Football Stats Hub

IFK Goteborg crestIFK Goteborg
v
Djurgardens IF crestDjurgardens IF

Allsvenskan | Wed 28 Oct, 18:00

IFK Goteborg v Djurgardens IF Stats

Data last updated: Tue 27 Oct 2026, 19:22 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

IFK Goteborg hosts Djurgardens IF in a crucial Allsvenskan clash where both teams seek to consolidate their league positions. Goteborg, sitting ninth, aims to leverage home advantage and recent steady form, while Djurgardens IF, third in the table, looks to maintain their push for higher standings. Both sides have shown balanced defensive records, but Goteborg's slightly better home resilience and tactical discipline could be decisive in a match expected to be tightly contested and tactically nuanced.

BT4Y best bet

IFK Goteborg or Draw

  • IFK Goteborg has a strong home defensive record with 0.8 goals conceded per game.
  • Djurgardens IF ranks higher but has a similar defensive profile, conceding 0.8 goals per game.
  • Goteborg's recent form yields 11 points with a 60% BTTS rate, indicating competitive matches.
  • Model assigns a 74.9% chance for IFK Goteborg or Draw, showing significant value at 1.8 .
  • Goteborg averages more corners (5.6) and shots (13.6) than Djurgardens IF, suggesting territorial advantage.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors IFK Goteborg or Draw with a 74.9% chance, reflecting their solid home form and defensive stability. Goteborg's ability to generate more shots and corners indicates territorial control, while Djurgardens IF's similar defensive stats suggest a tight game. The 19.3% at 1.8 highlights a profitable opportunity, supported by Goteborg's recent points accumulation and tactical discipline. This pick balances the home side's resilience against a strong away opponent, making it a sensible double chance selection.

Home Defensive Strength0.8 goals conceded per game
Strong positive
Recent Form Points11 points in recent matches
Positive
Shots and Corners13.6 shots and 5.6 corners per game for Goteborg
Positive
Value Edge44.4% model chance vs 29.4% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Away Team Defensive Profile0.8 goals conceded per game for Djurgardens IF
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

IFK Goteborg's home form and defensive solidity make the double chance a prudent choice against a strong Djurgardens IF side. The home team’s ability to control territory and create chances, combined with Djurgardens IF’s balanced defense, suggests a competitive match where Goteborg can avoid defeat. This bet captures the tactical balance and recent form dynamics effectively.

Main risk

Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Tactical and form-based match assessment

“Goteborg’s home resilience and territorial control create a solid foundation for avoiding defeat, especially against a disciplined Djurgardens IF side that struggles to convert limited chances into goals.”

Key Data Signals

IFK Goteborg or Draw evidence

IFK Goteborg has a strong home defensive record with 0.8 goals conceded per game.

Djurgardens IF ranks higher but has a similar defensive profile, conceding 0.8 goals per game.

Goteborg's recent form yields 11 points with a 60% BTTS rate, indicating competitive matches.

Model assigns a 74.9% chance for IFK Goteborg or Draw, showing significant value at 1.8 .

What To Watch In The Data

IFK Goteborg or Draw notes

  • Over the last ten matches, the average goals per game between these teams is 3.3, indicating a moderately high scoring trend.
  • Both teams have a 40% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals, suggesting potential for goals but not consistently high-scoring affairs.
  • The trend points to a balanced tempo with chances for both sides, aligning with a cautious double chance bet.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

IFK Goteborg1.4
Avg goals scored
Djurgardens IF1.6
IFK Goteborg0.8
Avg goals conceded
Djurgardens IF0.8
IFK Goteborg60%
BTTS rate
Djurgardens IF40%
IFK Goteborg40%
Over 2.5 goals
Djurgardens IF40%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 65% · edge +1.3 pts
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 51%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 71%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 37%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 35%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Both teams have similar defensive records conceding 0.8 goals per game, with Goteborg showing a 60% BTTS rate and Djurgardens IF 40%. The goal trends suggest a moderately open game with potential for both teams to score, but defensive discipline may limit high scoring, supporting a cautious approach to goal markets.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

corners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

IFK Goteborg

DDWWW
Last 53W 2D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 3D 1L
25 Oct 2026A Gais1-1
17 Oct 2026A AIK Stockholm2-2
09 Oct 2026H Vasteras SK FK1-0
19 Sep 2026A IF Brommapojkarna1-0
12 Sep 2026H Halmstad2-1

Djurgardens IF

DWWLW
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 107W 1D 2L
24 Oct 2026H Orgryte IS2-2
16 Oct 2026A IF Brommapojkarna2-0
11 Oct 2026A Hammarby FF1-0
20 Sep 2026H IF Elfsborg1-2
14 Sep 2026H Gais2-0
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
IFK Goteborg Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 56%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
IFK Goteborg to WinBetfred guide price · model 44%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 68%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
DrawBetfred guide price · model 29%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Djurgardens IF Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 49%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Djurgardens IF to WinBet365 guide price · model 38%
2
Check odds @ 2
Goteborg’s recent form shows 11 points with a 60% BTTS rate, indicating competitive matches with goal involvement. Djurgardens IF has 10 points and a slightly lower BTTS rate, reflecting solid but less prolific recent performances. This form data supports a close contest where Goteborg’s home advantage and momentum may prevent defeat.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionIFK Goteborg Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 56% vs implied 44% · edge +12.4 pts
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Load more odds for this section
IFK Goteborg to WinBetfred guide price · model 44%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
DrawBetfred guide price · model 29%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Djurgardens IF Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 49%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Djurgardens IF to WinBet365 guide price · model 38%
2
Check odds @ 2
The 44.4% for IFK Goteborg or Draw sits against roughly 29.4% implied by the current price (+15 pts).
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%IFK Goteborg Over 2.5
40%Djurgardens IF Over 2.5
3.3H2H avg goals
Over the last ten matches, the average goals per game between these teams is 3.3, indicating a moderately high scoring trend. Both teams have a 40% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals, suggesting potential for goals but not consistently high-scoring affairs. The trend points to a balanced tempo with chances for both sides, aligning with a cautious double chance bet.

Loading deeper match data…