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Sunderland crestSunderland
v
Brentford crestBrentford

Premier League | Sat 13 Mar, 15:00

Sunderland v Brentford Stats

Data last updated: Tue 27 Oct 2026, 13:40 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Sunderland face Brentford in Premier League on Sat 13 Mar, 15:00. Brentford’s sustained attacking volume, with 48 shots in two league games and contributions from Nathan Collins and Igor Thiago, supports a home win with both teams scoring. Brentford and Sunderland arrive with similar form, leaving fine margins likely to decide the result.

BT4Y best bet

Brentford to win and Both Teams to Score

  • At 13/5, Brentford to win and Both Teams to Score implies roughly 28%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 38%.
  • A 3-1 scoreline fits Brentford’s high attacking output and Sunderland’s tendency to concede three goals in recent London away games.
  • Brentford need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Sunderland on 1 and Brentford on 6.
  • The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg here, with recent BTTS rates of 20% for Sunderland and 80% for Brentford.
  • Brentford to win and Both Teams to Score needs both attacks involved, so goals-for averages of 0.6 for Sunderland and 1.8 for Brentford are central to the read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 38% for Brentford to win and Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 28% implied by the current price. Brentford need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Sunderland on 1 and Brentford on 6. A 3-1 scoreline fits Brentford’s high attacking output and Sunderland’s tendency to concede three goals in recent London away games.

Model chance vs price38% model chance against roughly 28% implied
Positive
Brentford need the result edge to pair with scoring at.Visible data support
Positive
The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg.Visible data support
Positive
A 3-1 scoreline fits Brentford’s high attacking output.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Brentford Win & BTTS is the preferred angle because a 3-1 scoreline fits Brentford’s high attacking output and Sunderland’s tendency to concede three goals in recent London away games. Brentford need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Sunderland on 1 and Brentford on 6. Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Main risk

Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Key Data Signals

Brentford to win and Both Teams to Score evidence

A 3-1 scoreline fits Brentford’s high attacking output and Sunderland’s tendency to concede three goals in recent London.

Brentford need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Sunderland on 1 and Brentford on 6.

The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg here, with recent BTTS rates of 20% for Sunderland and 80% for Brentford.

Brentford Win & BTTS needs both attacks involved, so goals-for averages of 0.6 for Sunderland and 1.8 for Brentford are central to the read.

What To Watch In The Data

Brentford to win and Both Teams to Score notes

  • Use the article-led angle and the visible data together; the strongest signal is where both point to the same match pattern.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Sunderland0.6
Avg goals scored
Brentford1.8
Sunderland2.2
Avg goals conceded
Brentford1.4
Sunderland20%
BTTS rate
Brentford80%
Sunderland20%
Over 2.5 goals
Brentford80%

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Sunderland

DLLLL
Last 50W 1D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 2D 5L
25 Oct 2026H Leeds0-0
18 Oct 2026A Bournemouth0-2
10 Oct 2026H Brighton0-2
20 Sep 2026A Manchester City3-5
12 Sep 2026H Arsenal0-2

Brentford

DLDWD
Last 51W 3D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 5D 1L
25 Oct 2026A Hull City1-1
17 Oct 2026H Liverpool1-2
10 Oct 2026A Aston Villa2-2
18 Sep 2026H Chelsea3-0
12 Sep 2026A Bournemouth2-2

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Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

20%Sunderland Over 2.5
80%Brentford Over 2.5
3.2H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Sunderland sit at 20% and Brentford sit at 80% with the H2H average at 3.2 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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