Football Stats Hub

Scotland U21 crestScotland U21
v
USA U21 crestUSA U21

Friendlies | Sun 15 Nov, 14:00

Scotland U21 v USA U21 Stats

Data last updated: Sat 14 Nov 2026, 02:21 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This friendly between Scotland U21 and USA U21 presents an intriguing attacking contest as both sides look to showcase their offensive talents ahead of future competitive fixtures. Scotland U21 have demonstrated a strong scoring ability recently, netting 4 goals in their last outing without conceding, while USA U21 have also found the net regularly, averaging 2.25 goals per game with a solid defensive record conceding just 0.75 goals. The match is expected to be open and competitive, with both teams likely to push forward and create multiple scoring opportunities in a test of youthful attacking prowess.

BT4Y best bet

Over 3.5 Goals

  • Scotland U21 have scored 4 goals recently and kept a clean sheet, showing strong attacking and defensive form.
  • USA U21 average 2.25 goals per game with a solid defensive record conceding 0.75 goals.
  • Scotland U21 have a 100% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals, indicating high-scoring potential.
  • USA U21 have a 50% over 2.5 goals rate, supporting the likelihood of multiple goals in this match.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model projects a 57% chance for Over 3.5 Goals, well above the implied market chance of 42%, indicating clear value in backing a high-scoring game. Scotland U21's recent matches have consistently produced over 2.5 goals, and USA U21's attacking output combined with their defensive vulnerabilities suggests an open game with multiple goals. The level is strong at 74%, supported by recent form and attacking trends from both sides. No data limitations or price warnings affect this selection, making it a solid value bet with standard staking recommended.

Model Chance57% model chance vs 42% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Implied Market Chance57% model chance vs 42% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Scotland U21 Over 2.5 Rate100%
Strong positive
USA U21 Over 2.5 Rate50%
Positive
Confidence Level74%
Strong positive
Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Attacking intent and youthful openness

“This fixture should produce plenty of goalmouth action given Scotland U21's attacking and USA U21's willingness to push forward. The youthful sides are likely to prioritize offensive expression over defensive caution, making Over 3.5 Goals a compelling angle.”

Key Data Signals

Over 3.5 Goals evidence

USA U21 average 2.25 goals per game with a solid defensive record conceding 0.75 goals.

Scotland U21 have a 100% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals, indicating high-scoring potential.

USA U21 have a 50% over 2.5 goals rate, supporting the likelihood of multiple goals in this match.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 3.5 Goals notes

  • Over the last five matches, Scotland U21 have consistently produced games with more than 2.5 goals, demonstrating a trend of attacking control.
  • USA U21's mixed over/under record suggests variability, but combined with Scotland's trend, the fixture is likely to feature a lively tempo and multiple goal-scoring opportunities.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Scotland U214
Avg goals scored
USA U212.25
Scotland U210
Avg goals conceded
USA U210.75
Scotland U210%
BTTS rate
USA U2150%
Scotland U21100%
Over 2.5 goals
USA U2150%
Market aligned with main pickOver 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 57% vs implied 42% · edge +15 pts
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 75%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 88%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 54%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 50%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 29%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Scotland U21 have shown a perfect record of matches exceeding 2.5 goals recently, while USA U21 have a 50% rate, highlighting a tendency for open games with multiple goals. Both teams have decent attacking outputs and relatively solid defenses, suggesting goals will come from sustained offensive efforts rather than defensive lapses alone.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 75% vs implied 64% · edge +11.3 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
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USA U21 Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 42%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
USA U21 to WinBet365 guide price · model 33%
3
Check odds @ 3
Scotland U21 Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
Scotland U21 to WinBet365 guide price · model 41%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 26%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 50%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
The 57% for Over 3.5 Goals sits against roughly 42% implied by the current price (+15 pts). The Over 2.5 trend is 100% for Scotland U21 and 50% for USA U21, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Scotland U21

W
Last 51W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 0L
12 Nov 2026H Ukraine U214-0

USA U21

LWWW
Last 53W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 0D 1L
08 Jun 2026H Uzbekistan U230-1
05 Jun 2026H Ukraine U213-1
31 Mar 2026A Korea Republic U234-1
27 Mar 2026A Japan U212-0
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 59% vs implied 60% · edge -1.2 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
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Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
USA U21 Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 42%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
USA U21 to WinBet365 guide price · model 33%
3
Check odds @ 3
Scotland U21 Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
Scotland U21 to WinBet365 guide price · model 41%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 26%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Recent form shows Scotland U21 scoring 4 goals and keeping a clean sheet, indicating strong attacking and defensive balance. USA U21's average of 2.25 goals per game and conceding less than one goal per match reflects a competitive but open style. Scotland's 100% over 2.5 goals rate contrasts with USA's 50%, supporting expectations for a high-scoring encounter.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Scotland U21 Over 2.5
50%USA U21 Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Over the last five matches, Scotland U21 have consistently produced games with more than 2.5 goals, demonstrating a trend of attacking control. USA U21's mixed over/under record suggests variability, but combined with Scotland's trend, the fixture is likely to feature a lively tempo and multiple goal-scoring opportunities.

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