Football Stats Hub

Granada CF crestGranada CF
v
Las Palmas crestLas Palmas

Segunda División | Sun 15 Nov, 15:15

Granada CF v Las Palmas Stats

Data last updated: Sat 14 Nov 2026, 02:23 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Granada CF hosts Las Palmas in a Segunda División clash where Granada's recent form and tactical setup suggest a strong home advantage. Granada has collected 15 points recently with a solid defensive record, conceding just 0.6 goals per game, while Las Palmas has struggled more at the back, allowing 1.6 goals per game. Granada's attacking approach, combined with Las Palmas' inconsistent away performances and lower league standing, sets the stage for a competitive match with Granada favored to secure the win.

BT4Y best bet

Granada CF to Win

  • Granada CF has a 74% to win, with strong recent form and defensive solidity.
  • Las Palmas concedes 1.6 goals per game, higher than Granada's 0.6, indicating defensive vulnerability.
  • Granada averages 11.8 shots per game with 4 on target, showing attacking pressure.
  • Las Palmas ranks 10th with 20 points, trailing Granada's 5th place and 23 points.
  • Granada's Jorge Pascual is a key attacking threat with 4 goals and 1.4 shots on target per 90 minutes.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Granada CF to win with a 74% probability, reflecting their superior recent form, defensive strength, and attacking output. Granada's ability to limit opponents to 0.6 goals per game contrasts with Las Palmas' 1.6 goals conceded, highlighting a defensive edge. Granada's higher shot volume and key players like Jorge Pascual contribute to sustained offensive threat. The price at 1.8 offers positive value given the implied chance of 55.6%, making Granada a solid pick without price caution.

Recent FormGranada CF has 15 points recently vs. Las Palmas' 9
Strong positive
Defensive RecordGranada concedes 0.6 goals per game vs. Las Palmas 1.6
Strong positive
Attacking PressureGranada averages 11.8 shots and 4 on target per game
Positive
League PositionGranada 5th vs. Las Palmas 10th
Positive
Key Player ImpactJorge Pascual with 4 goals and 1.4 SOT/90
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Granada CF's consistent defensive resilience and higher league standing make them the tactical favorite to win this match. Their recent form shows a team capable of controlling games and limiting chances, while Las Palmas' defensive frailties and lower point tally suggest they will struggle to contain Granada's attacking threats.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Granada CF to Win

“Granada CF's blend of defensive discipline and attacking firepower, especially through Jorge Pascual, positions them well to secure victory against a Las Palmas side that has shown defensive vulnerabilities this season.”

Key Data Signals

Granada CF to Win evidence

Granada CF has a 74% to win, with strong recent form and defensive solidity.

Las Palmas concedes 1.6 goals per game, higher than Granada's 0.6, indicating defensive vulnerability.

Granada averages 11.8 shots per game with 4 on target, showing attacking pressure.

Las Palmas ranks 10th with 20 points, trailing Granada's 5th place and 23 points.

What To Watch In The Data

Granada CF to Win notes

  • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 1.9, indicating a moderately low-scoring trend.
  • Granada's recent matches show a 40% rate of over 2.5 goals, while Las Palmas has a 60% rate, suggesting the potential for a slightly open game with chances for goals from both sides, influenced by Las Palmas' attacking tendencies.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Granada CF2
Avg goals scored
Las Palmas1.4
Granada CF0.6
Avg goals conceded
Las Palmas1.6
Granada CF40%
BTTS rate
Las Palmas40%
Granada CF40%
Over 2.5 goals
Las Palmas60%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 60% vs implied 60% · edge +0.1 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 51%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 69%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 44%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 33%
3
Check odds @ 3
Granada CF averages 2 goals scored and concedes 0.6 per game, while Las Palmas scores 1.4 and concedes 1.6. Both teams have a 40% BTTS rate, suggesting a moderate likelihood of both teams scoring. The goal totals and BTTS rates indicate a balanced game with potential for goals but not necessarily a high-scoring affair.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Granada CF

WWWWW
Last 55W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 1D 3L
01 Nov 2026A Eldense2-0
23 Oct 2026H Valladolid2-1
18 Oct 2026H Cadiz2-0
12 Oct 2026A Burgos1-0
04 Oct 2026A Real Sociedad II3-2

Las Palmas

WWWLL
Last 53W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 2D 4L
09 Nov 2026H Eldense2-0
02 Nov 2026A Oviedo3-2
24 Oct 2026H Real Sociedad II1-0
17 Oct 2026H Castellón0-3
11 Oct 2026A Mallorca1-3
Market aligned with main pickGranada CF to WinBetUK guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
Load more odds for this section
Granada CF Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.55
Check odds @ 1.55
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 86%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Granada CF's recent form is strong, earning 15 points with a tight defense conceding only 0.6 goals per game. Las Palmas has collected 9 points recently but concedes more goals, indicating defensive lapses. Granada's momentum and defensive solidity give them a clear edge in controlling the match tempo and outcome.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickGranada CF to WinBetUK guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
Load more odds for this section
Granada CF Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.55
Check odds @ 1.55
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 60%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 51%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 50%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
The 65% for Granada CF to Win sits against roughly 50% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Granada CF have the stronger recent points return, taking 15 points from the sample compared with 9 for Las Palmas.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Granada CF Over 2.5
60%Las Palmas Over 2.5
1.9H2H avg goals
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 1.9, indicating a moderately low-scoring trend. Granada's recent matches show a 40% rate of over 2.5 goals, while Las Palmas has a 60% rate, suggesting the potential for a slightly open game with chances for goals from both sides, influenced by Las Palmas' attacking tendencies.

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