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Liverpool crestLiverpool
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Chelsea crestChelsea

Premier League | Sat 01 May, 15:00

Liverpool v Chelsea Stats

Data last updated: Mon 05 Oct 2026, 15:03 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Liverpool face Chelsea in Premier League on Sat 01 May, 15:00. Momentum Check: Comparative League Form Liverpool’s strong Anfield record of just two losses in sixteen matches makes them firm favourites against a Chelsea side suffering six straight defeats.

BT4Y best bet

The winner of the game and correctly predict that both teams will score

  • At 15/8, The winner of the game and correctly predict that both teams will score implies roughly 35%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 50%.
  • Chelsea have scored in their last match and Liverpool are prone to conceding at home, making a 2-1 scoreline plausible.
  • Liverpool have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 7 for Chelsea.
  • Liverpool have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.8 conceded per match, which helps the The winner of the game and correctly predict that both teams will score angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Liverpool sit 6 in the table, while Chelsea sit 10, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 50% for The winner of the game and correctly predict that both teams will score sits against roughly 35% implied by the current price. Liverpool have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 7 for Chelsea. Chelsea have scored in their last match and Liverpool are prone to conceding at home, making a 2-1 scoreline plausible.

Model chance vs price50% model chance against roughly 35% implied
Strong positive
Liverpool have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points.Visible data support
Positive
Liverpool have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.8 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
Chelsea have scored in their last match and Liverpool.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Liverpool Win is the preferred angle because chelsea have scored in their last match and Liverpool are prone to conceding at home, making a 2-1 scoreline plausible. Liverpool have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 7 for Chelsea. That goal did at least end Chelsea’s miserable scoring drought, but the wider attacking issues remain severe.

Main risk

That goal did at least end Chelsea’s miserable scoring drought, but the wider attacking issues remain severe.

Key Data Signals

The winner of the game and correctly predict that both teams will score evidence

Chelsea have scored in their last match and Liverpool are prone to conceding at home, making a 2-1.

Liverpool have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 7 for Chelsea.

Liverpool have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.8 conceded per match, which helps the Liverpool Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Liverpool sit 6 in the table, while Chelsea sit 10, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

The winner of the game and correctly predict that both teams will score notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Liverpool1.4
    Avg goals scored
    Chelsea2
    Liverpool0.8
    Avg goals conceded
    Chelsea2.4
    Liverpool40%
    BTTS rate
    Chelsea80%
    Liverpool40%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Chelsea100%

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    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

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    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Liverpool

    WDWDD
    Last 52W 3D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 102W 3D 0L
    20 Sep 2026A Bournemouth1-0
    12 Sep 2026H Fulham0-0
    04 Sep 2026A Ipswich2-0
    29 Aug 2026H Nottingham Forest2-2
    23 Aug 2026A Newcastle2-2

    Chelsea

    LDLWW
    Last 52W 1D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 102W 1D 2L
    18 Sep 2026A Brentford0-3
    12 Sep 2026H Hull City2-2
    06 Sep 2026A Arsenal1-2
    30 Aug 2026H Brighton4-3
    24 Aug 2026A Fulham3-2

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    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    40%Liverpool Over 2.5
    100%Chelsea Over 2.5
    2H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Liverpool sit at 40% and Chelsea sit at 100% with the H2H average at 2 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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