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SC Braga crestSC Braga
v
SC Freiburg crestSC Freiburg

UEFA Europa League | Thu 30 Apr, 20:00

SC Braga v SC Freiburg Stats

Data last updated: Wed 24 Jun 2026, 13:59 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

SC Braga face SC Freiburg in UEFA Europa League on Thu 30 Apr, 20:00. Braga have averaged nearly two goals per game, finding the net in every fixture during this recent period. Braga have scored in each of their last six matches, netting 10 goals in that run while conceding just five.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams To Score

  • At 20/23, Both Teams To Score implies roughly 54%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 57%.
  • 🎯 Both Teams to Score – Yes: Rationale
  • SC Braga show a 40% BTTS rate and SC Freiburg show a 40% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • SC Braga average 1.8 goals scored and SC Freiburg average 2.2, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 57% for Both Teams To Score sits against roughly 54% implied by the current price. SC Braga show a that shared-scoring rate rate and SC Freiburg show a 40% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. 🎯 Both Teams to Score – Yes: Rationale

Model chance vs price57% model chance against roughly 54% implied
Neutral
SC Braga show a 40% BTTS rate and SC Freiburg.Visible data support
Positive
SC Braga average 1.8 goals scored and SC Freiburg average.Visible data support
Positive
🎯 Both Teams to Score – Yes: RationaleArticle support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because 🎯 Both Teams to Score – Yes: Rationale SC Braga show a that shared-scoring rate rate and SC Freiburg show a 40% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Braga's home attacking rhythm is established, but their defensive lapses suggest a stalemate is possible.

Main risk

Braga's home attacking rhythm is established, but their defensive lapses suggest a stalemate is possible.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score evidence

🎯 Both Teams to Score – Yes: Rationale

SC Braga show a 40% BTTS rate and SC Freiburg show a 40% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

SC Braga average 1.8 goals scored and SC Freiburg average 2.2, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

SC Braga1.8
Avg goals scored
SC Freiburg2.2
SC Braga1
Avg goals conceded
SC Freiburg0.8
SC Braga40%
BTTS rate
SC Freiburg40%
SC Braga40%
Over 2.5 goals
SC Freiburg60%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 57% vs implied 27% · edge +30 pts
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
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Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 62%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 43%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 61%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 25%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 47%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 57% vs implied 27% · edge +30 pts
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
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SC Freiburg to WinBetMGM guide price · model 49%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Over 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 68%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
SC Freiburg Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 59%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 43%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
SC Braga Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 45%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 46%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

SC Braga4.6
Avg corners for
SC Freiburg3.6
SC Braga6.6
Avg total corners
SC Freiburg8.4
SC Braga2.8
Avg yellow cards
SC Freiburg1.8
SC Braga7.8
Avg shots
SC Freiburg9.2
Best odds for this sectionOver 4.5 CardsBet365 guide price · Model 61% vs implied 46% · edge +15.4 pts
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
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Over 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 68%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 46%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 4.5 Cards needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

SC Braga

WDWLD
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 3D 2L
16 Apr 2026A Real Betis4-2
08 Apr 2026H Real Betis1-1
18 Mar 2026H Ferencvarosi TC4-0
12 Mar 2026A Ferencvarosi TC0-2
29 Jan 2026A GO Ahead Eagles0-0

SC Freiburg

WWWLL
Last 53W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 107W 1D 2L
16 Apr 2026A Celta Vigo3-1
09 Apr 2026H Celta Vigo3-0
19 Mar 2026H Genk5-1
12 Mar 2026A Genk0-1
29 Jan 2026A Lille0-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 77% vs implied 63% · edge +13.8 pts
1.59
Check odds @ 1.59
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SC Freiburg to WinBetMGM guide price · model 49%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
SC Freiburg Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 59%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
SC Braga Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 45%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 62%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 28%
3
Check odds @ 3
SC Braga to WinBetfred guide price · model 35%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0SC Braga wins
0Draws
0SC Freiburg wins
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 57% vs implied 27% · edge +30 pts
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
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SC Freiburg to WinBetMGM guide price · model 49%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 43%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 28%
3
Check odds @ 3
SC Braga to WinBetfred guide price · model 35%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
There is no strong recent head-to-head sample for BTTS Yes, which makes current output, injuries and market timing more important than historic meetings.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

UEFA Europa League

SC Braga20
Played
SC Freiburg15
SC Braga1.9
Avg goals for
SC Freiburg1.7
SC Braga0.8
Avg goals against
SC Freiburg0.9
SC Braga11
Clean sheets
SC Freiburg5
Best odds for this sectionSC Freiburg to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 49% vs implied 29% · edge +19.8 pts
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Load more odds for this section
SC Freiburg Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 59%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
SC Braga Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 45%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
SC Braga to WinBetfred guide price · model 35%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Season data supports SC Freiburg to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
6SC Braga1785216
7SC Freiburg1785216
UEFA Europa League standings are background only here: the useful read is whether the form and chance profile translate into control, territory and clear openings in this specific fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%SC Braga Over 2.5
60%SC Freiburg Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: SC Braga sit at 40% and SC Freiburg sit at 60%, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

SC Braga v SC Freiburg prediction

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Next step

Betting context

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