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Almeria crestAlmeria
v
Castellón crestCastellón

Segunda División | Tue 09 Jun, 20:00

Almeria v Castellón Stats

Data last updated: Thu 09 Jul 2026, 05:15 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Almeria face Castellón in Segunda División on Tue 09 Jun, 20:00. Both sides boast strong attacking output, averaging 1.8 goals per match across their respective recent league samples. Tactical preview, key players, line-ups and punchy stats.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams To Score

  • At 1/2, Both Teams To Score implies roughly 67%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 76%.
  • 🎯 Both Teams To Score - Yes Rationale
  • Almeria show a 60% BTTS rate and Castellón show a 80% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Almeria average 0.8 goals scored and Castellón average 1.2, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 76% for Both Teams To Score sits against roughly 67% implied by the current price. Almeria show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Castellón show a that shared-scoring rate rate, which is the right starting point for this market. 🎯 Both Teams To Score - Yes Rationale

Model chance vs price76% model chance against roughly 67% implied
Positive
Almeria show a 60% BTTS rate and Castellón show a.Visible data support
Positive
Almeria average 0.8 goals scored and Castellón average 1.2, so.Visible data support
Positive
🎯 Both Teams To Score - Yes RationaleArticle support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because 🎯 Both Teams To Score - Yes Rationale Almeria show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Castellón show a that shared-scoring rate rate, which is the right starting point for this market. The first leg did not separate them, but it did reveal plenty.

Main risk

The first leg did not separate them, but it did reveal plenty.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score evidence

🎯 Both Teams To Score - Yes Rationale

Almeria show a 60% BTTS rate and Castellón show a 80% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Almeria average 0.8 goals scored and Castellón average 1.2, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Almeria0.8
Avg goals scored
Castellón1.2
Almeria1.2
Avg goals conceded
Castellón0.8
Almeria60%
BTTS rate
Castellón80%
Almeria40%
Over 2.5 goals
Castellón20%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 65% · edge +10.6 pts
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
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Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 48%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 74%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 56%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 38%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 28%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38

Continue the research

Useful next reads

Almeria v Castellón predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 65% · edge +10.6 pts
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
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Castellón to WinBetMGM guide price · model 63%
2.88
Check odds @ 2.88
Castellón Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 71%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 65%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 56%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
Almeria Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 45%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
DrawBetfred guide price · model 23%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Almeria3.8
Avg corners for
Castellón7.4
Almeria9.6
Avg total corners
Castellón10.4
Almeria3.6
Avg yellow cards
Castellón1.4
Almeria17.4
Avg shots
Castellón17.8
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 59% vs implied 53% · edge +6.4 pts
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
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Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 65%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Over 5.5 CardsBet365 guide price
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Almeria

DWLLD
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 2D 3L
06 Jun 2026A Castellón1-1
31 May 2026H Valladolid1-0
24 May 2026A Sporting Gijon1-3
16 May 2026H Las Palmas1-2
09 May 2026A Burgos0-0

Castellón

DWWDD
Last 52W 3D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 4D 1L
06 Jun 2026H Almeria1-1
31 May 2026H Eibar2-1
24 May 2026A Huesca1-0
15 May 2026H Cadiz1-1
09 May 2026A AD Ceuta FC1-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 84% vs implied 64% · edge +20.3 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
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Castellón to WinBetMGM guide price · model 63%
2.88
Check odds @ 2.88
Castellón Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 71%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Almeria Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 45%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
DrawBetfred guide price · model 23%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Almeria to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

3Almeria wins
1Draws
3Castellón wins
06 Jun 2026Castellón v Almeria1-1
02 Apr 2026Castellón v Almeria2-0
26 Oct 2025Almeria v Castellón1-0
18 Apr 2025Castellón v Almeria4-1
16 Sep 2024Almeria v Castellón2-5
30 Jan 2021Almeria v Castellón3-1
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 65% · edge +10.6 pts
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Load more odds for this section
Castellón to WinBetMGM guide price · model 63%
2.88
Check odds @ 2.88
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 56%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
DrawBetfred guide price · model 23%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Almeria to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
The head-to-head sample gives context for BTTS Yes, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Segunda División

Almeria46
Played
Castellón44
Almeria1.9
Avg goals for
Castellón1.7
Almeria1.5
Avg goals against
Castellón1.3
Almeria10
Clean sheets
Castellón12
Best odds for this sectionCastellón to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 63% vs implied 35% · edge +28.1 pts
2.88
Check odds @ 2.88
Load more odds for this section
Castellón Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 71%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Almeria Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 45%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Almeria to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Season data supports Castellón to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
3Almeria74422281218
6Castellón724220121019
Almeria sit in position 3, while Castellón sit in position 6, so table pressure belongs in the Both Teams To Score assessment.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Almeria Over 2.5
20%Castellón Over 2.5
3.43H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Almeria sit at 40% and Castellón sit at 20% with the H2H average at 3.43 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Almeria v Castellón prediction

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Competition and hubs

Almeria v Castellón predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hub

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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