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Allsvenskan | Wed 28 Oct, 18:00

Degerfors IF v Vasteras SK FK Stats

Data last updated: Tue 27 Oct 2026, 20:27 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Vasteras SK FK enters this Allsvenskan clash in strong form, having collected 9 points recently compared to Degerfors IF's single point. Vasteras SK FK's attack is notably more potent, averaging 1.6 goals per game against Degerfors IF's 0.4, while their defense concedes less than one goal per match. Positioned 6th in the league with 38 points, Vasteras SK FK have the momentum and quality edge over 14th-placed Degerfors IF, who have struggled to find the net and maintain defensive solidity. This fixture presents a clear opportunity for Vasteras SK FK to capitalize on their superior form and squad depth.

BT4Y best bet

Vasteras SK FK to Win

  • Vasteras SK FK have won 70% with strong recent form and squad stats
  • Degerfors IF average only 0.4 goals per game, struggling offensively
  • Vasteras SK FK concede just 0.8 goals per game, showing defensive resilience
  • Vasteras SK FK's M. Ladefoged has 9 goals and 1.32 shots on target per 90 minutes
  • Head-to-head average goals over last 10 matches is 3, indicating attacking potential

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Vasteras SK FK to win with a 70% chance, reflecting their superior recent form, offensive output, and defensive stability. Their attackers, led by M. Ladefoged, consistently generate high-quality chances, supported by strong shot volumes and accuracy. Degerfors IF's low scoring rate and defensive vulnerabilities further tilt the balance. The at 2.8 offer positive value given the model's implied probability of 35.7%, making this a confident selection based on data and tactical context.

Recent FormVasteras SK FK have 9 points vs Degerfors IF's 1 in last matches
Strong positive
Goal ScoringVasteras SK FK average 1.6 goals per game, Degerfors IF 0.4
Strong positive
Defensive RecordVasteras SK FK concede 0.8 goals per game, Degerfors IF concede 2
Strong positive
Player ImpactM. Ladefoged with 9 goals and 1.32 SOT/90
Positive
Market ValueOdds 2.8 imply 35.7% chance vs model 70%
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Vasteras SK FK's superior offensive firepower and recent momentum make them the clear choice to win this fixture. Their ability to create and convert chances, combined with a more stable defense, provides a tactical and statistical edge over Degerfors IF, who have struggled to find form and goals.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · team strengths and attacking balance

“Vasteras SK FK's attacking trio, spearheaded by Ladefoged, offers a consistent goal threat, while their defensive discipline keeps games under control. This balance should see them secure victory against a struggling Degerfors side.”

Key Data Signals

Vasteras SK FK to Win evidence

Vasteras SK FK have won 70% with strong recent form and squad stats

Degerfors IF average only 0.4 goals per game, struggling offensively

Vasteras SK FK concede just 0.8 goals per game, showing defensive resilience

Vasteras SK FK's M. Ladefoged has 9 goals and 1.32 shots on target per 90 minutes

What To Watch In The Data

Vasteras SK FK to Win notes

  • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 3, suggesting an open game with scoring opportunities.
  • This trend aligns with Vasteras SK FK's attacking style and Degerfors IF's defensive vulnerabilities, indicating a match likely to feature multiple goals and justify an Over 2.5 goals consideration.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Degerfors IF0.4
Avg goals scored
Vasteras SK FK1.6
Degerfors IF2
Avg goals conceded
Vasteras SK FK0.8
Degerfors IF40%
BTTS rate
Vasteras SK FK40%
Degerfors IF40%
Over 2.5 goals
Vasteras SK FK40%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 60% vs implied 59% · edge +1.2 pts
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
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Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 56%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 48%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 44%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 30%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Both teams have a 40% rate for over 2.5 goals and BTTS, but Vasteras SK FK's higher scoring and better defense suggest they can control the game tempo and limit Degerfors IF's chances. The average of 3 goals in their last 10 meetings indicates potential for goals but with Vasteras SK FK likely dominating the scoring.

Continue the research

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickVasteras SK FK to WinBetUK guide price · Model 51% vs implied 36% · edge +15 pts
2.8
Check odds @ 2.8
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Vasteras SK FK Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 65%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 71%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 60%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 48%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
The 50.7% for Vasteras SK FK to Win sits against roughly 35.7% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Vasteras SK FK have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 1 for Degerfors IF.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Degerfors IF

LLDLL
Last 50W 1D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 1D 6L
24 Oct 2026A BK Hacken0-4
19 Oct 2026H Kalmar FF1-2
10 Oct 2026A Mjallby AIF1-1
20 Sep 2026H Hammarby FF0-1
14 Sep 2026A Sirius0-2

Vasteras SK FK

LWLWW
Last 53W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 1D 4L
23 Oct 2026H Halmstad1-2
18 Oct 2026H Mjallby AIF1-0
09 Oct 2026A IFK Goteborg0-1
19 Sep 2026H Malmo FF2-0
12 Sep 2026A AIK Stockholm4-1
Market aligned with main pickVasteras SK FK to WinBetUK guide price · Model 51% vs implied 36% · edge +15 pts
2.8
Check odds @ 2.8
Load more odds for this section
Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 80%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Vasteras SK FK Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 65%
2
Check odds @ 2
Recent form heavily favors Vasteras SK FK, who have secured 9 points in their last matches compared to Degerfors IF's single point. Vasteras SK FK's improved attacking output and defensive solidity have translated into consistent results, while Degerfors IF have struggled to score and maintain clean sheets, highlighting a form gap that influences the expected outcome.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Degerfors IF Over 2.5
40%Vasteras SK FK Over 2.5
3H2H avg goals
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 3, suggesting an open game with scoring opportunities. This trend aligns with Vasteras SK FK's attacking style and Degerfors IF's defensive vulnerabilities, indicating a match likely to feature multiple goals and justify an Over 2.5 goals consideration.

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