Football Stats Hub

Livorno crestLivorno
v
Pescara crestPescara

Serie C - Girone B | Sat 03 Oct, 16:30

Livorno v Pescara Stats

Data last updated: Fri 02 Oct 2026, 10:42 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Livorno hosts Pescara in a Serie C - Girone B clash where Livorno's recent momentum and home advantage set the tone. Livorno sits fifth with 14 points, showing stronger form and attacking output compared to twelfth-placed Pescara, who have struggled to convert chances. Both teams have similar over 2.5 goal rates, but Livorno's ability to score and defend at a higher level suggests they will control the match tempo. Tactical discipline and home support make Livorno the likely side to secure all three points in this competitive fixture.

BT4Y best bet

Livorno to Win

  • Livorno holds a clear form advantage with 10 points recently versus Pescara's 5.
  • Livorno averages 1.6 goals per game, double Pescara's 0.8, indicating stronger attacking potency.
  • Both teams have a 60% BTTS rate, suggesting openness but Livorno's defense is slightly more vulnerable.
  • Livorno ranks 5th in the league, reflecting better overall consistency and squad strength.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Livorno to win with a 68% chance, reflecting their superior recent form, higher goal-scoring rate, and stronger league position. The of 2.45 offer positive value given the implied chance is only 40.8%. Livorno's home advantage and ability to score more goals per match underpin this . No data limitations affect the assessment, making this a solid selection with a clear statistical and tactical foundation.

Recent form advantageLivorno 10 points vs Pescara 5
Strong positive
Goal scoring rateLivorno 1.6 goals per game
Strong positive
League standingLivorno 5th vs Pescara 12th
Positive
Price value edge55.8% model chance vs 40.8% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Livorno's superior form and attacking efficiency make them the clear pick to win this fixture. Their higher league standing and recent points accumulation demonstrate consistency, while Pescara's struggles to score limit their threat. This combination strongly favors a home victory in this Serie C encounter.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“Livorno's blend of home advantage and offensive output creates a compelling case for victory, especially against a Pescara side that has shown limited scoring threat and inconsistent form.”

Key Data Signals

Livorno to Win evidence

Livorno holds a clear form advantage with 10 points recently versus Pescara's 5.

Livorno averages 1.6 goals per game, double Pescara's 0.8, indicating stronger attacking potency.

Both teams have a 60% BTTS rate, suggesting openness but Livorno's defense is slightly more vulnerable.

Livorno ranks 5th in the league, reflecting better overall consistency and squad strength.

What To Watch In The Data

Livorno to Win notes

  • The last four head-to-head meetings average 1.5 goals per game, suggesting relatively low-scoring encounters.
  • Both teams' over 2.5 goal rates at 40% indicate moderate scoring frequency.
  • This trend suggests a match with controlled tempo and chances, where Livorno's superior attack could tip the balance towards a winning margin.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Livorno1.6
Avg goals scored
Pescara0.8
Livorno1.4
Avg goals conceded
Pescara1
Livorno60%
BTTS rate
Pescara60%
Livorno40%
Over 2.5 goals
Pescara40%
Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 70%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 34%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 57%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 39%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 22%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Both teams have a 60% BTTS rate, indicating frequent goals at both ends. Livorno's higher scoring average (1.6) versus Pescara's (0.8) suggests Livorno will likely find the net, while Pescara's defense concedes enough to keep BTTS plausible. The balanced over 2.5 goal rate (40%) hints at a moderately open game with goal opportunities.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Livorno

WDWLW
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 2D 1L
26 Sep 2026H Pianese3-2
21 Sep 2026A Guidonia Montecelio 19371-1
16 Sep 2026H Vado3-2
12 Sep 2026A Spezia0-2
06 Sep 2026H Atalanta II1-0

Pescara

LWDLD
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 2D 3L
27 Sep 2026H Spezia1-2
20 Sep 2026A Vado1-0
16 Sep 2026H Gubbio1-1
12 Sep 2026A Atalanta II1-2
06 Sep 2026H Ravenna0-0
Market aligned with main pickLivorno to WinBetfred guide price · Model 56% vs implied 41% · edge +15 pts
2.45
Check odds @ 2.45
Load more odds for this section
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 84%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Livorno Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.92
Check odds @ 1.92
Livorno's recent form is notably stronger, accumulating 10 points compared to Pescara's 5. This reflects better attacking efficiency and defensive resilience, enabling Livorno to control matches more effectively. Pescara's struggles to secure points highlight inconsistency and potential tactical vulnerabilities against a confident Livorno side.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

player stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickLivorno to WinBetfred guide price · Model 56% vs implied 41% · edge +15 pts
2.45
Check odds @ 2.45
Load more odds for this section
Livorno Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.92
Check odds @ 1.92
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 70%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 39%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
The 55.8% for Livorno to Win sits against roughly 40.8% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Livorno have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 5 for Pescara.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Livorno Over 2.5
40%Pescara Over 2.5
1.5H2H avg goals
The last four head-to-head meetings average 1.5 goals per game, suggesting relatively low-scoring encounters. Both teams' over 2.5 goal rates at 40% indicate moderate scoring frequency. This trend suggests a match with controlled tempo and chances, where Livorno's superior attack could tip the balance towards a winning margin.

Loading deeper match data…