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Juventus U23 crestJuventus U23
v
Treviso crestTreviso

Serie C - Girone A | Sun 15 Nov, 16:30

Juventus U23 v Treviso Stats

Data last updated: Sat 14 Nov 2026, 02:25 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Treviso enters this Serie C Girone A clash in strong form, sitting fifth in the table with 22 points, double the tally of Juventus U23, who are 18th with 11 points. Treviso's recent performances show a solid defensive record, conceding just 0.6 goals per game, while Juventus U23 have struggled at the back, allowing 1.6 goals on average. The away side's tactical discipline and efficiency on the counter could exploit Juventus U23's defensive vulnerabilities, making this a key fixture for both teams to gain momentum in the league.

BT4Y best bet

Treviso to Win

  • Treviso holds a significant points advantage, ranking 5th versus Juventus U23's 18th position.
  • Juventus U23 concedes an average of 1.6 goals per game, indicating defensive frailty.
  • Treviso boasts a strong defensive record, conceding only 0.6 goals per game.
  • Treviso's recent form includes 9 points gained compared to Juventus U23's 5 points.
  • Juventus U23 has a higher Over 2.5 Goals rate (60%) but Treviso's defensive solidity suggests a tighter match.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Treviso to win with a 65.9% chance, reflecting their superior league position and defensive strength. Treviso's ability to limit goals conceded to 0.6 per game contrasts with Juventus U23's 1.6, highlighting a defensive edge. Despite Juventus U23's higher Over 2.5 Goals rate, Treviso's consistent form and tactical discipline make them the likely winners. The price offers positive value with a 19.4% edge, supporting a standard stake recommendation.

Model Chance61.5% model chance vs 46.5% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Implied Chance from Odds61.5% model chance vs 46.5% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Value Edge61.5% model chance vs 46.5% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Recent Defensive FormTreviso concedes 0.6 goals per game vs Juventus U23's 1.6
Strong positive
Recent Points GainedTreviso 9 points vs Juventus U23 5 points
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Treviso's tactical discipline and superior defensive record underpin their strong chances to secure victory against Juventus U23. Their consistent form and table position reflect a team capable of controlling the game and capitalizing on Juventus U23's defensive weaknesses. This match presents a clear opportunity for Treviso to extend their winning momentum in Serie C.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Defensive strength and tactical discipline

“Treviso's solid defensive shape and efficient counter-attacks make them a formidable opponent in this fixture, especially against a Juventus U23 side that has struggled defensively this season.”

Key Data Signals

Treviso to Win evidence

Treviso holds a significant points advantage, ranking 5th versus Juventus U23's 18th position.

Juventus U23 concedes an average of 1.6 goals per game, indicating defensive frailty.

Treviso boasts a strong defensive record, conceding only 0.6 goals per game.

Treviso's recent form includes 9 points gained compared to Juventus U23's 5 points.

What To Watch In The Data

Treviso to Win notes

  • Recent trends show Juventus U23 matches have a 60% Over 2.5 Goals rate, indicating more open games, while Treviso's matches only reach this threshold 20% of the time, reflecting a more defensive style.
  • This contrast suggests the match may feature tactical caution from Treviso, aiming to limit scoring opportunities and control the tempo.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Juventus U230.8
Avg goals scored
Treviso1.2
Juventus U231.6
Avg goals conceded
Treviso0.6
Juventus U2360%
BTTS rate
Treviso20%
Juventus U2360%
Over 2.5 goals
Treviso20%
Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 62% vs implied 54% · edge +7.4 pts
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 57%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 47%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 43%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 61%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 25%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Juventus U23 has a 60% Over 2.5 Goals rate and BTTS rate, reflecting matches with more open play and goal exchanges. In contrast, Treviso's lower Over 2.5 rate (20%) and BTTS rate indicate a more defensive approach. This suggests the game may lean towards fewer goals and a tighter scoreline, favoring a disciplined defensive side like Treviso.

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickTreviso to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 62% vs implied 47% · edge +15 pts
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
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Treviso Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 74%
1.68
Check odds @ 1.68
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 57%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 43%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
The 61.5% for Treviso to Win sits against roughly 46.5% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Treviso have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 5 for Juventus U23.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Juventus U23

LDLWD
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 3D 6L
08 Nov 2026A Lecco0-4
02 Nov 2026H PRO Vercelli1-1
25 Oct 2026A Trento1-2
19 Oct 2026H Renate2-1
13 Oct 2026H Lumezzane0-0

Treviso

WLWWL
Last 53W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 3D 2L
08 Nov 2026H Novara2-0
01 Nov 2026A Cittadella0-1
24 Oct 2026H Dolomiti Bellunesi2-1
17 Oct 2026A Folgore Caratese2-0
11 Oct 2026H Ospitaletto0-1
Market aligned with main pickTreviso to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 62% vs implied 47% · edge +15 pts
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Load more odds for this section
Treviso Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 74%
1.68
Check odds @ 1.68
Away / DrawBetUK guide price · model 84%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Treviso's recent form shows 9 points gained with a strong defensive record, conceding only 0.6 goals per game, indicating effective tactical execution. Juventus U23's 5 points and 1.6 goals conceded per game highlight defensive vulnerabilities and inconsistent results, suggesting Treviso holds momentum advantage going into this match.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Juventus U23 Over 2.5
20%Treviso Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Recent trends show Juventus U23 matches have a 60% Over 2.5 Goals rate, indicating more open games, while Treviso's matches only reach this threshold 20% of the time, reflecting a more defensive style. This contrast suggests the match may feature tactical caution from Treviso, aiming to limit scoring opportunities and control the tempo.

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