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Switzerland crestSwitzerland
v
Scotland crestScotland

UEFA Nations League | Mon 16 Nov, 19:45

Switzerland v Scotland Stats

Data last updated: Sun 15 Nov 2026, 03:21 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Scotland hosts Switzerland in a UEFA Nations League clash where both sides bring contrasting recent narratives. Scotland, under new management, showed promising attacking intent in their opening match despite failing to score, creating 2.16 expected goals and four big chances. Their home record supports goals at both ends, with the last four competitive home fixtures featuring both teams scoring. Switzerland arrive with strong momentum after a 3-0 away win, boasting a potent attack led by Zeki Amdouni, who scored twice and assisted once in their opener. Both teams' recent scoring patterns suggest an open contest with goals likely at both ends, setting the stage for an intriguing tactical battle.

BT4Y match pick · price watch

Both Teams to Score

  • Price warning: current odds imply about 53%, above the 47% model chance, so this is a football-led pick rather than a clear value bet; reduce stake or wait for a better price.
  • Scotland created 2.16 xG and four big chances in their Nations League opener despite a goalless draw.
  • Switzerland scored three goals in their opening match, with Zeki Amdouni directly involved in all three.
  • Both teams have scored in nine of Switzerland's last 13 internationals and Scotland's last four competitive home games.
  • Scotland's home matches consistently see goals at both ends, supporting the BTTS selection.
Price warning

Both Teams to Score is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 53% while the model sits nearer 47% (-5.9 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Switzerland to Win shows a +15 pts edge at 1.7.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The Both Teams to Score selection is supported by Scotland's active chance creation and consistent home matches featuring goals at both ends, combined with Switzerland's potent attack and recent scoring streak. Despite the model's slightly lower chance compared to the market price, the football context of attacking momentum and defensive vulnerabilities on both sides justifies this pick. The current are short relative to model probability, so reduced staking or waiting for better pricing is advised. Improvements in team news or line-ups could enhance value further.

Scotland's chance creation2.16 xG and 4 big chances in opener
Positive
Switzerland's scoring form3 goals in opener, 9/13 BTTS matches
Strong positive
Home BTTS trend4 consecutive competitive home matches with BTTS
Positive
Price sensitivity46.7% model chance vs 52.6% implied (-5.9 pts)
Negative

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both teams have shown clear attacking intent and scoring ability recently, making a Both Teams to Score outcome plausible. Scotland's home matches regularly see goals at both ends, while Switzerland's efficient attack led by Amdouni poses a consistent threat. This match should provide opportunities for both sides to find the net, aligning well with the BTTS selection.

Main risk

Embolo’s suspension could have weakened the Swiss attack, but Zeki Amdouni made unusually light work of replacing him on Saturday.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score

“Switzerland's attacking momentum combined with Scotland's home scoring pattern creates a strong case for both teams to find the net in this Nations League fixture.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Scotland created 2.16 xG and four big chances in their Nations League opener despite a goalless draw.

Switzerland scored three goals in their opening match, with Zeki Amdouni directly involved in all three.

Both teams have scored in nine of Switzerland's last 13 internationals and Scotland's last four competitive home games.

Scotland's home matches consistently see goals at both ends, supporting the BTTS selection.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • In the last two head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.5, indicating a moderate scoring trend.
  • Scotland's recent home matches and Switzerland's international fixtures show frequent goal exchanges.
  • This trend, combined with attacking momentum and defensive lapses, suggests an Over 2.5 goals environment conducive to both teams scoring.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Switzerland2.2
Avg goals scored
Scotland1
Switzerland0.2
Avg goals conceded
Scotland1.2
Switzerland20%
BTTS rate
Scotland40%
Switzerland80%
Over 2.5 goals
Scotland60%
Best odds for this sectionOver 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 84% vs implied 74% · edge +9.4 pts
1.35
Check odds @ 1.35
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 63%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 42%
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 39%
1.72
Check odds @ 1.72
Both teams have demonstrated consistent scoring patterns recently, with Switzerland scoring in nine of their last 13 matches and Scotland's last four competitive home games featuring goals at both ends. Scotland's 2.16 xG and four big chances in their opener underline their attacking threat, while Switzerland's efficient finishing and involvement of key players like Amdouni suggest goals are likely on both sides.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionSwitzerland to WinBet365 guide price · Model 74% vs implied 59% · edge +15 pts
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 63%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
Switzerland Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.35
Check odds @ 1.35
Scotland Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 58%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Scotland to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
5
Check odds @ 5
Over 3.5 CardsBetUK guide price · model 47%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
The 46.7% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 52.6% implied by the current price (-5.9 pts). Switzerland show a 20% BTTS rate and Scotland show a 40% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

UEFA Nations League hubfull betting preview for Switzerland v Scotlandcorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Switzerland

DWWWW
Last 54W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 1D 0L
13 Nov 2026A Slovenia0-0
06 Oct 2026H FYR Macedonia3-0
03 Oct 2026H Slovenia2-1
29 Sep 2026A Scotland3-0
26 Sep 2026A FYR Macedonia3-0

Scotland

WLWLD
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 2L
13 Nov 2026H FYR Macedonia2-1
06 Oct 2026H Slovenia1-2
03 Oct 2026A FYR Macedonia2-0
29 Sep 2026H Switzerland0-3
26 Sep 2026A Slovenia0-0
Best odds for this sectionSwitzerland to WinBet365 guide price · Model 74% vs implied 59% · edge +15 pts
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Load more odds for this section
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 86%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Switzerland Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.35
Check odds @ 1.35
Scotland Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Scotland to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
5
Check odds @ 5
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 18%
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
Switzerland's recent form is strong, with 13 points and 2.2 goals per game, conceding only 0.2 goals on average, reflecting defensive solidity and attacking efficiency. Scotland has 7 points with 1 goal per game and concedes 1.2, showing vulnerability at the back but also a capacity to score. Both teams' recent matches have featured goals at both ends, reinforcing the BTTS selection.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Switzerland Over 2.5
60%Scotland Over 2.5
2.5H2H avg goals
In the last two head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.5, indicating a moderate scoring trend. Scotland's recent home matches and Switzerland's international fixtures show frequent goal exchanges. This trend, combined with attacking momentum and defensive lapses, suggests an Over 2.5 goals environment conducive to both teams scoring.

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