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Liverpoolv
ChelseaPremier League | Sat 09 May, 12:30
Liverpool v Chelsea Stats
BT4Y best bet
Liverpool to Win
- At 1.8, Liverpool to Win is priced at roughly 56% implied probability. Our model has it closer to 74%, so the current line is showing a +18.4-point value edge.
- Liverpool have a recent record of 3W-0D-2L, while Chelsea come in at 0W-0D-5L across the same last-five lens.
- The result profile supports the Liverpool to Win angle: Liverpool have taken 3 wins from their last 5 matches, averaging 2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded.
- The result profile supports the Liverpool to Win angle: Chelsea have taken 0 wins from their last 5 matches, with BTTS landing in 20% of that sample.
- If the bookmaker is still close to 1.8, this is the market to check first because the data and the price are both pointing in the same direction.
Market odds
Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.
Best odds for this sectionHome WinBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 56% · edge +18.4 pts
1.8
Bet HERE @ 1.8Load more odds for this section
Key match trends
A quick read of the strongest visible indicators.
80%Liverpool Over 2.5
80%Chelsea Over 2.5
1.8H2H avg goals
Recent form
Results and scoring shape from recent games.
Liverpool
LWWWL
Last 53W 0D 2L
Last 5 recordLast 106W 1D 3L
03 May 2026A Manchester United2-3
25 Apr 2026H Crystal Palace3-1
19 Apr 2026A Everton2-1
11 Apr 2026H Fulham2-0
21 Mar 2026A Brighton1-2
Chelsea
LLLLL
Last 50W 0D 5L
Last 5 recordLast 101W 2D 7L
04 May 2026H Nottingham Forest1-3
21 Apr 2026A Brighton0-3
18 Apr 2026H Manchester United0-1
12 Apr 2026H Manchester City0-3
21 Mar 2026A Everton0-3
Best odds for this sectionHome WinBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 56% · edge +18.4 pts
1.8
Bet HERE @ 1.8Load more odds for this section
Goals, BTTS and over/under
Goal-market data and related prices.
Liverpool2
Avg goals scoredChelsea0.2
Liverpool1.4
Avg goals concededChelsea2.6
Liverpool80%
BTTS rateChelsea20%
Liverpool80%
Over 2.5 goalsChelsea80%
Best odds for this sectionOver 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 81% vs implied 89% · edge -8.7 pts
1.12
Bet HERE @ 1.12Load more odds for this section
Head-to-head
Recent meetings and related markets.
3Liverpool wins
5Draws
2Chelsea wins
04 Oct 2025Chelsea v Liverpool2-1
04 May 2025Chelsea v Liverpool3-1
20 Oct 2024Liverpool v Chelsea2-1
25 Feb 2024Chelsea v Liverpool0-1
31 Jan 2024Liverpool v Chelsea4-1
13 Aug 2023Chelsea v Liverpool1-1
Best odds for this sectionHome WinBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 56% · edge +18.4 pts
1.8
Bet HERE @ 1.8Load more odds for this section
Corners, cards and shots
Detailed stat markets where available.
Liverpool5.4
Avg corners forChelsea7
Liverpool10.4
Avg total cornersChelsea11.6
Liverpool1.6
Avg yellow cardsChelsea2
Liverpool13.2
Avg shotsChelsea14.4
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 68% vs implied 60% · edge +7.6 pts
1.67
Bet HERE @ 1.67Load more odds for this section
Player stats
Player props and player-level signals.
Load more player angles
H. EkitikeLiverpool · Attacker
Goal threat71/100
Shots /902.39
SOT /900.94
João PedroChelsea · Attacker
Goal threat69/100
Shots /901.73
SOT /901.01
C. PalmerChelsea · Midfielder
Goal threat69/100
Shots /902
SOT /901.16
J. DerryChelsea · Attacker
Goal threat38/100
Shots /904.09
SOT /902.05
R. NgumohaLiverpool · Attacker
Goal threat54/100
Shots /902.3
SOT /901.53
Tyrique GeorgeChelsea · Attacker
Goal threat20/100
Shots /901.79
SOT /901.19
Marc GuiuChelsea · Attacker
Goal threat31/100
Shots /903.56
SOT /900.71
F. ChiesaLiverpool · Attacker
Goal threat47/100
Shots /902.48
SOT /900.99
Season team stats
Premier League
Liverpool36
PlayedChelsea36
Liverpool1.7
Avg goals forChelsea1.5
Liverpool1.3
Avg goals againstChelsea1.4
Liverpool10
Clean sheetsChelsea9
Best odds for this sectionHome WinBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 56% · edge +18.4 pts
1.8
Bet HERE @ 1.8Load more odds for this section
League standings snapshot
Current table context.
| Pos | Team | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Liverpool | 59 | 36 | 17 | 8 | 11 | 12 |
| 9 | Chelsea | 49 | 36 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 6 |
Next step
Betting context
Use the best-bet case above as the starting point, then check the live odds and the full prediction before staking.
