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Albacete crestAlbacete
v
Celta de Vigo II crestCelta de Vigo II

Segunda División | Mon 16 Nov, 19:30

Albacete v Celta de Vigo II Stats

Data last updated: Sun 15 Nov 2026, 01:57 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This Copa del Rey clash between Albacete and Celta de Vigo II sets the stage for a classic cup encounter where a Segunda División side aims to upset a higher-tier opponent. Albacete's 4-4-2 formation with two strikers suggests a direct attacking approach, while Celta de Vigo II's 3-4-3 shape offers width and forward threat. Both teams have shown tendencies to score and concede regularly this season, with Celta boasting a 100% away scoring record. The tactical contrast and cup stakes promise an open game with chances at both ends, making goal-scoring from both sides a plausible outcome.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams To Score

  • Albacete averages 3.00 total goals per game, indicating open matches.
  • Celta de Vigo II has scored in every away league game this season.
  • Both teams have BTTS rates above 55%, with Celta at 100% away.
  • Albacete's 4-4-2 formation supports dual striker pressure on Celta's back three.
  • Celta's 3-4-3 formation provides width and attacking options through wing-backs and forwards.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 76% chance for both teams to score, supported by Celta de Vigo II's perfect away scoring record and Albacete's high average goals per game. Both sides show season-long patterns of scoring and conceding, with tactical setups encouraging attacking play and transitions. The data quality is solid, and no price warnings apply, making this a confident selection based on consistent offensive and defensive trends.

Celta de Vigo II Away Scoring100% games scored away
Strong positive
Albacete Goals Per Game3.00 average total goals
Strong positive
BTTS RatesAlbacete 60%, Celta 100%
Strong positive
Tactical Formations4-4-2 vs 3-4-3 encouraging open play
Positive
Data QualityHigh data completeness for both teams
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both teams have shown consistent attacking output and defensive vulnerabilities this season, making a Both Teams To Score outcome likely. Albacete's dual striker setup can challenge Celta's back three, while Celta's wide attackers and wing-backs provide ample goal threat. The tactical dynamics and scoring trends suggest goals at both ends in this cup tie.

Main risk

In this match-up, it suggests Celta often play games where they contribute going forward but don’t always shut the door completely, which matters when you’re facing a home side that can throw.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams To Score rationale

“This fixture's contrasting formations and strong away scoring by Celta de Vigo II create an environment ripe for goals at both ends. Albacete's attacking duo and Celta's wing play should combine to produce a lively, goal-filled encounter.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score evidence

Albacete averages 3.00 total goals per game, indicating open matches.

Celta de Vigo II has scored in every away league game this season.

Both teams have BTTS rates above 55%, with Celta at 100% away.

Albacete's 4-4-2 formation supports dual striker pressure on Celta's back three.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score notes

  • Over the last five matches, both teams have maintained an 80% rate of games finishing over 2.5 goals.
  • This trend suggests a high-tempo game with frequent scoring chances, supporting the expectation of multiple goals and BTTS in this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Albacete1.6
Avg goals scored
Celta de Vigo II1.8
Albacete1.8
Avg goals conceded
Celta de Vigo II2.2
Albacete60%
BTTS rate
Celta de Vigo II100%
Albacete80%
Over 2.5 goals
Celta de Vigo II80%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 62% · edge +14.3 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
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Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 88%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 70%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 52%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 28%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Both teams have shown clear tendencies to score and concede, with Celta de Vigo II scoring in every away match and Albacete's games averaging three goals. This combination creates a strong likelihood for both sides to find the net in this fixture.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 62% · edge +14.3 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
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Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.5
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 70%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Celta de Vigo II Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Albacete to WinBet365 guide price · model 60%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Albacete Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 69%
1.35
Check odds @ 1.35
Celta de Vigo II to WinBetUK guide price · model 24%
5
Check odds @ 5
The 76% for Both Teams To Score sits against roughly 61.7% implied by the current price (+14.3 pts). Albacete show a 60% BTTS rate and Celta de Vigo II show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. That doesn’t make it “the” outcome, but it’s consistent with how their season has often landed: both teams scoring, margins tight.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Albacete

WWWLL
Last 53W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 1D 6L
07 Nov 2026A Leganes3-1
31 Oct 2026H Sabadell2-1
25 Oct 2026H Eldense2-0
17 Oct 2026A Sporting Gijon1-2
12 Oct 2026A Valladolid0-5

Celta de Vigo II

LDLDW
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 3D 5L
07 Nov 2026A Burgos1-2
31 Oct 2026H Cordoba2-2
24 Oct 2026A Girona1-5
19 Oct 2026H Tenerife1-1
10 Oct 2026H Real Sociedad II4-1
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 85% vs implied 86% · edge -0.6 pts
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
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Celta de Vigo II Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 48%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Albacete to WinBet365 guide price · model 60%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Albacete Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 69%
1.35
Check odds @ 1.35
Celta de Vigo II to WinBetUK guide price · model 24%
5
Check odds @ 5
DrawBet365 guide price · model 25%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
Recent form data shows Albacete scoring 1.6 goals per game with a 60% BTTS rate, while Celta de Vigo II scores 1.8 goals per game with a 100% BTTS rate. Both teams have an 80% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, reinforcing the expectation of an open, goal-rich game.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Albacete Over 2.5
80%Celta de Vigo II Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Over the last five matches, both teams have maintained an 80% rate of games finishing over 2.5 goals. This trend suggests a high-tempo game with frequent scoring chances, supporting the expectation of multiple goals and BTTS in this fixture.

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