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Dynamo Dresden crestDynamo Dresden
v
FC Schalke 04 crestFC Schalke 04

DFB Pokal | Wed 28 Oct, 17:00

Dynamo Dresden v FC Schalke 04 Stats

Data last updated: Tue 27 Oct 2026, 07:52 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This DFB Pokal clash between Dynamo Dresden and FC Schalke 04 promises an open and attacking encounter. Both teams have shown strong offensive output recently, with Dynamo Dresden scoring six goals and Schalke netting five in their last matches, while defensive vulnerabilities suggest a high-scoring game. Schalke's more aggressive shot volume and Dresden's relentless attacking style set the stage for a fixture where goals are likely to flow. The cup format adds urgency, encouraging both sides to push forward in search of victory.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • Both teams have a 100% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals recently.
  • Dynamo Dresden has kept a clean sheet but maintains a high shot volume, indicating attacking control.
  • FC Schalke 04 averages 26 shots and 12 shots on target per game, showing offensive firepower.
  • Head-to-head average goals stand at 2.8 over the last five meetings, supporting a goal-rich fixture.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 78% chance for Over 2.5 Goals, reflecting both teams' attacking tendencies and recent goal-scoring form. Dynamo Dresden and FC Schalke 04 have consistently featured in high-scoring matches, with both sides averaging double-digit shots per game and Schalke's attackers like Edin Džeko posing significant goal threats. The 16.3% and positive pricing at 1.62 make this a compelling selection. The data quality is solid, with no limitations on team stats, enhancing in this forecast.

Model Chance76.7% model chance vs 61.7% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Value Edge76.7% model chance vs 61.7% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Recent Over 2.5 Rate100% both teams
Strong positive
Shots and Shots on TargetHigh volume for both teams
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open game with both sides pushing for goals given their recent offensive form and the knockout stakes. Schalke's potent attackers combined with Dresden's aggressive shot creation suggest Over 2.5 Goals is a fitting call. The data supports a lively encounter with multiple scoring chances and a likely goal-rich outcome.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Goal-scoring potential and attacking dynamics

“This fixture features two teams with strong attacking intent and high shot volumes, making Over 2.5 Goals a natural expectation. Schalke's Edin Džeko and Dresden's key attackers create a dynamic offensive battle that should yield several goals.”

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

Both teams have a 100% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals recently.

FC Schalke 04 averages 26 shots and 12 shots on target per game, showing offensive firepower.

Head-to-head average goals stand at 2.8 over the last five meetings, supporting a goal-rich fixture.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • Over the last five matches between these teams, the average goals scored is 2.8, indicating a trend toward goal-rich encounters.
  • This trend, combined with recent attacking form, suggests a continuation of high-tempo, open play conducive to Over 2.5 Goals.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Dynamo Dresden6
Avg goals scored
FC Schalke 045
Dynamo Dresden0
Avg goals conceded
FC Schalke 042
Dynamo Dresden0%
BTTS rate
FC Schalke 04100%
Dynamo Dresden100%
Over 2.5 goals
FC Schalke 04100%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 77% vs implied 62% · edge +15 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
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Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 88%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 55%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 67%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 37%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 26%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Recent form shows Dynamo Dresden has not conceded but still participates in high-scoring games, while FC Schalke 04 combines a 100% BTTS rate with consistent goal scoring. This contrast suggests goals from both sides or at least multiple goals overall, reinforcing the Over 2.5 selection.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 77% vs implied 62% · edge +15 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
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Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 75%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 67%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Dynamo Dresden Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Dynamo Dresden to WinBetMGM guide price · model 33%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
FC Schalke 04 to WinBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2
Check odds @ 2
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 25%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
The 76.7% for Over 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 61.7% implied by the current price (+15 pts). The Over 2.5 trend is 100% for Dynamo Dresden and 100% for FC Schalke 04, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Dynamo Dresden

W
Last 51W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 0L
23 Aug 2026A Westfalia Rhynern6-0

FC Schalke 04

W
Last 51W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 0L
24 Aug 2026A Hallescher FC5-2
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 58% vs implied 56% · edge +2.5 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Dynamo Dresden Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Dynamo Dresden to WinBetMGM guide price · model 33%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 67%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
FC Schalke 04 to WinBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2
Check odds @ 2
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 25%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
FC Schalke 04 Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 51%
1.58
Check odds @ 1.58
Both teams have recorded 100% Over 2.5 Goals in recent matches, with Dynamo Dresden scoring six goals and conceding none, and Schalke scoring five and conceding two. This recent output highlights their offensive capabilities and defensive vulnerabilities, supporting expectations of a high-scoring game.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Dynamo Dresden Over 2.5
100%FC Schalke 04 Over 2.5
2.8H2H avg goals
Over the last five matches between these teams, the average goals scored is 2.8, indicating a trend toward goal-rich encounters. This trend, combined with recent attacking form, suggests a continuation of high-tempo, open play conducive to Over 2.5 Goals.

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