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Eldense crestEldense
v
Sabadell crestSabadell

Segunda División | Sun 15 Nov, 17:30

Eldense v Sabadell Stats

Data last updated: Sat 14 Nov 2026, 02:23 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Eldense and Sabadell meet in a Segunda División clash where both teams have shown mixed defensive records and moderate attacking output. Eldense has struggled defensively, conceding 1.8 goals per game, while Sabadell concedes fewer but still allows chances. Both sides have recorded BTTS rates of 40% and 60% respectively, indicating a reasonable likelihood of goals at both ends. Recent form shows Eldense scoring less but conceding regularly, while Sabadell's attack is more active, creating a tactical scenario favoring goals from both teams in an open contest.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Eldense concedes 1.8 goals per game, Sabadell concedes 1.0 per game
  • Sabadell has a 60% BTTS rate, Eldense 40%, supporting both teams scoring
  • Both teams average over 11 shots per game, indicating attacking intent
  • Recent form shows Eldense scoring 1 goal in last matches, Sabadell 0.8 goals per game
  • Head-to-head average goals stand at 2.0 across 4 matches, suggesting goal opportunities

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 63.3% chance for both teams to score, reflecting the attacking tendencies and defensive vulnerabilities of Eldense and Sabadell. Sabadell's higher BTTS rate and Eldense's defensive concessions create a favorable environment for goals at both ends. The of 2.0 offer positive value with a 13.3% edge over the implied chance. The data quality is solid, with no limitations, supporting in this selection. The match context of open play and attacking roles further reinforces the likelihood of goals from both sides.

Model Chance63.3% model chance vs 50% implied (+13.3 pts)
Strong positive
Implied Chance63.3% model chance vs 50% implied (+13.3 pts)
Strong positive
Value Edge63.3% model chance vs 50% implied (+13.3 pts)
Strong positive
BTTS RatesSabadell 60%, Eldense 40%
Positive
Defensive ConcessionsEldense 1.8, Sabadell 1.0 goals per game
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both teams possess attacking players capable of breaking down defenses, and the defensive records suggest vulnerabilities on both sides. Sabadell's higher BTTS rate combined with Eldense's tendency to concede goals supports the likelihood of goals at both ends. This match should see open play and chances for both teams to find the net, making the BTTS Yes selection tactically and statistically sound.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score rationale

“This fixture features two sides with attacking intent but defensive frailties, making both teams to score a logical and data-backed pick. Sabadell’s offensive players like Gioacchini and López provide consistent threat, while Eldense’s defensive lapses increase the chance of goals at both ends.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Eldense concedes 1.8 goals per game, Sabadell concedes 1.0 per game

Sabadell has a 60% BTTS rate, Eldense 40%, supporting both teams scoring

Both teams average over 11 shots per game, indicating attacking intent

Recent form shows Eldense scoring 1 goal in last matches, Sabadell 0.8 goals per game

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • In the last four head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.0, indicating a moderate scoring tempo.
  • Both teams’ recent matches show a 40% rate of Over 2.5 Goals, suggesting that while not frequent, higher scoring games are possible, supporting an attacking game flow.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Eldense1
Avg goals scored
Sabadell0.8
Eldense1.8
Avg goals conceded
Sabadell1
Eldense40%
BTTS rate
Sabadell60%
Eldense40%
Over 2.5 goals
Sabadell40%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 63% vs implied 50% · edge +13.3 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
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Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 63%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 41%
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 59%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 23%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 41%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Both teams have moderate BTTS rates, with Sabadell at 60% and Eldense at 40%, supported by their goals conceded per game (1.0 and 1.8 respectively). The average goals in their head-to-head matches is 2.0, suggesting a balanced potential for goals from both sides in this fixture.

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Eldense

LLLWW
Last 52W 0D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 1D 5L
09 Nov 2026A Las Palmas0-2
01 Nov 2026H Granada CF0-2
25 Oct 2026A Albacete0-2
18 Oct 2026A Valladolid3-2
10 Oct 2026H Cordoba2-1

Sabadell

DLDLW
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 4D 3L
09 Nov 2026H Real Sociedad II0-0
31 Oct 2026A Albacete1-2
25 Oct 2026H Tenerife1-1
18 Oct 2026A Burgos0-1
10 Oct 2026A AD Ceuta FC2-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 69% vs implied 65% · edge +3.4 pts
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
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Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 74%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Sabadell to WinBetMGM guide price · model 39%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Sabadell Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 50%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Eldense to WinBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Eldense Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 55%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
DrawBetUK guide price · model 30%
3
Check odds @ 3
Recent form shows Eldense scoring 1 goal and conceding 1.8 per game, while Sabadell scores 0.8 and concedes 1.0. Both teams have recorded BTTS outcomes in a significant portion of recent matches, indicating a trend towards goals at both ends and supporting the BTTS Yes selection.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 63% vs implied 50% · edge +13.3 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
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Sabadell to WinBetMGM guide price · model 39%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Sabadell Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 50%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Eldense to WinBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Eldense Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 55%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 41%
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
DrawBetUK guide price · model 30%
3
Check odds @ 3
The 63.3% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 50% implied by the current price (+13.3 pts). Eldense show a 40% BTTS rate and Sabadell show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Eldense Over 2.5
40%Sabadell Over 2.5
2H2H avg goals
In the last four head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.0, indicating a moderate scoring tempo. Both teams’ recent matches show a 40% rate of Over 2.5 Goals, suggesting that while not frequent, higher scoring games are possible, supporting an attacking game flow.

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