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Fulham crestFulham
v
Crystal Palace crestCrystal Palace

Premier League | Sat 05 Sep, 15:00

Fulham v Crystal Palace Stats

Data last updated: Fri 25 Sep 2026, 11:55 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Fulham face Crystal Palace in Premier League on Sat 05 Sep, 15:00. Josh King also scored against Chelsea in the opening league game and was among Fulham’s brighter performers at Sunderland. A 1-1 scoreline balances Fulham’s modest home scoring with Palace’s resilience and recent unbeaten record. The transition has been unforgiving.

BT4Y best bet

Under 2

  • At 10/11, Under 2 implies roughly 52%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 53%.
  • Fulham failed to register any shots on target at Sunderland, while Palace managed only one against Manchester City.
  • The Over 2.5 trend is 50% for Fulham and 50% for Crystal Palace, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
  • Fulham are carrying more of the scoring load at 1 goals per match, with Crystal Palace at 0.5.
  • BTTS rates of 50% for Fulham and 50% for Crystal Palace show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 53% for Under 2 sits against roughly 52% implied by the current price. The Over 2.5 trend is 50% for Fulham and 50% for Crystal Palace, so the goals angle is not just a price call. Fulham failed to register any shots on target at Sunderland, while Palace managed only one against Manchester City.

Model chance vs price53% model chance against roughly 52% implied
Neutral
The Over 2.5 trend is 50% for Fulham and 50%.Visible data support
Positive
Fulham are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.Visible data support
Positive
Fulham failed to register any shots on target at.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Under that scoring level is the preferred angle because selection: Under 2.5 Goals. Fulham are carrying more of the scoring load at that scoring level per match, with Crystal Palace at 0.5. Risk Factor: Correct score predictions are fragile; a second goal or 0-0 result invalidates the 1-1 outcome.

Main risk

Risk Factor: Correct score predictions are fragile; a second goal or 0-0 result invalidates the 1-1 outcome.

Key Data Signals

Under 2 evidence

Selection: Under 2.5 Goals.

Fulham are carrying more of the scoring load at 1 goals per match, with Crystal Palace at 0.5.

BTTS rates of 50% for Fulham and 50% for Crystal Palace show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2 notes

  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Fulham1
Avg goals scored
Crystal Palace0.5
Fulham2
Avg goals conceded
Crystal Palace3
Fulham50%
BTTS rate
Crystal Palace50%
Fulham50%
Over 2.5 goals
Crystal Palace50%
Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 53% vs implied 52% · edge +0.8 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 51%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 69%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 33%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 37%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Under 2.5 Goals is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: recent Over 2.5 rates are 50% for Fulham and 50% for Crystal Palace, so the goals line needs support from both scoring profiles.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Fulham

LL
Last 50W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 2L
30 Aug 2026A Sunderland0-1
24 Aug 2026H Chelsea2-3

Crystal Palace

LL
Last 50W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 2L
28 Aug 2026H Manchester City1-4
22 Aug 2026A Everton0-2
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 71% vs implied 75% · edge -4.7 pts
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
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Fulham to WinBetfred guide price · model 43%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Fulham Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 53%
1.72
Check odds @ 1.72
Crystal Palace Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
Crystal Palace to WinBetfred guide price · model 30%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
DrawBetfred guide price · model 27%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
15Crystal Palace45113-5
19Fulham25023-3
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 60% · edge +6.8 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
Over 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 58%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 51%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Fulham to WinBetfred guide price · model 43%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Fulham Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 53%
1.72
Check odds @ 1.72
Crystal Palace Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
Crystal Palace to WinBetfred guide price · model 30%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Fulham5
Avg corners for
Crystal Palace1
Fulham8.5
Avg total corners
Crystal Palace6
Fulham2
Avg yellow cards
Crystal Palace1
Fulham12.5
Avg shots
Crystal Palace10
Best odds for this sectionOver 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · Model 58% vs implied 58% · edge -0.3 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Load more odds for this section
Over 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
Over 9.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 32%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 38%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 3.5 Cards needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2Fulham wins
4Draws
4Crystal Palace wins
07 Aug 2026Fulham v Crystal Palace1-2
01 Jan 2026Crystal Palace v Fulham1-1
07 Dec 2025Fulham v Crystal Palace1-2
29 Mar 2025Fulham v Crystal Palace0-3
22 Feb 2025Fulham v Crystal Palace0-2
09 Nov 2024Crystal Palace v Fulham0-2
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 60% · edge +6.8 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 51%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Fulham to WinBetfred guide price · model 43%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Crystal Palace to WinBetfred guide price · model 30%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
DrawBetfred guide price · model 27%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
The head-to-head sample gives context for BTTS Yes, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Season team stats

Premier League

Fulham5
Played
Crystal Palace5
Fulham1
Avg goals for
Crystal Palace1.2
Fulham1.6
Avg goals against
Crystal Palace2.2
Fulham1
Clean sheets
Crystal Palace1
Best odds for this sectionFulham to WinBetfred guide price · Model 43% vs implied 44% · edge -0.3 pts
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Load more odds for this section
Fulham Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 53%
1.72
Check odds @ 1.72
Crystal Palace Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
Crystal Palace to WinBetfred guide price · model 30%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Season data supports Fulham to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

50%Fulham Over 2.5
50%Crystal Palace Over 2.5
2.4H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Fulham sit at 50% and Crystal Palace sit at 50% with the H2H average at 2.4 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.