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Fulham crestFulham
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Crystal Palace crestCrystal Palace

Premier League | Sat 05 Sep, 15:00

Fulham v Crystal Palace Stats

Data last updated: Fri 04 Sep 2026, 07:54 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Fulham and Crystal Palace meet at Craven Cottage still searching for attacking rhythm after disappointing starts to the Premier League season. Both sides have struggled to create clear chances, with Fulham failing to register a shot on target in their last match and Palace managing only one against Manchester City. Managerial transitions and late transfer activity have unsettled both teams, leaving their forward lines lacking fluency. Historical encounters and recent form suggest a cautious, low-scoring affair as both sides aim to avoid early-season defeats and build cohesion under new regimes.

BT4Y best bet

Under 2.5 Goals

  • Both teams have shown blunt attacking displays with limited shots on target in recent matches.
  • Fulham won the corner count in both opening fixtures, indicating some territorial pressure.
  • Crystal Palace have earned only two corners across two matches, showing limited sustained attacking pressure.
  • Five of the last seven head-to-head meetings between these clubs finished with fewer than three goals.
  • Key Palace forwards Mateta and Sarr are injured, limiting their attacking options.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model supports Under 2.5 Goals based on both teams' low attacking output and defensive caution. Fulham and Crystal Palace have averaged few shots on target and corners, reflecting limited offensive threat. Historical head-to-head data shows a trend toward low-scoring matches, with five of the last seven encounters under three goals. The model's 53.2% chance aligns closely with the market , indicating a small positive . No data limitations affect , making this a solid low-scoring prediction for this fixture.

Low Shots on TargetFulham 3, Palace 2.5 avg per match
Strong positive
Corner CountsFulham 5 avg, Palace 1 avg
Positive
Head-to-Head Goals2.4 avg goals over last 10 matches
Positive
Injuries to Key ForwardsPalace missing Mateta and Sarr
Positive
Model Confidence53% chance for Under 2.5 Goals
Positive
Main risk

Risk Factor: Correct score predictions are fragile; a second goal or 0-0 result invalidates the 1-1 outcome.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Low-scoring tactical battle

“This fixture is shaped by tactical caution and limited attacking cohesion, making a low-scoring outcome the most probable scenario. Both teams' inability to convert possession into quality chances underlines the value in backing Under 2.5 Goals.”

Key Data Signals

Under 2.5 Goals evidence

Both teams have shown blunt attacking displays with limited shots on target in recent matches.

Fulham won the corner count in both opening fixtures, indicating some territorial pressure.

Crystal Palace have earned only two corners across two matches, showing limited sustained attacking pressure.

Five of the last seven head-to-head meetings between these clubs finished with fewer than three goals.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

  • Over the last ten meetings, the average goals per game is 2.4, with five of the last seven matches finishing under three goals.
  • This trend reflects a tempo favoring defensive caution and limited attacking breakthroughs, consistent with the Under 2.5 Goals prediction for this match.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Fulham1
Avg goals scored
Crystal Palace0.5
Fulham2
Avg goals conceded
Crystal Palace3
Fulham50%
BTTS rate
Crystal Palace50%
Fulham50%
Over 2.5 goals
Crystal Palace50%
Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 53% vs implied 52% · edge +0.8 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 51%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 69%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 33%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 37%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Both teams have shown limited attacking threat, with Fulham averaging 3 shots and Palace 2.5 shots on target per game, and low corner counts indicating scarce sustained pressure. Recent matches and head-to-head results favor a low goal count and a likely BTTS No scenario, as defensive solidity and blunt offenses dominate the tactical landscape.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Fulham

LL
Last 50W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 2L
30 Aug 2026A Sunderland0-1
24 Aug 2026H Chelsea2-3

Crystal Palace

LL
Last 50W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 2L
28 Aug 2026H Manchester City1-4
22 Aug 2026A Everton0-2
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 79% vs implied 75% · edge +3.9 pts
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Load more odds for this section
Fulham to WinBetfred guide price · model 52%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Fulham Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 61%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 60%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Crystal Palace to WinBetfred guide price · model 32%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Crystal Palace Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
DrawBetfred guide price · model 27%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Both teams have yet to secure points this season, with Fulham scoring 1 goal and conceding 2, and Palace scoring 0.5 and conceding 3 on average. Their Under 2.5 Goals rate stands at 50%, reflecting recent low-scoring matches. This form data underscores the likelihood of a cautious game with limited goal-scoring opportunities from either side.

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Useful next reads

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League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
16Fulham02002-2
18Crystal Palace02002-5
Both teams sit near the lower end of the Premier League table with zero points, indicating early-season struggles. While standings pressure exists, the tactical and attacking limitations observed are more decisive for this fixture's low-scoring expectation than league position alone.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 60% · edge +6.8 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
Fulham to WinBetfred guide price · model 52%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Fulham Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 61%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Over 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 58%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 51%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Crystal Palace to WinBetfred guide price · model 32%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Crystal Palace Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
The Under 2.5 Goals market is priced close to the model's 53% probability, reflecting a balanced view of the fixture's low-scoring potential. The small positive suggests the fairly represent the cautious attacking outlook, with no major price sensitivity flags. This market offers a sensible option for bettors seeking a low-risk goal total prediction.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Fulham5
Avg corners for
Crystal Palace1
Fulham8.5
Avg total corners
Crystal Palace6
Fulham2
Avg yellow cards
Crystal Palace1
Fulham12.5
Avg shots
Crystal Palace10
Best odds for this sectionOver 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · Model 58% vs implied 58% · edge -0.3 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Load more odds for this section
Over 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
Over 9.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 32%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 38%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Fulham's higher corner average of 5 per match suggests territorial advantage and repeated wide deliveries, though these have yet to translate into high-quality chances. Crystal Palace's low corner count of 1 per game reflects their difficulty sustaining pressure. Disciplinary data shows moderate card risk, with Fulham's J. Andersen notable for fouls and bookings, indicating a competitive but controlled match environment.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2Fulham wins
4Draws
4Crystal Palace wins
07 Aug 2026Fulham v Crystal Palace1-2
01 Jan 2026Crystal Palace v Fulham1-1
07 Dec 2025Fulham v Crystal Palace1-2
29 Mar 2025Fulham v Crystal Palace0-3
22 Feb 2025Fulham v Crystal Palace0-2
09 Nov 2024Crystal Palace v Fulham0-2
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 60% · edge +6.8 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
Fulham to WinBetfred guide price · model 52%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 51%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Crystal Palace to WinBetfred guide price · model 32%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
DrawBetfred guide price · model 27%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Recent head-to-head encounters show a pattern of close, low-scoring games, with Crystal Palace unbeaten in the last four meetings and three wins including a 2-1 victory at Craven Cottage last season. The historical data supports a tight contest with limited goal volume, aligning with the Under 2.5 Goals pick.
Season team stats

Premier League

Fulham2
Played
Crystal Palace2
Fulham1
Avg goals for
Crystal Palace0.5
Fulham2
Avg goals against
Crystal Palace3
Fulham0
Clean sheets
Crystal Palace0
Best odds for this sectionFulham to WinBetfred guide price · Model 52% vs implied 44% · edge +8.3 pts
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Load more odds for this section
Fulham Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 61%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Crystal Palace to WinBetfred guide price · model 32%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Crystal Palace Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Season-long statistics reinforce the low-scoring outlook, with Fulham and Crystal Palace averaging modest goals per game and maintaining defensive structures that limit opponent chances. Fulham's higher corner count suggests territorial control but not necessarily goal conversion, while Palace's lean attacking numbers emphasize their struggle to break down defenses, supporting the Under 2.5 Goals selection.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

50%Fulham Over 2.5
50%Crystal Palace Over 2.5
2.4H2H avg goals
Over the last ten meetings, the average goals per game is 2.4, with five of the last seven matches finishing under three goals. This trend reflects a tempo favoring defensive caution and limited attacking breakthroughs, consistent with the Under 2.5 Goals prediction for this match.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Fulham v Crystal Palace prediction

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