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St Patrick's Athl. crestSt Patrick's Athl.
v
Galway United crestGalway United

Premier Division | Fri 03 Jul, 19:45

St Patrick's Athl. v Galway United Stats

Data last updated: Thu 02 Jul 2026, 05:33 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

St Patrick's Athl. and Galway United meet in a Premier Division clash where set-piece opportunities could be decisive. rank third with solid defensive numbers but a modest attacking output, while Galway United sit seventh and have shown a tendency to concede more but also create chances. Both teams have competitive recent form with St Patrick's Athl. averaging 7 corners per game and Galway United around 5.7, suggesting a match with sustained pressure and territorial battles. The fixture's timing and stakes imply an open contest with frequent wide play and deliveries into the box, setting the stage for a corner-rich encounter.

BT4Y match pick

Over 8.5 Corners

  • St Patrick's Athl. average 7 corners per match, indicating strong wing play and attacking pressure.
  • Galway United contribute around 5.7 corners per game, supporting a combined high corner count.
  • Both teams have moderate fouling rates, likely leading to set-piece opportunities.
  • Recent matches show sustained attacking phases favoring corner accumulation.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies a 75% chance for Over 8.5 Corners based on both teams' attacking styles and corner averages. St Patrick's Athl. generate high shot volumes and wing play, while Galway United's defensive vulnerabilities and fouling frequency contribute to corner likelihood. The combined average corners exceed 12 per match, supporting the bet. No price warnings apply, and standard stake guidance is appropriate given the solid level.

Corner averagesSt Patrick's Athl. 7, Galway United 5.7 per game
Strong positive
Attacking pressureHigh shots and wide play from both sides
Positive
Fouling and set-piece frequencyModerate fouls leading to corners
Positive
Model confidence75% chance for Over 8.5 Corners
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect a match with territorial battles and frequent wing attacks generating numerous corners. St Patrick's Athl.'s strong corner average combined with Galway United's defensive approach suggests a corner count exceeding 8.5 is likely. The data supports this set-piece focus as a key feature of the game.

Main risk

The main risk is a tactical shift toward more direct play or defensive caution limiting wing attacks and corner opportunities.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Corners market

“The corner market stands out here due to St Patrick's Athl.'s consistent wing pressure and Galway United's defensive fouls, making Over 8.5 Corners a compelling angle.”

Key Data Signals

Over 8.5 Corners evidence

St Patrick's Athl. Average 7 corners per match, indicating strong wing play and attacking pressure.

Galway United contribute around 5.7 corners per game, supporting a combined high corner count.

Both teams have moderate fouling rates, likely leading to set-piece opportunities.

Recent matches show sustained attacking phases favoring corner accumulation.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 8.5 Corners notes

  • In the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals per game is 2.8, indicating moderate scoring tempo.
  • While this does not directly influence corners, the tempo and open play contribute to attacking phases that often lead to corners, supporting the Over 8.5 Corners trend.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

St Patrick's Athl.0.8
Avg goals scored
Galway United1.2
St Patrick's Athl.0.6
Avg goals conceded
Galway United2
St Patrick's Athl.0%
BTTS rate
Galway United80%
St Patrick's Athl.0%
Over 2.5 goals
Galway United60%
Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 59% vs implied 43% · edge +16.7 pts
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 47%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 63%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 27%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Both teams show contrasting goal profiles with St Patrick's Athl. scoring less and Galway United conceding more, but the low BTTS rate for St Patrick's Athl. suggests a controlled scoring environment. This points to fewer open-goal scenarios and more set-piece chances rather than high-scoring open play.

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 75% vs implied 75% · edge -0.2 pts
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Load more odds for this section
Galway United Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
4
Check odds @ 4
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Galway United to WinBetMGM guide price · model 24%
6.25
Check odds @ 6.25
St Patrick's Athl. Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 68%
1.23
Check odds @ 1.23
DrawBetfred guide price · model 25%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
St Patrick's Athl. to WinBet365 guide price · model 60%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
The Over 8.5 Corners market is well supported by both teams' season averages and attacking patterns. The combined corner average exceeds 12 per game, indicating the price is aligned with a strong statistical base and not overly short. This market offers a solid chance without price sensitivity concerns.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

St Patrick's Athl.7
Avg corners for
Galway United5.67
St Patrick's Athl.13
Avg total corners
Galway United11.33
St Patrick's Athl.2
Avg yellow cards
Galway United2
St Patrick's Athl.13.67
Avg shots
Galway United13
Market aligned with main pickOver 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 75% vs implied 75% · edge -0.2 pts
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Load more odds for this section
Over 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 69%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
2
Check odds @ 2
The teams produce moderate fouling and card counts, with St Patrick's Athl. averaging 2 yellows and Galway United similarly disciplined. Combined with high shot volumes and wing play, this fosters frequent corners from defensive clearances and fouls in wide areas.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

St Patrick's Athl.

LWWLD
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 3D 3L
26 Jun 2026A Bohemians0-2
19 Jun 2026H Sligo Rovers2-0
12 Jun 2026H Drogheda United2-0
29 May 2026A Shamrock Rovers0-1
22 May 2026A Derry City0-0

Galway United

LWLDL
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 4D 4L
26 Jun 2026A Shamrock Rovers1-3
19 Jun 2026H Derry City2-1
12 Jun 2026H Dundalk0-1
29 May 2026A Shelbourne1-1
22 May 2026H Bohemians2-4
Best odds for this sectionGalway United Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 42% vs implied 25% · edge +17 pts
4
Check odds @ 4
Load more odds for this section
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 49%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 85%
1.11
Check odds @ 1.11
Galway United to WinBetMGM guide price · model 24%
6.25
Check odds @ 6.25
St Patrick's Athl. Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 68%
1.23
Check odds @ 1.23
DrawBetfred guide price · model 25%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
St Patrick's Athl. to WinBet365 guide price · model 60%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Recent form shows St Patrick's Athl. averaging 7 corners per game with consistent attacking pressure, while Galway United contribute nearly 6 corners per match. This recent data confirms a pattern of sustained wing play and set-piece opportunities supporting Over 8.5 Corners.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

5St Patrick's Athl. wins
3Draws
2Galway United wins
01 May 2026Galway United v St Patrick's Athl.2-2
02 Mar 2026St Patrick's Athl. v Galway United1-0
19 Sep 2025St Patrick's Athl. v Galway United1-1
14 Sep 2025St Patrick's Athl. v Galway United3-1
20 Jun 2025Galway United v St Patrick's Athl.3-1
02 May 2025St Patrick's Athl. v Galway United2-0
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 57% vs implied 56% · edge +1.1 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
Galway United to WinBetMGM guide price · model 24%
6.25
Check odds @ 6.25
DrawBetfred guide price · model 25%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
St Patrick's Athl. to WinBet365 guide price · model 60%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
The ten previous meetings average 2.8 goals per game, showing moderately open contests. While goal totals vary, the matches often feature sustained attacks and defensive pressure, which historically have produced a healthy number of corners, lending background support to the corner market.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Premier Division

St Patrick's Athl.22
Played
Galway United21
St Patrick's Athl.1.6
Avg goals for
Galway United1.4
St Patrick's Athl.0.9
Avg goals against
Galway United1.6
St Patrick's Athl.8
Clean sheets
Galway United1
Best odds for this sectionGalway United Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 42% vs implied 25% · edge +17 pts
4
Check odds @ 4
Load more odds for this section
Galway United to WinBetMGM guide price · model 24%
6.25
Check odds @ 6.25
St Patrick's Athl. Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 68%
1.23
Check odds @ 1.23
St Patrick's Athl. to WinBet365 guide price · model 60%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Season-long stats reveal St Patrick's Athl. average 7 corners per game, reflecting their attacking style focused on wide play and crosses. Galway United's 5.7 corners per game complement this, indicating a combined corner count well above 8.5 is typical for their matches.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
3St Patrick's Athl.3822115616
7Galway United2421669-5
St Patrick's Athl. sit third, pushing for top positions with strong home form, while Galway United are seventh, often on the back foot. This dynamic suggests St Patrick's Athl. will press for control, increasing corner opportunities through sustained attacks.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

0%St Patrick's Athl. Over 2.5
60%Galway United Over 2.5
2.8H2H avg goals
In the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals per game is 2.8, indicating moderate scoring tempo. While this does not directly influence corners, the tempo and open play contribute to attacking phases that often lead to corners, supporting the Over 8.5 Corners trend.

Related football research

Fixture links

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