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IF Brommapojkarna crestIF Brommapojkarna
v
BK Hacken crestBK Hacken

Allsvenskan | Wed 28 Oct, 18:00

IF Brommapojkarna v BK Hacken Stats

Data last updated: Tue 27 Oct 2026, 19:21 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

BK Hacken visit IF Brommapojkarna in a crucial Allsvenskan clash where the visitors have demonstrated superior form and defensive solidity. BK Hacken currently sit fourth with 45 points, showing resilience with just 0.2 goals conceded per game, contrasting with Brommapojkarna's 2.2. Hacken's attacking threat is also notable, averaging 2.8 goals per match and maintaining a high shot volume. Brommapojkarna's recent points tally is modest, and their defensive frailties suggest Hacken could control the tempo and secure a vital away victory in this midweek fixture.

BT4Y best bet

BK Hacken to Win

  • BK Hacken ranks 4th with 45 points, IF Brommapojkarna 10th with 33 points
  • Hacken concedes only 0.2 goals per game, Brommapojkarna concedes 2.2
  • Hacken averages 20 shots and 7.8 shots on target per match, Brommapojkarna 11 shots and 4.2 on target
  • Both teams have a 60% rate of Over 2.5 goals in recent matches
  • Hacken's top attackers like G. Wawa show strong goal threat and shot volume

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

BK Hacken's 70% to win is supported by their strong defensive record conceding just 0.2 goals per game, combined with a potent attack averaging 2.8 goals per match and high shot volume. The model values this pick at of 1.73, reflecting a 12.2% positive edge over the implied market chance. Brommapojkarna's defensive vulnerabilities and lower recent points tally reinforce Hacken's advantage. The data quality is solid with no limitations, making this a confident selection based on form, stats, and attacking-defensive balance.

Model Win Probability70%
Strong positive
Hacken Defensive Strength0.2 goals conceded per game
Strong positive
Hacken Attacking Output2.8 goals per game, 20 shots avg
Strong positive
Brommapojkarna Defensive Weakness2.2 goals conceded per game
Negative
Value Edge70% model chance vs 57.8% implied (+12.2 pts)
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BK Hacken's disciplined defense and prolific attack make them the clear favorites to win this fixture. Their ability to limit opponents' chances while generating high-quality shots gives them a tactical and statistical edge over IF Brommapojkarna, who have struggled defensively and lack consistent form.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“BK Hacken's blend of defensive resilience and attacking firepower positions them strongly to secure an away win. Their top forwards maintain excellent shot rates, and the team's overall balance should outmatch Brommapojkarna's vulnerabilities.”

Key Data Signals

BK Hacken to Win evidence

BK Hacken ranks 4th with 45 points, IF Brommapojkarna 10th with 33 points

Hacken concedes only 0.2 goals per game, Brommapojkarna concedes 2.2

Hacken averages 20 shots and 7.8 shots on target per match, Brommapojkarna 11 shots and 4.2 on target

Both teams have a 60% rate of Over 2.5 goals in recent matches

What To Watch In The Data

BK Hacken to Win notes

  • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 4, indicating a high-scoring trend.
  • Both teams have a 60% Over 2.5 goals rate recently, suggesting this fixture is likely to feature multiple goals due to open play and attacking intent from both sides.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

IF Brommapojkarna2
Avg goals scored
BK Hacken2.8
IF Brommapojkarna2.2
Avg goals conceded
BK Hacken0.2
IF Brommapojkarna40%
BTTS rate
BK Hacken20%
IF Brommapojkarna60%
Over 2.5 goals
BK Hacken60%
Best odds for this sectionOver 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 85% vs implied 86% · edge -0.3 pts
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
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Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 51%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 49%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 53%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 37%
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
Both teams have a 60% rate of Over 2.5 goals in recent matches, but BK Hacken's lower BTTS rate of 20% versus Brommapojkarna's 40% suggests Hacken's matches often feature clean sheets or low opponent scoring. This points to a game with scoring from Hacken but limited reply, fitting a win with controlled goals scenario.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBK Hacken to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 58% · edge +12.2 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
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BK Hacken Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.45
Check odds @ 1.45
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 75%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 53%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
The 70% for BK Hacken to Win sits against roughly 57.8% implied by the current price (+12.2 pts). BK Hacken have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points from the sample compared with 6 for IF Brommapojkarna.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

IF Brommapojkarna

WLWLL
Last 52W 0D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 1D 4L
24 Oct 2026A Kalmar FF3-0
16 Oct 2026H Djurgardens IF0-2
10 Oct 2026A AIK Stockholm6-5
19 Sep 2026H IFK Goteborg0-1
13 Sep 2026A Hammarby FF1-3

BK Hacken

WWWWD
Last 54W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 2D 2L
24 Oct 2026H Degerfors IF4-0
18 Oct 2026A Malmo FF1-0
11 Oct 2026H Orgryte IS3-0
20 Sep 2026A Kalmar FF5-0
11 Sep 2026H Mjallby AIF1-1
Market aligned with main pickBK Hacken to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 58% · edge +12.2 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
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BK Hacken Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.45
Check odds @ 1.45
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 84%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
BK Hacken's recent form shows 13 points gained with a strong defensive record conceding only 0.2 goals per game, contrasting with Brommapojkarna's 6 points and 2.2 goals conceded. This form disparity underlines Hacken's momentum and defensive solidity as key factors for their expected victory.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%IF Brommapojkarna Over 2.5
60%BK Hacken Over 2.5
4H2H avg goals
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 4, indicating a high-scoring trend. Both teams have a 60% Over 2.5 goals rate recently, suggesting this fixture is likely to feature multiple goals due to open play and attacking intent from both sides.

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