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Potenza crestPotenza
v
Scafatese crestScafatese

Serie C - Girone C | Sun 15 Nov, 13:30

Potenza v Scafatese Stats

Data last updated: Sat 14 Nov 2026, 02:26 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Potenza and Scafatese face off in a Serie C - Girone C clash where attacking intent is clear from both sides. Potenza leads the table with strong offensive output, while Scafatese, ranked fourth, also shows solid goal-scoring form. Potenza's perfect record of matches exceeding 2.5 goals highlights their aggressive style, and Scafatese's decent scoring and BTTS rates suggest an open game. This fixture promises a lively encounter with both teams pushing forward, setting the stage for a potentially high-scoring contest.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • Potenza has a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate this season, indicating consistent high-scoring games.
  • Scafatese contributes with 60% Over 2.5 Goals matches, supporting an open game scenario.
  • Both teams have strong BTTS rates: Potenza at 100% and Scafatese at 80%, suggesting goals at both ends.
  • Potenza leads the league, reflecting strong attacking form and motivation to maintain control.
  • Scafatese’s fourth place and solid points tally indicate competitive spirit and goal involvement.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 75% chance to Over 2.5 Goals, reflecting the attacking profiles of both teams. Potenza’s perfect Over 2.5 record and high BTTS rate combine with Scafatese’s decent goal-scoring and BTTS stats to create a strong probability of multiple goals. The current of 1.62 offer positive value with a 13.3% edge, making this a compelling selection based on consistent offensive output and open tactical approaches from both sides.

Potenza Over 2.5 Rate100%
Strong positive
Scafatese Over 2.5 Rate60%
Positive
Potenza BTTS Rate100%
Strong positive
Scafatese BTTS Rate80%
Positive
Model Chance vs Implied Chance75% model chance vs 61.7% implied (+13.3 pts)
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect a dynamic match with Potenza’s attacking control and Scafatese’s competitive edge driving goal opportunities. Potenza’s league-leading form and perfect Over 2.5 record, combined with Scafatese’s ability to score, suggest multiple goals are likely in this fixture.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Goal-scoring potential and attacking styles

“Potenza’s relentless attack and Scafatese’s willingness to engage offensively set the stage for a high-scoring encounter, making Over 2.5 Goals a logical and data-backed choice.”

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

Potenza has a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate this season, indicating consistent high-scoring games.

Scafatese contributes with 60% Over 2.5 Goals matches, supporting an open game scenario.

Both teams have strong BTTS rates: Potenza at 100% and Scafatese at 80%, suggesting goals at both ends.

Potenza leads the league, reflecting strong attacking form and motivation to maintain control.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • In recent matches, Potenza has maintained a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate, while Scafatese’s 60% rate over the season supports a trend towards open, goal-rich games.
  • This trend panel suggests a high-tempo match with multiple scoring chances and goals.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Potenza2.8
Avg goals scored
Scafatese1.8
Potenza1.4
Avg goals conceded
Scafatese1.2
Potenza100%
BTTS rate
Scafatese80%
Potenza100%
Over 2.5 goals
Scafatese60%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · Model 75% vs implied 62% · edge +13.3 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 88%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 55%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 29%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Both teams demonstrate strong goal involvement with Potenza scoring 2.8 goals per match and Scafatese 1.8. Their BTTS rates of 100% and 80% respectively indicate frequent mutual scoring, reinforcing the likelihood of an open game with multiple goals.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · Model 75% vs implied 62% · edge +13.3 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Potenza to WinBet365 guide price · model 71%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Potenza Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.38
Check odds @ 1.38
Scafatese Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
3
Check odds @ 3
Scafatese to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
DrawBet365 guide price · model 22%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
The 75% for Over 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 61.7% implied by the current price (+13.3 pts). The Over 2.5 trend is 100% for Potenza and 60% for Scafatese, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Potenza

WWDWW
Last 54W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 107W 2D 1L
08 Nov 2026A Savoia3-1
01 Nov 2026H Crotone4-2
23 Oct 2026A Team Altamura2-2
17 Oct 2026H Catania2-1
11 Oct 2026A Foggia3-1

Scafatese

WDLWD
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 4D 1L
07 Nov 2026H Audace Cerignola4-1
31 Oct 2026A Bari1-1
27 Oct 2026A Inter U231-2
24 Oct 2026H Barletta1-0
17 Oct 2026A Salernitana2-2
Best odds for this sectionPotenza to WinBet365 guide price · Model 71% vs implied 62% · edge +8.9 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Load more odds for this section
Potenza Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.38
Check odds @ 1.38
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 86%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
Scafatese Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
3
Check odds @ 3
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Scafatese to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
DrawBet365 guide price · model 22%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Potenza’s recent form shows 13 points with a perfect Over 2.5 Goals rate, highlighting consistent high-scoring matches. Scafatese’s 8 points and 60% Over 2.5 rate indicate a slightly less prolific but still offensively capable side, supporting expectations of multiple goals.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Potenza Over 2.5
60%Scafatese Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
In recent matches, Potenza has maintained a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate, while Scafatese’s 60% rate over the season supports a trend towards open, goal-rich games. This trend panel suggests a high-tempo match with multiple scoring chances and goals.

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