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RB Bragantino crestRB Bragantino
v
Chapecoense-sc crestChapecoense-sc

Serie A | Wed 28 Oct, 22:30

RB Bragantino v Chapecoense-sc Stats

Data last updated: Tue 27 Oct 2026, 07:51 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

RB Bragantino and Chapecoense-sc meet in a Serie A clash where both sides have shown a tendency to concede and score. RB Bragantino sits mid-table with a more balanced defensive record, while Chapecoense-sc struggles near the bottom, conceding more frequently. Both teams have recorded a 60% rate of matches with goals at both ends, highlighting an open game style. Recent form suggests RB Bragantino's attack is more potent, but Chapecoense-sc's defensive vulnerabilities make a BTTS outcome likely in this encounter.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Both teams have a 60% rate of matches with goals scored by both sides this season.
  • RB Bragantino averages 20.6 shots per game with 6.8 on target, indicating attacking intent.
  • Chapecoense-sc concedes an average of 2.2 goals per game, showing defensive frailty.
  • The last five head-to-head matches average 2.4 goals, supporting a goal-rich contest.
  • RB Bragantino's Davi Gomes creates significant shooting opportunities, enhancing scoring chances.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Both Teams to Score at 73.3% probability, significantly higher than the implied market chance of 55.6%, indicating strong value. Both RB Bragantino and Chapecoense-sc have consistent BTTS rates of 60%, supported by RB Bragantino's high shot volume and Chapecoense-sc's defensive struggles. The attacking roles of players like Davi Gomes and Neto Pessoa further enhance the likelihood of goals at both ends. This combination of attacking pressure and defensive openness underpins the confident BTTS projection for this match.

Model Probability70.6% model chance vs 55.6% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Market Implied Chance70.6% model chance vs 55.6% implied (+15 pts)
Neutral
RB Bragantino BTTS Rate60%
Positive
Chapecoense-sc BTTS Rate60%
Positive
Shot Volume (RB Bragantino)20.6 shots per game
Positive
Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score

“This fixture features two sides with contrasting defensive records but similar BTTS tendencies, making the Both Teams to Score market a compelling angle given the attacking roles and shot volumes involved.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Both teams have a 60% rate of matches with goals scored by both sides this season.

RB Bragantino averages 20.6 shots per game with 6.8 on target, indicating attacking intent.

Chapecoense-sc concedes an average of 2.2 goals per game, showing defensive frailty.

The last five head-to-head matches average 2.4 goals, supporting a goal-rich contest.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • In the last five head-to-head meetings, the average goals per game stand at 2.4, indicating a moderately high-scoring trend.
  • This sample suggests a tempo and openness conducive to over 2.5 goals, with both teams historically contributing to the scoreline, aligning with the BTTS and goal expectations for this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

RB Bragantino1.2
Avg goals scored
Chapecoense-sc0.8
RB Bragantino1.4
Avg goals conceded
Chapecoense-sc2.2
RB Bragantino60%
BTTS rate
Chapecoense-sc60%
RB Bragantino20%
Over 2.5 goals
Chapecoense-sc60%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 54%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 49%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 31%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 31%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Both RB Bragantino and Chapecoense-sc have a 60% BTTS rate this season, reflecting frequent goal exchanges. RB Bragantino's average of 1.2 goals per game and Chapecoense-sc's defensive concession rate of 2.2 goals per game create a fertile ground for goals at both ends, aligning with the BTTS forecast.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

Serie A fixtures and predictionscorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Chapecoense-sc Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 34%
5.25
Check odds @ 5.25
Chapecoense-sc to WinBetfred guide price · model 25%
10
Check odds @ 10
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
DrawBet365 guide price · model 27%
5.5
Check odds @ 5.5
RB Bragantino Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 64%
1.16
Check odds @ 1.16
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 49%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
The 70.6% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 55.6% implied by the current price (+15 pts). RB Bragantino show a 60% BTTS rate and Chapecoense-sc show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

RB Bragantino

LDWDL
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 3D 5L
24 Oct 2026A Palmeiras0-2
18 Oct 2026A Remo1-1
13 Oct 2026H Cruzeiro4-2
07 Oct 2026H Mirassol1-1
03 Oct 2026A Atletico-MG0-1

Chapecoense-sc

WLLLD
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 2D 5L
24 Oct 2026H Fluminense2-1
17 Oct 2026A Botafogo0-1
12 Oct 2026H Atletico Paranaense1-4
08 Oct 2026A Vitoria0-4
19 Sep 2026A Atletico-MG1-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 44% vs implied 29% · edge +15 pts
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
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Chapecoense-sc Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 34%
5.25
Check odds @ 5.25
Chapecoense-sc to WinBetfred guide price · model 25%
10
Check odds @ 10
DrawBet365 guide price · model 27%
5.5
Check odds @ 5.5
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 81%
1.06
Check odds @ 1.06
RB Bragantino Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 64%
1.16
Check odds @ 1.16
RB Bragantino to WinBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Recent form shows RB Bragantino earning 5 points with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game, while Chapecoense-sc has 4 points with 0.8 goals scored and 2.2 conceded. Both teams' recent matches have featured goals at both ends, reinforcing the BTTS trend and suggesting momentum towards an open game.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

20%RB Bragantino Over 2.5
60%Chapecoense-sc Over 2.5
2.4H2H avg goals
In the last five head-to-head meetings, the average goals per game stand at 2.4, indicating a moderately high-scoring trend. This sample suggests a tempo and openness conducive to over 2.5 goals, with both teams historically contributing to the scoreline, aligning with the BTTS and goal expectations for this fixture.

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