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St Patrick's Athl. crestSt Patrick's Athl.
v
Galway United crestGalway United

Premier Division | Fri 03 Jul, 19:45

St Patrick's Athl. v Galway United Stats

Data last updated: Fri 24 Jul 2026, 21:57 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

St Patrick's Athl. face Galway United in Premier Division on Fri 03 Jul, 19:45. come in with 7 recent points and 0.8 goals per match, while Galway United have 4 points and 1.2 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Under 2.5 Goals

  • At 2.25, Under 2.5 Goals implies roughly 44%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 59%.
  • The Over 2.5 trend is 0% for St Patrick's Athl. And 60% for Galway United, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
  • Galway United are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.2 goals per match, with St Patrick's Athl.
  • BTTS rates of 0% for St Patrick's Athl. And 80% for Galway United show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 59% for Under 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 44% implied by the current price. The Over 2.5 trend is 0% for St Patrick's Athl. And 60% for Galway United, so the goals angle is not just a price call.

Model chance vs price59% model chance against roughly 44% implied
Positive
The Over 2.5 trend is 0% for St Patrick's Athl..Visible data support
Positive
Galway United are carrying more of the scoring load at.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Under 2.5 Goals is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Galway United are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.2 goals per match, with St Patrick's Athl. A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Key Data Signals

Under 2.5 Goals evidence

Galway United are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.2 goals per match, with St Patrick's Athl.

BTTS rates of 0% for St Patrick's Athl. And 80% for Galway United show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

St Patrick's Athl.0.8
Avg goals scored
Galway United1.2
St Patrick's Athl.0.6
Avg goals conceded
Galway United2
St Patrick's Athl.0%
BTTS rate
Galway United80%
St Patrick's Athl.0%
Over 2.5 goals
Galway United60%
Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 59% vs implied 44% · edge +14.9 pts
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 47%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 63%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 27%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionGalway United Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 39% vs implied 24% · edge +15 pts
4.15
Check odds @ 4.15
Load more odds for this section
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Galway United to WinBetMGM guide price · model 24%
6.25
Check odds @ 6.25
St Patrick's Athl. Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 68%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
DrawBetfred guide price · model 25%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
St Patrick's Athl. to WinBet365 guide price · model 60%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Galway United Draw No Bet is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

St Patrick's Athl.6.75
Avg corners for
Galway United5.5
St Patrick's Athl.12.25
Avg total corners
Galway United10.25
St Patrick's Athl.1.5
Avg yellow cards
Galway United1.5
St Patrick's Athl.14.25
Avg shots
Galway United12.5
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Model 69% vs implied 64% · edge +5.3 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
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Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

St Patrick's Athl.

LWWLD
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 3D 3L
26 Jun 2026A Bohemians0-2
19 Jun 2026H Sligo Rovers2-0
12 Jun 2026H Drogheda United2-0
29 May 2026A Shamrock Rovers0-1
22 May 2026A Derry City0-0

Galway United

LWLDL
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 4D 4L
26 Jun 2026A Shamrock Rovers1-3
19 Jun 2026H Derry City2-1
12 Jun 2026H Dundalk0-1
29 May 2026A Shelbourne1-1
22 May 2026H Bohemians2-4
Best odds for this sectionGalway United Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 39% vs implied 24% · edge +15 pts
4.15
Check odds @ 4.15
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Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 49%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 85%
1.11
Check odds @ 1.11
Galway United to WinBetMGM guide price · model 24%
6.25
Check odds @ 6.25
St Patrick's Athl. Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 68%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
DrawBetfred guide price · model 25%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
St Patrick's Athl. to WinBet365 guide price · model 60%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

5St Patrick's Athl. wins
3Draws
2Galway United wins
01 May 2026Galway United v St Patrick's Athl.2-2
02 Mar 2026St Patrick's Athl. v Galway United1-0
19 Sep 2025St Patrick's Athl. v Galway United1-1
14 Sep 2025St Patrick's Athl. v Galway United3-1
20 Jun 2025Galway United v St Patrick's Athl.3-1
02 May 2025St Patrick's Athl. v Galway United2-0
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 57% vs implied 56% · edge +1.1 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
Galway United to WinBetMGM guide price · model 24%
6.25
Check odds @ 6.25
DrawBetfred guide price · model 25%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
St Patrick's Athl. to WinBet365 guide price · model 60%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
The head-to-head sample gives context for BTTS Yes, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Premier Division

St Patrick's Athl.24
Played
Galway United23
St Patrick's Athl.1.6
Avg goals for
Galway United1.4
St Patrick's Athl.0.8
Avg goals against
Galway United1.7
St Patrick's Athl.9
Clean sheets
Galway United1
Best odds for this sectionGalway United Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 39% vs implied 24% · edge +15 pts
4.15
Check odds @ 4.15
Load more odds for this section
Galway United to WinBetMGM guide price · model 24%
6.25
Check odds @ 6.25
St Patrick's Athl. Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 68%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
St Patrick's Athl. to WinBet365 guide price · model 60%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Season data supports Galway United Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
3St Patrick's Athl.4224126619
7Galway United27237610-7
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

0%St Patrick's Athl. Over 2.5
60%Galway United Over 2.5
2.8H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: St Patrick's Athl. sit at 0% and Galway United sit at 60% with the H2H average at 2.8 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.