelling selection for goal watchers.

Stranraer BTTS Rate60%
Positive
Edinburgh City BTTS Rate80%
Strong positive
Model Probability74.9% model chance vs 59.9% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Implied Market Chance74.9% model chance vs 59.9% implied (+15 pts)
Positive
Head-to-Head Average Goals2.2 per game
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both Teams to Score is a logical pick given Stranraer’s attacking potency and Edinburgh City’s tendency to concede. The data shows both sides regularly find the net, and their contrasting defensive profiles suggest an open game. Tactical approaches and recent form data support the likelihood of goals at both ends, making this a solid betting angle for this League Two fixture.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score

“This fixture features two teams with contrasting defensive records but strong attacking intent, making Both Teams to Score a natural outcome. Stranraer’s disciplined defense meets Edinburgh City’s more open style, setting the stage for goals from both sides.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Stranraer concedes only 0.8 goals per game but scores 3, indicating attacking strength with some defensive solidity.

Edinburgh City concedes 1.6 goals per game and scores 2.8, showing offensive capability but defensive vulnerability.

Stranraer has a 60% BTTS rate this season, while Edinburgh City’s BTTS rate is 80%, suggesting both teams often score and concede.

The model estimates a 76% chance of both teams scoring, with a positive of 16.1%.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last ten meetings, the average goals per game stand at 2.2, indicating moderately high-scoring encounters.
  • Both teams have shown a propensity for matches exceeding 2.5 goals recently, with Stranraer’s 80% over 2.5 rate and Edinburgh City’s 60%, suggesting a trend toward open, goal-rich games in this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Stranraer3
Avg goals scored
Edinburgh City2.8
Stranraer0.8
Avg goals conceded
Edinburgh City1.6
Stranraer60%
BTTS rate
Edinburgh City80%
Stranraer80%
Over 2.5 goals
Edinburgh City60%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +15 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
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Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 81%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 63%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 45%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 41%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Both teams have shown consistent scoring ability this season, with Stranraer averaging 3 goals per game and Edinburgh City 2.8. Their BTTS rates of 60% and 80% respectively highlight frequent mutual scoring. The average of 2.2 goals in their last 10 meetings further supports an open game with goals expected at both ends.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +15 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
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Stranraer to WinBetMGM guide price · model 61%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Stranraer Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 70%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 63%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Edinburgh City Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 42%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
DrawBet365 guide price · model 24%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
The 74.9% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 59.9% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Stranraer show a 60% BTTS rate and Edinburgh City show a 80% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Stranraer

WWWWD
Last 54W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 1D 2L
19 Sep 2026A Elgin City5-1
12 Sep 2026H Dumbarton3-1
05 Sep 2026A Forfar Athletic3-0
29 Aug 2026H Kelty Hearts2-0
22 Aug 2026A Stirling Albion2-2

Edinburgh City

WWLDW
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 2D 2L
19 Sep 2026A Kelty Hearts3-1
12 Sep 2026H Stirling Albion7-3
05 Sep 2026A Clyde2-3
28 Aug 2026H Forfar Athletic1-1
22 Aug 2026H Annan Athletic1-0
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 86% vs implied 82% · edge +3.5 pts
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
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Stranraer to WinBetMGM guide price · model 61%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Stranraer Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 70%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Edinburgh City Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 42%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 47%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
DrawBet365 guide price · model 24%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Edinburgh City to WinBetUK guide price · model 23%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Recent form data shows Stranraer with 13 points and Edinburgh City with 10 points from their last matches, reflecting competitive momentum. Stranraer’s strong defense contrasts with Edinburgh City’s more porous backline, but both maintain solid scoring rates, reinforcing the likelihood of goals from both teams in this encounter.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Stranraer Over 2.5
60%Edinburgh City Over 2.5
2.2H2H avg goals
Over the last ten meetings, the average goals per game stand at 2.2, indicating moderately high-scoring encounters. Both teams have shown a propensity for matches exceeding 2.5 goals recently, with Stranraer’s 80% over 2.5 rate and Edinburgh City’s 60%, suggesting a trend toward open, goal-rich games in this fixture.

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