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PRO Vercelli crestPRO Vercelli
v
Athletic Carpi crestAthletic Carpi

Serie C - Girone A | Sat 03 Oct, 19:30

PRO Vercelli v Athletic Carpi Stats

Data last updated: Fri 02 Oct 2026, 10:42 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

PRO Vercelli and Athletic Carpi meet in Serie C - Girone A with both sides showing similar recent form and offensive patterns. Each team has scored in 60% of their matches this season, reflecting a tendency for open play and goal-scoring opportunities. Both teams have conceded 1.8 goals per game on average, indicating defensive vulnerabilities that could be exploited. With both sides eager to gain ground in the league, this fixture promises attacking intent and a likelihood of goals at both ends, setting the stage for a competitive encounter under the lights on Saturday evening.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Both teams have a 60% BTTS rate this season, indicating frequent mutual scoring.
  • PRO Vercelli concedes 1.8 goals per game, showing defensive gaps.
  • Athletic Carpi has an 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate, suggesting open matches.
  • Recent form shows both teams have scored in most games, supporting BTTS.
  • The model estimates a 73.3% chance for BTTS, well above market .

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies a strong 73.3% probability for both teams to score, supported by both sides' attacking output and defensive records conceding nearly two goals per game. PRO Vercelli and Athletic Carpi each have a 60% BTTS rate this season, and Athletic Carpi's high Over 2.5 Goals rate (80%) signals open, goal-rich matches. The current imply a 57.8% chance, offering a positive of 15.5%. This combination of attacking tendencies and defensive frailties underpins the BTTS selection as a compelling football and value-based pick.

Model BTTS Probability73.3%
Strong positive
PRO Vercelli BTTS Rate60%
Positive
Athletic Carpi BTTS Rate60%
Positive
Athletic Carpi Over 2.5 Goals Rate80%
Strong positive
Market Implied Chance72.8% model chance vs 57.8% implied (+15 pts)
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both PRO Vercelli and Athletic Carpi have shown attacking intent and defensive vulnerabilities, making both teams to score a logical choice. The data highlights consistent goal-scoring from both sides, and the tactical setup suggests an open game where both teams can find the net. This bet aligns well with the match dynamics and recent scoring trends.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · BTTS rationale

“The attacking profiles and defensive lapses of PRO Vercelli and Athletic Carpi create a fertile environment for goals at both ends, making BTTS a strong tactical and statistical angle for this fixture.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Both teams have a 60% BTTS rate this season, indicating frequent mutual scoring.

PRO Vercelli concedes 1.8 goals per game, showing defensive gaps.

Athletic Carpi has an 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate, suggesting open matches.

Recent form shows both teams have scored in most games, supporting BTTS.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last five matches, Athletic Carpi has an 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate, indicating a trend towards high-scoring games.
  • PRO Vercelli's 60% rate complements this, suggesting a match tempo conducive to multiple goals.
  • These trends point to an open game with opportunities for both teams to score and for the match to exceed 2.5 goals.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

PRO Vercelli1
Avg goals scored
Athletic Carpi1.2
PRO Vercelli1.8
Avg goals conceded
Athletic Carpi1.8
PRO Vercelli60%
BTTS rate
Athletic Carpi60%
PRO Vercelli60%
Over 2.5 goals
Athletic Carpi80%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 73% vs implied 58% · edge +15 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 60%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 42%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 44%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 31%
2
Check odds @ 2
Both PRO Vercelli and Athletic Carpi have recorded a 60% BTTS rate this season, reflecting frequent mutual scoring. Athletic Carpi's 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate further supports an open game with multiple goals. The average goals per match in their single head-to-head meeting was 2, suggesting a balanced but goal-involved contest.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 73% vs implied 58% · edge +15 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 60%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Athletic Carpi Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 53%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Athletic Carpi to WinBet365 guide price · model 43%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
PRO Vercelli Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 52%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
DrawBetfred guide price · model 30%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
PRO Vercelli to WinBetfred guide price · model 42%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
The 72.8% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 57.8% implied by the current price (+15 pts). PRO Vercelli show a 60% BTTS rate and Athletic Carpi show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

PRO Vercelli

DLDLW
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 3D 3L
26 Sep 2026A Giana Erminio1-1
21 Sep 2026A Trento0-4
17 Sep 2026H Alcione2-2
13 Sep 2026A Treviso1-2
07 Sep 2026H Folgore Caratese1-0

Athletic Carpi

LDDLW
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 3D 3L
27 Sep 2026H Arzignano Valchiampo0-3
20 Sep 2026A Novara2-2
17 Sep 2026H Ospitaletto2-2
13 Sep 2026H Cittadella1-2
06 Sep 2026A Albinoleffe1-0
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 72% vs implied 62% · edge +10.3 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Load more odds for this section
Athletic Carpi Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 53%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Athletic Carpi to WinBet365 guide price · model 43%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 71%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
PRO Vercelli Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 52%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
DrawBetfred guide price · model 30%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
PRO Vercelli to WinBetfred guide price · model 42%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Recent form data shows both teams have scored in the majority of their matches, each accumulating 5 points with similar goals for and against ratios. This consistency in finding the net and conceding goals supports the likelihood of both teams scoring in this fixture, reflecting balanced offensive and defensive performances.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%PRO Vercelli Over 2.5
80%Athletic Carpi Over 2.5
2H2H avg goals
Over the last five matches, Athletic Carpi has an 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate, indicating a trend towards high-scoring games. PRO Vercelli's 60% rate complements this, suggesting a match tempo conducive to multiple goals. These trends point to an open game with opportunities for both teams to score and for the match to exceed 2.5 goals.

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