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Ravenna crestRavenna
v
Forli crestForli

Serie C - Girone B | Sun 15 Nov, 16:30

Ravenna v Forli Stats

Data last updated: Sat 14 Nov 2026, 02:26 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Ravenna and Forli meet in a Serie C - Girone B clash where Ravenna's strong defensive record and Forli's struggles in attack set the stage for a low-scoring encounter. Ravenna ranks second with solid form, conceding just 0.8 goals per game, while Forli sits 15th, scoring less than one goal per match on average. Recent form data highlights Ravenna's ability to control games and limit opponents' chances, contrasting with Forli's difficulty in breaking down defenses. This tactical setup suggests a cautious game with limited goal-scoring opportunities, increasing the likelihood of a match finishing under 2.5 goals.

BT4Y best bet

Under 2.5 Goals

  • Ravenna concedes only 0.8 goals per game, showing strong defensive discipline
  • Forli averages just 0.8 goals scored per match, indicating limited attacking threat
  • Ravenna's recent matches have an 80% rate of over 2.5 goals but this is influenced by stronger opponents, not Forli
  • Head-to-head average goals stand at 2.2, supporting a lower scoring trend
  • Model projects a 58% chance for under 2.5 goals, with positive value at 2.1

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Under 2.5 Goals with a 58% probability, reflecting Ravenna's robust defense and Forli's low scoring output. Despite Ravenna's occasional high-scoring games, Forli's limited offensive capability and the head-to-head average of 2.2 goals suggest a controlled tempo and fewer scoring chances. The at 2.1 offer positive value, aligning with the tactical expectation of a tight contest. No data limitations affect , supporting a standard stake recommendation.

Ravenna Defensive StrengthConcedes 0.8 goals per game
Strong positive
Forli Offensive WeaknessScores 0.8 goals per game
Strong positive
Head-to-Head Goals Average2.2 goals per match
Positive
Model Probability58% model chance vs 47.6% implied (+10.4 pts)
Strong positive
Market Odds58% model chance vs 47.6% implied (+10.4 pts)
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Under 2.5 Goals is a sensible pick given Ravenna's disciplined defense and Forli's limited scoring record. The tactical setup points to a cautious game with few clear chances, supported by recent form and head-to-head data indicating a low-scoring pattern. This bet aligns well with the expected match dynamics and statistical trends.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Under 2.5 Goals rationale

“Ravenna's defensive solidity combined with Forli's struggles upfront creates a strong case for a low-scoring game. The tactical balance and recent data suggest Under 2.5 Goals is the most logical outcome in this fixture.”

Key Data Signals

Under 2.5 Goals evidence

Ravenna concedes only 0.8 goals per game, showing strong defensive discipline

Forli averages just 0.8 goals scored per match, indicating limited attacking threat

Head-to-head average goals stand at 2.2, supporting a lower scoring trend

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

  • Over the last ten head-to-head meetings, the average goals scored is 2.2, indicating a trend towards lower scoring games.
  • This sample suggests a tempo and tactical approach favoring defensive control and limited attacking risk, aligning with an Under 2.5 Goals expectation.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Ravenna2.4
Avg goals scored
Forli0.8
Ravenna0.8
Avg goals conceded
Forli1.2
Ravenna60%
BTTS rate
Forli40%
Ravenna80%
Over 2.5 goals
Forli20%
Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 58% vs implied 48% · edge +10.4 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 63%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 64%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 46%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 41%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 28%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Goal and BTTS data suggest a controlled scoring environment. Ravenna's defense limits goals conceded to 0.8 per game, while Forli's attack is modest at 0.8 goals scored. The head-to-head average of 2.2 goals supports a match with few scoring opportunities and a higher chance of BTTS No.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 63% vs implied 52% · edge +10.9 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
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Ravenna to WinBetUK guide price · model 74%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Forli Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 39%
4.15
Check odds @ 4.15
Ravenna Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 78%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Forli to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
6.5
Check odds @ 6.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 46%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
DrawBetfred guide price · model 18%
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
The 58% for Under 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 47.6% implied by the current price (+10.4 pts). The Over 2.5 trend is 80% for Ravenna and 20% for Forli, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Ravenna

WWWLW
Last 54W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 108W 0D 2L
07 Nov 2026A Vado3-1
01 Nov 2026H Pineto2-1
24 Oct 2026A Vis Pesaro4-0
18 Oct 2026H Spezia0-1
11 Oct 2026H Campobasso FC3-1

Forli

WLDLD
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 5D 3L
07 Nov 2026H Gubbio1-0
01 Nov 2026A Campobasso FC0-2
25 Oct 2026H Pianese0-0
17 Oct 2026A Guidonia Montecelio 19372-3
11 Oct 2026H Livorno1-1
Best odds for this sectionRavenna to WinBetUK guide price · Model 74% vs implied 71% · edge +2.6 pts
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
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Forli Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 39%
4.15
Check odds @ 4.15
Ravenna Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 78%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 86%
1.05
Check odds @ 1.05
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.55
Check odds @ 2.55
Forli to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
6.5
Check odds @ 6.5
DrawBetfred guide price · model 18%
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
Recent form shows Ravenna accumulating 12 points with a strong defensive record, conceding only 0.8 goals per game. Forli has struggled with just 5 points and a lower scoring rate of 0.8 goals per match. This contrast supports a low-scoring game with Ravenna controlling proceedings.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Ravenna Over 2.5
20%Forli Over 2.5
2.2H2H avg goals
Over the last ten head-to-head meetings, the average goals scored is 2.2, indicating a trend towards lower scoring games. This sample suggests a tempo and tactical approach favoring defensive control and limited attacking risk, aligning with an Under 2.5 Goals expectation.

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