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SSV Jeddeloh crestSSV Jeddeloh
v
Hertha BSC crestHertha BSC

DFB Pokal | Wed 28 Oct, 17:00

SSV Jeddeloh v Hertha BSC Stats

Data last updated: Tue 27 Oct 2026, 07:52 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This DFB Pokal clash features SSV Jeddeloh hosting Hertha BSC in a classic David versus Goliath scenario. SSV Jeddeloh arrives with strong recent form, scoring freely and showing resilience, while Hertha BSC has struggled to find the net and create consistent chances. The tactical setup suggests SSV Jeddeloh will leverage home advantage and direct attacking play to unsettle the visitors, who face pressure to avoid an upset. The stakes are high as Hertha BSC aims to assert control, but SSV Jeddeloh's momentum and could prove decisive in this cup tie.

BT4Y best bet

SSV Jeddeloh to Win

  • SSV Jeddeloh has won their last match and scored 5 goals recently, showing strong attacking form.
  • Hertha BSC has scored only 1 goal in recent matches, indicating offensive struggles.
  • SSV Jeddeloh averages 9 shots per game with 5 on target, reflecting efficient finishing.
  • Hertha BSC dominates possession and shots but has failed to convert chances effectively.
  • The model estimates a 74% chance for SSV Jeddeloh to win, highlighting a significant upset potential.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model strongly favors SSV Jeddeloh to win with a 74% chance, driven by their recent attacking output and clinical finishing. Despite Hertha BSC's superior shot volume, their low conversion rate and defensive vulnerabilities create an opportunity for the home side. The model identifies clear value at the current , reflecting the tactical momentum and SSV Jeddeloh carries into this cup fixture. Limited data quality is not a concern here, as both teams have sufficient recent stats to support this confident prediction.

Recent Scoring FormSSV Jeddeloh scored 5 goals recently vs Hertha's 1
Strong positive
Shot EfficiencySSV Jeddeloh 9 shots with 5 on target vs Hertha's 33 shots but fewer goals
Positive
Model Win Probability74% chance for SSV Jeddeloh
Strong positive
Value Edge15.6% model chance vs 3.8% implied (+11.8 pts)
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

SSV Jeddeloh's recent attacking form and finishing efficiency make them a compelling pick in this cup tie. Hertha BSC's struggles to convert chances despite high shot volume suggest vulnerability that SSV Jeddeloh can exploit. The home side's momentum and tactical directness provide a solid foundation for an upset victory.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome and attacking efficiency

“SSV Jeddeloh's sharp finishing and confident attacking approach contrast with Hertha BSC's inefficiency in front of goal, making the upset a realistic prospect in this DFB Pokal encounter.”

Key Data Signals

SSV Jeddeloh to Win evidence

SSV Jeddeloh has won their last match and scored 5 goals recently, showing strong attacking form.

Hertha BSC has scored only 1 goal in recent matches, indicating offensive struggles.

SSV Jeddeloh averages 9 shots per game with 5 on target, reflecting efficient finishing.

Hertha BSC dominates possession and shots but has failed to convert chances effectively.

What To Watch In The Data

SSV Jeddeloh to Win notes

  • Recent trends show SSV Jeddeloh's matches consistently exceed 2.5 goals, driven by their attacking style and open play.
  • Hertha BSC's games have been lower scoring but with frequent goal concessions.
  • This suggests a fast-paced fixture with multiple scoring opportunities, aligning with the Over 2.5 goals trend observed in SSV Jeddeloh's recent matches.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

SSV Jeddeloh5
Avg goals scored
Hertha BSC1
SSV Jeddeloh2
Avg goals conceded
Hertha BSC1
SSV Jeddeloh100%
BTTS rate
Hertha BSC100%
SSV Jeddeloh100%
Over 2.5 goals
Hertha BSC0%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 28%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Both teams have shown contrasting goal trends: SSV Jeddeloh has a 100% over 2.5 goals rate and BTTS rate recently, indicating open games with scoring from both sides. Hertha BSC's low scoring but consistent BTTS rate suggests they concede and score sporadically, supporting a potentially high-scoring encounter with goals at both ends.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickSSV Jeddeloh to WinBetfred guide price · Model 16% vs implied 4% · edge +11.8 pts
26
Check odds @ 26
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 71%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 75%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
The 15.6% for SSV Jeddeloh to Win sits against roughly 3.8% implied by the current price (+11.8 pts). SSV Jeddeloh have the stronger recent points return, taking 3 points from the sample compared with 1 for Hertha BSC.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

SSV Jeddeloh

W
Last 51W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 0L
23 Aug 2026H 1. FC Heidenheim5-2

Hertha BSC

D
Last 50W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 1D 0L
22 Aug 2026A FC Saarbrücken1-1
Market aligned with main pickSSV Jeddeloh to WinBetfred guide price · Model 16% vs implied 4% · edge +11.8 pts
26
Check odds @ 26
SSV Jeddeloh's recent form is impressive, with 3 points gained and 5 goals scored in their latest matches, showcasing attacking . Hertha BSC has struggled, earning only 1 point and scoring once, reflecting offensive difficulties and potential morale issues heading into this fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%SSV Jeddeloh Over 2.5
0%Hertha BSC Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Recent trends show SSV Jeddeloh's matches consistently exceed 2.5 goals, driven by their attacking style and open play. Hertha BSC's games have been lower scoring but with frequent goal concessions. This suggests a fast-paced fixture with multiple scoring opportunities, aligning with the Over 2.5 goals trend observed in SSV Jeddeloh's recent matches.

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