Football Stats Hub

Tenerife crestTenerife
v
AD Ceuta FC crestAD Ceuta FC

Segunda División | Sun 15 Nov, 13:00

Tenerife v AD Ceuta FC Stats

Data last updated: Sat 14 Nov 2026, 02:23 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Tenerife hosts AD Ceuta FC in a Segunda División clash where Tenerife's recent form and home advantage set the stage for a competitive fixture. Tenerife has collected 15 points and sits 14th in the table, showing more stability compared to AD Ceuta FC, who are 22nd with just 5 points. Tenerife's attacking play, led by key forwards, contrasts with AD Ceuta FC's defensive struggles, conceding 2.4 goals per game. The match will test Tenerife's ability to capitalize on their offensive edge while managing Ceuta's counterattacks in a contest with clear stakes for both sides.

BT4Y best bet

Tenerife to Win

  • Tenerife holds a strong 69.9% to win with positive value at 1.8 .
  • Tenerife averages 1.4 goals per game with 100% BTTS rate, showing offensive consistency.
  • AD Ceuta FC concedes 2.4 goals per match and has the league's lowest points tally.
  • Top Tenerife attackers Enric Gallego and G. Ranos provide significant goal threat and shot volume.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Tenerife to win due to their superior recent form, higher points tally, and more effective attack compared to AD Ceuta FC. Tenerife's 69.9% win probability reflects their home advantage and offensive capabilities, supported by players like Enric Gallego who averages 0.87 goals per 90 minutes. AD Ceuta FC's defensive vulnerabilities and low scoring output further tilt the balance. The price offers positive value without warning flags, making Tenerife a solid choice based on form and player impact.

Recent FormTenerife has 4 points in recent matches vs. AD Ceuta FC's 0
Strong positive
Goal ThreatEnric Gallego with 8 goals and 1.2 shots on target per 90
Strong positive
Defensive WeaknessAD Ceuta FC concedes 2.4 goals per game
Strong positive
Price Value69.9% model chance vs 55.6% implied (+14.3 pts)
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Tenerife's home form and attacking firepower, led by Enric Gallego and G. Ranos, provide a tactical edge over AD Ceuta FC, who struggle defensively and have yet to earn points recently. Tenerife's ability to convert chances and control the game should secure a victory in this matchup.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Tenerife to Win

“Tenerife's offensive consistency and home advantage make them the clear favorites, especially given AD Ceuta FC's defensive frailties and poor form. Their key attackers are well-positioned to exploit gaps and maintain pressure throughout the match.”

Key Data Signals

Tenerife to Win evidence

Tenerife holds a strong 69.9% to win with positive value at 1.8 .

Tenerife averages 1.4 goals per game with 100% BTTS rate, showing offensive consistency.

AD Ceuta FC concedes 2.4 goals per match and has the league's lowest points tally.

Top Tenerife attackers Enric Gallego and G. Ranos provide significant goal threat and shot volume.

What To Watch In The Data

Tenerife to Win notes

  • In the last five matches, Tenerife's games have a 40% Over 2.5 goals rate, while AD Ceuta FC's matches see 80% Over 2.5 goals, indicating a tendency for higher-scoring games involving Ceuta.
  • This trend suggests a match with open play and goal opportunities, driven by Ceuta's defensive vulnerabilities and Tenerife's attacking intent.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Tenerife1.4
Avg goals scored
AD Ceuta FC0.6
Tenerife1.6
Avg goals conceded
AD Ceuta FC2.4
Tenerife100%
BTTS rate
AD Ceuta FC60%
Tenerife40%
Over 2.5 goals
AD Ceuta FC80%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 55% · edge +15 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 53%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 71%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 35%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Under 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 52%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Tenerife's matches feature a 100% Both Teams To Score rate, indicating open games with goals at both ends. AD Ceuta FC's high goals conceded average (2.4 per game) supports the likelihood of goals. Tenerife's moderate 40% Over 2.5 goals rate suggests a balanced scoring environment with chances for multiple goals.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

corners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickTenerife to WinBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 56% · edge +14.3 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 70%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Tenerife Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.45
Check odds @ 1.45
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 53%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
The 69.9% for Tenerife to Win sits against roughly 55.6% implied by the current price (+14.3 pts). Tenerife have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 0 for AD Ceuta FC.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Tenerife

DDDDL
Last 50W 4D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 6D 3L
02 Nov 2026H FC Andorra2-2
25 Oct 2026A Sabadell1-1
19 Oct 2026A Celta de Vigo II1-1
12 Oct 2026H Girona1-1
05 Oct 2026A Cordoba2-3

AD Ceuta FC

LLLLL
Last 50W 0D 5L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 2D 7L
07 Nov 2026A Cordoba0-3
01 Nov 2026H Sporting Gijon0-2
25 Oct 2026A Cadiz1-3
18 Oct 2026H Oviedo1-2
10 Oct 2026H Sabadell1-2
Market aligned with main pickTenerife to WinBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 56% · edge +14.3 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
Home / DrawBetUK guide price · model 86%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Tenerife Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.45
Check odds @ 1.45
Tenerife's recent form shows 4 points gained with an average of 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game, reflecting a team capable of controlling matches. AD Ceuta FC has failed to earn points recently and concedes heavily, indicating struggles in both defense and attack. This form disparity favors Tenerife's chances to secure a win.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Tenerife Over 2.5
80%AD Ceuta FC Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
In the last five matches, Tenerife's games have a 40% Over 2.5 goals rate, while AD Ceuta FC's matches see 80% Over 2.5 goals, indicating a tendency for higher-scoring games involving Ceuta. This trend suggests a match with open play and goal opportunities, driven by Ceuta's defensive vulnerabilities and Tenerife's attacking intent.

Loading deeper match data…