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Barletta crestBarletta
v
Team Altamura crestTeam Altamura

Serie C - Girone C | Sun 15 Nov, 16:30

Barletta v Team Altamura Stats

Data last updated: Sat 14 Nov 2026, 02:26 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Barletta and Team Altamura meet in a Serie C - Girone C clash where both sides have shown cautious attacking output recently. Barletta averages just 0.6 goals per game with a strong defensive record conceding only 0.4 goals per match, while Team Altamura has a more balanced but still modest scoring and conceding rate of 1.8 goals. Both teams have earned 8 points in recent form, indicating a tight contest likely to feature limited clear-cut chances. The tactical approach from both sides suggests a focus on defensive solidity and controlled tempo, increasing the likelihood of a low-scoring game.

BT4Y best bet

Under 2.5 Goals

  • Barletta averages only 0.6 goals per game with a strong defense conceding 0.4 goals per match.
  • Team Altamura scores and concedes 1.8 goals per game, showing moderate attacking threat but also defensive vulnerability.
  • Recent form shows both teams have earned 8 points, reflecting balanced and cautious play.
  • Barletta has a 0% Over 2.5 Goals rate recently, while Team Altamura has a 100% rate, indicating contrasting tendencies.
  • Head-to-head matches average 1.5 goals, supporting a low to moderate scoring expectation.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Under 2.5 Goals with a 60.9% chance, reflecting the low scoring averages and defensive strengths, especially from Barletta. Despite Team Altamura's higher scoring rate, the recent form and head-to-head data suggest a controlled match tempo with limited goal opportunities. The at 1.7 offer a small positive , making this a sensible selection for those expecting a tight, tactical encounter with few goals. No warnings on price sensitivity or data limitations apply here.

Barletta's low goals scored0.6 per game
Strong positive
Barletta's strong defense0.4 goals conceded per game
Strong positive
Team Altamura's moderate scoring and conceding1.8 goals per game each
Neutral
Recent form points parity8 points each
Positive
Head-to-head average goals1.5 goals per match
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect a tactical battle with both Barletta and Team Altamura prioritizing defensive organization. Barletta's low goals conceded and recent form suggest a disciplined approach, while Team Altamura's moderate scoring is balanced by their defensive concessions. This combination points to a match likely to stay under 2.5 goals, fitting the model's prediction and recent trends.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Under 2.5 Goals

“This fixture looks set for a tight, low-scoring encounter given Barletta's defensive resilience and Team Altamura's balanced but cautious attacking approach. The Under 2.5 Goals market aligns well with the tactical and statistical signals here.”

Key Data Signals

Under 2.5 Goals evidence

Barletta averages only 0.6 goals per game with a strong defense conceding 0.4 goals per match.

Team Altamura scores and concedes 1.8 goals per game, showing moderate attacking threat but also defensive vulnerability.

Recent form shows both teams have earned 8 points, reflecting balanced and cautious play.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

  • In the last four head-to-head meetings, the average goals scored is 1.5, indicating a history of low-scoring encounters.
  • This trend, combined with recent form, suggests a slower tempo and fewer goal opportunities, reinforcing the likelihood of Under 2.5 Goals.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Barletta0.6
Avg goals scored
Team Altamura1.8
Barletta0.4
Avg goals conceded
Team Altamura1.8
Barletta20%
BTTS rate
Team Altamura80%
Barletta0%
Over 2.5 goals
Team Altamura100%
Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 61% vs implied 59% · edge +2.1 pts
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 63%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 43%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 61%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 25%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 41%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Goal and BTTS trends show Barletta rarely participates in high-scoring games, with a 0% Over 2.5 rate and only 20% BTTS. Team Altamura contrasts with a 100% Over 2.5 rate and 80% BTTS, indicating their matches often feature goals. The clash of these styles suggests a likely subdued scoring outcome, favoring Under 2.5 Goals.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 63% vs implied 52% · edge +10.9 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
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Team Altamura Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 53%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Team Altamura to WinBet365 guide price · model 41%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 43%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 29%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Barletta Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 51%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
The 60.9% for Under 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 58.8% implied by the current price (+2.1 pts). The Over 2.5 trend is 0% for Barletta and 100% for Team Altamura, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Barletta

WDLWD
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 4D 4L
09 Nov 2026A Foggia1-0
31 Oct 2026H SS Monopoli0-0
24 Oct 2026A Scafatese0-1
18 Oct 2026H AZ Picerno1-0
12 Oct 2026H Cavese1-1

Team Altamura

DWDWL
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 3D 4L
09 Nov 2026H Cavese2-2
31 Oct 2026A Sorrento2-1
23 Oct 2026H Potenza2-2
18 Oct 2026A Cosenza3-1
11 Oct 2026H Catania0-3
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Team Altamura Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 53%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Team Altamura to WinBet365 guide price · model 41%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 70%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 29%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Barletta Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 51%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Barletta to WinBetUK guide price · model 41%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Both teams have accumulated 8 points recently, reflecting steady but cautious performances. Barletta's low goals for and against indicate a defensive solidity, while Team Altamura's higher scoring is balanced by conceding as much, suggesting matches with limited goal margins and supporting the Under 2.5 Goals selection.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

0%Barletta Over 2.5
100%Team Altamura Over 2.5
1.5H2H avg goals
In the last four head-to-head meetings, the average goals scored is 1.5, indicating a history of low-scoring encounters. This trend, combined with recent form, suggests a slower tempo and fewer goal opportunities, reinforcing the likelihood of Under 2.5 Goals.

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