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Eibar crestEibar
v
Cadiz crestCadiz

Segunda División | Sun 15 Nov, 17:30

Eibar v Cadiz Stats

Data last updated: Sat 14 Nov 2026, 02:23 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Eibar and Cadiz meet in a Segunda División clash where both teams have shown contrasting styles but a shared tendency for set-piece opportunities. Eibar, positioned 4th, have a more attacking approach, while Cadiz, struggling near the bottom, rely on defensive resilience but concede frequent corners. Recent form data shows Eibar averaging 3.4 corners per game and Cadiz 5.4, indicating a high likelihood of corner accumulation. The fixture's tactical dynamics suggest sustained pressure and territorial battles, setting the stage for a corner-rich encounter without revealing the betting angle.

BT4Y best bet

Over 9.5 Corners

  • Eibar average 3.4 corners per game, Cadiz 5.4, combining for over 8.8 corners on average
  • Both teams show attacking and defensive patterns that generate frequent set-piece situations
  • Recent matches indicate sustained pressure and territorial play favoring corner opportunities
  • Model projects a 69% chance for over 9.5 corners, with positive value at 1.83
  • Player stats highlight active attacking midfielders and forwards who create wide plays and shots leading to corners

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Over 9.5 Corners with a strong 69% chance, supported by both teams' average corners per game (Eibar 3.4, Cadiz 5.4). The combined 8.8 average corners per match and tactical tendencies toward wide attacks and defensive clearances underpin this selection. The price at 1.83 offers positive value with a 14.4% edge. Both teams' styles promote frequent corner situations, reinforced by active attacking players like Elijah Gift Izobodo John and Antonio Cordero who generate shots and pressure near the box. No data limitations or price warnings apply, making this a confident corner market pick.

Model Chance69% model chance vs 54.1% implied (+14.9 pts)
Strong positive
Average Corners per GameEibar 3.4, Cadiz 5.4
Strong positive
Value Edge69% model chance vs 54.1% implied (+14.9 pts)
Strong positive
Player Attacking ActivityHigh shot and set-piece involvement
Positive
Price Warning69% model chance vs 54.1% implied (+14.9 pts)
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

This corner market pick is backed by both teams' tendencies to generate set-piece opportunities through sustained pressure and attacking play. Eibar's higher league position and offensive style combined with Cadiz's defensive clearances create a fertile environment for corners. The statistical averages and player involvement reinforce the likelihood of surpassing 9.5 corners, making this a tactically and data-supported choice.

Main risk

Corner volume can be sterile if territory does not become shots, crosses or repeat box entries.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Corner market tactical and player activity analysis

“Eibar and Cadiz's contrasting styles converge in a fixture ripe for corners, with both sides frequently forcing defensive clearances and wide plays. The active involvement of key attackers and midfielders in shooting and crossing increases corner chances significantly.”

Key Data Signals

Over 9.5 Corners evidence

Eibar average 3.4 corners per game, Cadiz 5.4, combining for over 8.8 corners on average

Both teams show attacking and defensive patterns that generate frequent set-piece situations

Recent matches indicate sustained pressure and territorial play favoring corner opportunities

Model projects a 69% chance for over 9.5 corners, with positive value at 1.83

What To Watch In The Data

Over 9.5 Corners notes

  • In the last six head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 1.5, indicating moderate scoring but with open play phases.
  • This tempo and transitional play foster corner opportunities, especially given both teams' attacking and defensive styles in recent matches.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Eibar1.2
Avg goals scored
Cadiz1
Eibar1.6
Avg goals conceded
Cadiz1.6
Eibar80%
BTTS rate
Cadiz60%
Eibar40%
Over 2.5 goals
Cadiz60%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 73% vs implied 58% · edge +15 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
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Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 56%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 66%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 48%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 30%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
2
Check odds @ 2
While goal scoring is moderate with an average of 1.5 goals in head-to-head matches, both teams have decent BTTS rates (Eibar 80%, Cadiz 60%), indicating open phases that can lead to attacking pressure and corners. The goal trends complement the corner market by reflecting active offensive and defensive transitions.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 73% vs implied 58% · edge +15 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
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Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Cadiz Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Cadiz to WinBetMGM guide price · model 31%
5.5
Check odds @ 5.5
Eibar Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 62%
1.35
Check odds @ 1.35
Eibar to WinBetfred guide price · model 53%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
DrawBetfred guide price · model 27%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
The 69% for Over 9.5 Corners sits against roughly 54.1% implied by the current price (+14.9 pts). Cadiz lead the corner sample at 5.4 per match, with Eibar lower at 3.4.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Eibar

DLDLW
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 2D 2L
31 Oct 2026H Almeria1-1
24 Oct 2026A Cordoba0-2
17 Oct 2026H Mallorca1-1
12 Oct 2026A Oviedo1-3
03 Oct 2026A Albacete3-1

Cadiz

LLWLL
Last 51W 0D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 7L
07 Nov 2026H Oviedo1-2
02 Nov 2026A Mallorca1-2
25 Oct 2026H AD Ceuta FC3-1
18 Oct 2026A Granada CF0-2
11 Oct 2026H Sporting Gijon0-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 58% vs implied 44% · edge +13.6 pts
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
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Cadiz Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Cadiz to WinBetMGM guide price · model 31%
5.5
Check odds @ 5.5
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 80%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Eibar Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 62%
1.35
Check odds @ 1.35
Eibar to WinBetfred guide price · model 53%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
DrawBetfred guide price · model 27%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Recent form shows Eibar averaging 3.4 corners and Cadiz 5.4 per game, with both teams frequently involved in matches exceeding 9.5 corners. This trend aligns with their tactical approaches and recent match data, reinforcing the likelihood of a corner-rich fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Eibar Over 2.5
60%Cadiz Over 2.5
1.5H2H avg goals
In the last six head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 1.5, indicating moderate scoring but with open play phases. This tempo and transitional play foster corner opportunities, especially given both teams' attacking and defensive styles in recent matches.

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