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West Ham crestWest Ham
v
Arsenal crestArsenal

Premier League | Sun 10 May, 16:30

West Ham v Arsenal Stats

BT4Y best bet

West Ham to Win

  • At 5.75, West Ham to Win is priced at roughly 17% implied probability. Our model has it closer to 30%, so the current line is showing a +12.2-point value edge.
  • West Ham have a recent record of 2W-1D-2L, while Arsenal come in at 3W-0D-2L across the same last-five lens.
  • The result profile supports the West Ham to Win angle: West Ham have taken 2 wins from their last 5 matches, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded.
  • The result profile supports the West Ham to Win angle: Arsenal have taken 3 wins from their last 5 matches, with BTTS landing in 40% of that sample.
  • If the bookmaker is still close to 5.75, this is the market to check first because the data and the price are both pointing in the same direction.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionAway Draw No BetBetUK guide price · Model 64% vs implied 51% · edge +13 pts
1.98
Bet HERE @ 1.98
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 62%
1.67
Bet HERE @ 1.67
Home WinBetMGM guide price · model 30%
5.75
Bet HERE @ 5.75
Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.62
Bet HERE @ 1.62
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 26%
4.2
Bet HERE @ 4.2
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.75
Bet HERE @ 1.75
Away WinBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.55
Bet HERE @ 1.55
Key match trends

A quick read of the strongest visible indicators.

60%West Ham Over 2.5
60%Arsenal Over 2.5
3.5H2H avg goals
Recent form

Results and scoring shape from recent games.

West Ham

LWDWL
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 4D 3L
02 May 2026A Brentford0-3
25 Apr 2026H Everton2-1
20 Apr 2026A Crystal Palace0-0
10 Apr 2026H Wolves4-0
22 Mar 2026A Aston Villa0-2

Arsenal

WWLLW
Last 53W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 2D 2L
02 May 2026H Fulham3-0
25 Apr 2026H Newcastle1-0
19 Apr 2026A Manchester City1-2
11 Apr 2026H Bournemouth1-2
14 Mar 2026H Everton2-0
Best odds for this sectionAway Draw No BetBetUK guide price · Model 64% vs implied 51% · edge +13 pts
1.98
Bet HERE @ 1.98
Load more odds for this section
Home WinBetMGM guide price · model 30%
5.75
Bet HERE @ 5.75
Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 80%
1.12
Bet HERE @ 1.12
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 55%
1.73
Bet HERE @ 1.73
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 26%
4.2
Bet HERE @ 4.2
Away WinBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.55
Bet HERE @ 1.55
Home Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.82
Bet HERE @ 1.82
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Goal-market data and related prices.

West Ham1.2
Avg goals scored
Arsenal1.6
West Ham1.2
Avg goals conceded
Arsenal0.8
West Ham20%
BTTS rate
Arsenal40%
West Ham60%
Over 2.5 goals
Arsenal60%
Best odds for this sectionOver 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 80% vs implied 82% · edge -2.4 pts
1.22
Bet HERE @ 1.22
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 62%
1.67
Bet HERE @ 1.67
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 54%
2
Bet HERE @ 2
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 44%
2.75
Bet HERE @ 2.75
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 42%
2.2
Bet HERE @ 2.2
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.75
Bet HERE @ 1.75
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and related markets.

3West Ham wins
1Draws
6Arsenal wins
04 Oct 2025Arsenal v West Ham2-0
22 Feb 2025Arsenal v West Ham0-1
30 Nov 2024West Ham v Arsenal2-5
11 Feb 2024West Ham v Arsenal0-6
28 Dec 2023Arsenal v West Ham0-2
01 Nov 2023West Ham v Arsenal3-1
Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 62% vs implied 60% · edge +1.7 pts
1.67
Bet HERE @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
Home WinBetMGM guide price · model 30%
5.75
Bet HERE @ 5.75
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 26%
4.2
Bet HERE @ 4.2
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.75
Bet HERE @ 1.75
Away WinBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.55
Bet HERE @ 1.55
Corners, cards and shots

Detailed stat markets where available.

West Ham5.2
Avg corners for
Arsenal6.6
West Ham8.8
Avg total corners
Arsenal10.2
West Ham2
Avg yellow cards
Arsenal1
West Ham11.8
Avg shots
Arsenal15.6
Best odds for this sectionOver 4.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · Model 51% vs implied 46% · edge +5 pts
2.2
Bet HERE @ 2.2
Load more odds for this section
Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.62
Bet HERE @ 1.62
Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
2.1
Bet HERE @ 2.1
Player stats

Player props and player-level signals.

Best player angleGabriel Jesus Anytime GoalscorerGabriel Jesus · 2 goals · 2.6 SOT/90
79/100
Bet HERE
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Gabriel Jesus 1+ Shot On TargetGabriel Jesus · 2.6 shots on target/90
84/100
Bet HERE
M. Dowman 2+ ShotsM. Dowman · 4.5 shots/90
82/100
Bet HERE
M. Ødegaard To Assist / Key Pass AngleM. Ødegaard · 5 assists · 2.72 key passes/90
73/100
Bet HERE
M. Dowman To Be FouledM. Dowman · 5.4 fouls won/90
80/100
Bet HERE
Lucas Paquetá Card RiskLucas Paquetá · 6 yellows · 1.66 fouls/90
76/100
Bet HERE
Gabriel Jesus
Gabriel JesusArsenal · Attacker
Goal threat72/100
Shots /903.12
SOT /902.6
V. Gyökeres
V. GyökeresArsenal · Attacker
Goal threat66/100
Shots /901.65
SOT /900.93
B. Saka
B. SakaArsenal · Attacker
Goal threat64/100
Shots /901.88
SOT /901.18
C. Nørgaard
C. NørgaardArsenal · Midfielder
Goal threat21/100
Shots /901.43
SOT /901.43
M. Dowman
M. DowmanArsenal · Midfielder
Goal threat51/100
Shots /904.5
SOT /900.9
V. Castellanos
V. CastellanosWest Ham · Attacker
Goal threat60/100
Shots /902.37
SOT /901.15
Lucas Paquetá
Lucas PaquetáWest Ham · Attacker
Goal threat41/100
Shots /901.01
SOT /900.65
M. Kanté
M. KantéWest Ham · Midfielder
Goal threat10/100
Shots /902.2
SOT /900
Season team stats

Premier League

West Ham35
Played
Arsenal35
West Ham1.2
Avg goals for
Arsenal1.9
West Ham1.7
Avg goals against
Arsenal0.7
West Ham6
Clean sheets
Arsenal17
Best odds for this sectionAway Draw No BetBetUK guide price · Model 64% vs implied 51% · edge +13 pts
1.98
Bet HERE @ 1.98
Load more odds for this section
Home WinBetMGM guide price · model 30%
5.75
Bet HERE @ 5.75
Away WinBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.55
Bet HERE @ 1.55
Home Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.82
Bet HERE @ 1.82
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
1Arsenal7635237541
18West Ham36359917-19

Next step

Betting context

Use the best-bet case above as the starting point, then check the live odds and the full prediction before staking.