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Celtic crestCeltic
v
Dundee Utd crestDundee Utd

Premiership | Wed 28 Oct, 19:45

Celtic v Dundee Utd Stats

Data last updated: Tue 27 Oct 2026, 07:54 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Celtic visit Dens Park aiming to assert their control in the Premiership with a style built on possession control and high attacking volume, averaging 17 shots per game and 66.8% possession. Meanwhile, Dundee Utd have shown resilience with 19 points from their last 13 matches and a strong aerial presence, winning 20.7 duels per game, which fuels their set-piece threat. Celtic's defensive vulnerabilities and Dundee's recent scoring form suggest an open contest where both teams are likely to find the net, setting up a tactical battle between Celtic's technical superiority and Dundee's physicality and counter-attacking potential.

BT4Y match pick

Celtic to Win & Both Teams to Score

  • Celtic average 17 shots per game, dominating possession and territory.
  • Dundee Utd have scored in five of their last six league matches, showing consistent threat.
  • Dundee's aerial strength with 20.7 duels won per game offers set-piece scoring opportunities.
  • Celtic are vulnerable defensively, prone to individual errors and conceding chances.
  • Recent form shows Celtic strong favorites but Dundee's resilience suggests goals at both ends.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model supports Celtic to Win & Both Teams to Score based on Celtic's high attacking volume and Dundee's consistent goal-scoring form. Celtic's average of 17 shots per game and 56 goals this season highlight their offensive firepower, while Dundee's ability to score in five of their last six matches and aerial control create realistic chances against Celtic's defensive weaknesses. Although the are slightly short, the combination of Celtic's technical control and Dundee's resilience underpins the likelihood of both teams scoring in a competitive match. Reduced stakes are advised due to the price sensitivity.

Celtic attacking volume17 shots per game
Strong positive
Dundee scoring consistencyGoals in 5 of last 6 matches
Positive
Dundee aerial duels won20.7 per game
Positive
Celtic defensive vulnerabilityWeak at preventing chances
Positive
Price sensitivity35.9% model chance vs 37% implied (-1.1 pts)
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Celtic's control in possession and attacking volume combined with Dundee's recent scoring form make Celtic to Win & Both Teams to Score a compelling pick. The tactical contrast between Celtic's control and Dundee's aerial threat and resilience suggests a match where both sides will find opportunities. Celtic's need to restore rhythm after recent setbacks adds urgency to their attack, while Dundee's improved form ensures they will not be easily subdued.

Main risk

Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match tactical and scoring dynamics

“Celtic's technical superiority and high shot volume set the stage for a win, but Dundee's aerial strength and scoring consistency mean this game is unlikely to be a shutout. Expect a dynamic contest with goals at both ends.”

Key Data Signals

Celtic to Win & Both Teams to Score evidence

Celtic average 17 shots per game, dominating possession and territory.

Dundee Utd have scored in five of their last six league matches, showing consistent threat.

Dundee's aerial strength with 20.7 duels won per game offers set-piece scoring opportunities.

Celtic are vulnerable defensively, prone to individual errors and conceding chances.

What To Watch In The Data

Celtic to Win & Both Teams to Score notes

  • In the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 3.1, indicating a trend toward open, attacking games.
  • Both teams have contributed to this scoring rate, reinforcing the likelihood of over 2.5 goals.
  • This trend aligns with recent form and tactical setups, suggesting a match with sustained tempo and multiple goal-scoring chances.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Celtic2.4
Avg goals scored
Dundee Utd1.8
Celtic0.6
Avg goals conceded
Dundee Utd0.8
Celtic40%
BTTS rate
Dundee Utd60%
Celtic40%
Over 2.5 goals
Dundee Utd40%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 60% · edge +6.8 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
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Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 44%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 72%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 37%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 54%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 36%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Both teams have shown recent scoring ability: Celtic average 2.4 goals per game while Dundee average 1.8, with Dundee scoring in five of their last six matches. Celtic's defensive vulnerabilities and Dundee's aerial strength increase the likelihood of goals at both ends, supporting the BTTS component alongside Celtic's winning chances.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Celtic

WWWLW
Last 54W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 109W 0D 1L
25 Oct 2026A Hibernian2-1
18 Oct 2026H Heart Of Midlothian7-1
11 Oct 2026A Motherwell2-0
20 Sep 2026H Rangers0-1
09 Sep 2026A ST Johnstone1-0

Dundee Utd

WDWWD
Last 53W 2D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 3D 3L
24 Oct 2026H Aberdeen3-2
17 Oct 2026A ST Johnstone1-1
10 Oct 2026H Hibernian1-0
19 Sep 2026A ST Mirren3-0
05 Sep 2026H Falkirk1-1
Market aligned with main pickHome / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 80% vs implied 94% · edge -13.8 pts
1.07
Check odds @ 1.07
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Celtic Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 62%
1.16
Check odds @ 1.16
Celtic to WinBetfred guide price · model 53%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Recent form data shows Celtic securing 12 points with an average of 2.4 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game, indicating strong offensive and defensive output. Dundee Utd have earned 11 points with 1.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded, reflecting improved resilience and scoring consistency. Both teams have a 40% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, supporting expectations for an open game with multiple scoring opportunities.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickCeltic Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 62% vs implied 86% · edge -24 pts
1.16
Check odds @ 1.16
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Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 54%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Celtic to WinBetfred guide price · model 53%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
The 35.9% for Celtic to Win & Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 37% implied by the current price (-1.1 pts). Celtic need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Celtic on 12 and Dundee Utd on 11. Celtic's technical focus often sees them concede a height and aerial advantage to more direct sides.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Celtic Over 2.5
40%Dundee Utd Over 2.5
3.1H2H avg goals
In the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 3.1, indicating a trend toward open, attacking games. Both teams have contributed to this scoring rate, reinforcing the likelihood of over 2.5 goals. This trend aligns with recent form and tactical setups, suggesting a match with sustained tempo and multiple goal-scoring chances.

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