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Queen of the South crestQueen of the South
v
Cove Rangers crestCove Rangers

League One | Sat 03 Oct, 15:00

Queen of the South v Cove Rangers Stats

Data last updated: Fri 02 Oct 2026, 10:40 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Queen of the South and Cove Rangers meet in a League One clash where both sides have shown mixed defensive records this season. Queen of the South have conceded over three goals per game on average, while Cove Rangers have a tighter defense but still concede regularly. Both teams have struggled to score consistently, with just one goal each in recent matches, but their games often feature goals at both ends. This fixture promises an open contest with attacking intent from both sides, making goal-scoring opportunities likely for each team.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Queen of the South concede 3.2 goals per game, indicating defensive vulnerabilities.
  • Cove Rangers concede 1.2 goals per game but have scored only once recently, suggesting attacking challenges.
  • Both teams have a combined BTTS rate of 60%, with Queen of the South at 80% and Cove Rangers at 40%.
  • Recent form shows both teams earning 4 points, reflecting competitive but inconsistent performances.
  • H2H average goals stand at 2.1 per game over the last 10 meetings, supporting a goal-scoring pattern.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 73.3% chance for both teams to score, reflecting the defensive weaknesses and attacking opportunities on both sides. Queen of the South's high goals conceded rate and Cove Rangers' tendency to concede despite a solid defense create a scenario where both teams find the net. The of 1.67 offer positive value with a 13.4% edge, making this a compelling pick based on statistical trends and recent match data. No warnings on price sensitivity are present, supporting a standard stake approach.

Queen of the South Defensive Record3.2 goals conceded per game
Strong positive
Cove Rangers Defensive Record1.2 goals conceded per game
Positive
BTTS RatesQueen of the South 80%, Cove Rangers 40%
Positive
Model Probability73.3% model chance vs 59.9% implied (+13.4 pts)
Strong positive
Value Edge73.3% model chance vs 59.9% implied (+13.4 pts)
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both teams have shown defensive frailties and the capacity to score, making both teams to score a logical choice. Queen of the South's porous defense combined with Cove Rangers' attacking efforts suggests goals at both ends. The data supports a lively match with scoring chances for each side, aligning well with the BTTS pick.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · BTTS pick rationale

“The defensive records and recent scoring patterns indicate that both Queen of the South and Cove Rangers are likely to find the net, making BTTS a strong tactical and statistical call for this fixture.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Queen of the South concede 3.2 goals per game, indicating defensive vulnerabilities.

Cove Rangers concede 1.2 goals per game but have scored only once recently, suggesting attacking challenges.

Both teams have a combined BTTS rate of 60%, with Queen of the South at 80% and Cove Rangers at 40%.

Recent form shows both teams earning 4 points, reflecting competitive but inconsistent performances.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last 10 meetings, the average goals per game is 2.1, indicating a moderate scoring trend.
  • Queen of the South's 80% over 2.5 goals rate contrasts with Cove Rangers' 40%, suggesting a tempo that can produce multiple goals, supporting the likelihood of an open, goal-filled match.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Queen of the South1
Avg goals scored
Cove Rangers1
Queen of the South3.2
Avg goals conceded
Cove Rangers1.2
Queen of the South80%
BTTS rate
Cove Rangers40%
Queen of the South80%
Over 2.5 goals
Cove Rangers40%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 73% vs implied 60% · edge +13.4 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
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Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 52%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 71%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 35%
3
Check odds @ 3
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 31%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Queen of the South's high goals conceded average and Cove Rangers' moderate concession rate create a fertile environment for goals. The BTTS rates of 80% and 40% respectively, combined with an H2H average of 2.1 goals per game, underline the potential for both teams to score in this match.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 73% vs implied 60% · edge +13.4 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
Cove Rangers Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 61%
1.92
Check odds @ 1.92
Cove Rangers to WinBet365 guide price · model 51%
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
DrawBet365 guide price · model 27%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Queen of the South Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.88
Check odds @ 1.88
The 73.3% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 59.9% implied by the current price (+13.4 pts). Queen of the South show a 80% BTTS rate and Cove Rangers show a 40% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

League One fixtures and predictionsplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Queen of the South

LLDWL
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 1D 6L
19 Sep 2026A Hamilton Academical1-4
15 Sep 2026A Ross County0-8
12 Sep 2026H East Fife1-1
05 Sep 2026H Airdrie United2-1
29 Aug 2026A Montrose1-2

Cove Rangers

LLDLW
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 2D 5L
19 Sep 2026H Ross County0-2
12 Sep 2026A Montrose1-2
05 Sep 2026H Alloa Athletic1-1
29 Aug 2026A Hamilton Academical0-1
22 Aug 2026H Peterhead3-0
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 78% vs implied 67% · edge +11.3 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Load more odds for this section
Cove Rangers Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 61%
1.92
Check odds @ 1.92
Cove Rangers to WinBet365 guide price · model 51%
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 60%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
DrawBet365 guide price · model 27%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Queen of the South Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.88
Check odds @ 1.88
Queen of the South to WinBetMGM guide price · model 33%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Both teams have earned 4 points recently but have struggled to convert chances into goals, each scoring just once. Queen of the South's defensive frailty contrasts with Cove Rangers' more solid but still vulnerable backline, supporting a scenario where both sides can score despite inconsistent form.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Queen of the South Over 2.5
40%Cove Rangers Over 2.5
2.1H2H avg goals
Over the last 10 meetings, the average goals per game is 2.1, indicating a moderate scoring trend. Queen of the South's 80% over 2.5 goals rate contrasts with Cove Rangers' 40%, suggesting a tempo that can produce multiple goals, supporting the likelihood of an open, goal-filled match.

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