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Pisa crestPisa
v
Palermo crestPalermo

Serie B | Wed 28 Oct, 18:00

Pisa v Palermo Stats

Data last updated: Tue 27 Oct 2026, 07:56 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Pisa and Palermo meet in a Serie B clash where attacking intent is clear from both sides. Palermo tops the league with strong offensive output, while Pisa sits sixth, showing solid scoring ability. Both teams have recent matches featuring multiple goals, reflecting open play and tactical willingness to push forward. This fixture promises an engaging contest with goal-scoring opportunities on both ends, setting the stage for a potentially high-scoring encounter under the lights.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • Palermo leads Serie B with 22 points, showing strong attacking form.
  • Pisa averages 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate in recent matches, indicating frequent high-scoring games.
  • Head-to-head meetings average 4.29 goals, suggesting open games historically.
  • Both teams have BTTS rates of 80%, supporting goal exchanges.
  • Palermo and Pisa average 17 to 20 shots per game, reflecting offensive pressure.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 72.1% chance for Over 2.5 Goals, well above the 58.8% implied by current , indicating clear value. Both teams have high recent Over 2.5 rates (Pisa 80%, Palermo 60%) and strong shot volumes, with Palermo averaging 19.6 shots and Pisa 17 per game. Historical head-to-head matches average over 4 goals, reinforcing the likelihood of a goal-rich game. This combination of attacking form, shot volume, and past encounters supports the Over 2.5 Goals selection confidently.

Model Probability72.1% model chance vs 58.8% implied (+13.3 pts)
Strong positive
Recent Over 2.5 RatesPisa 80%, Palermo 60%
Strong positive
Shot VolumePisa 17 avg shots, Palermo 19.6 avg shots
Positive
Head-to-Head Goals4.29 average goals in last 7 meetings
Positive
Price Value Edge72.1% model chance vs 58.8% implied (+13.3 pts)
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open and attacking game as both Pisa and Palermo have shown strong offensive capabilities recently. Palermo’s league-leading form combined with Pisa’s high scoring matches suggests multiple goals are likely. The historical high goal average in their meetings further supports anticipating a lively, goal-filled contest.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Goal-scoring potential and attacking dynamics

“This fixture features two sides with clear attacking intent and a history of high-scoring games, making Over 2.5 Goals a compelling choice given the volume of shots and goal opportunities each team creates.”

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

Palermo leads Serie B with 22 points, showing strong attacking form.

Pisa averages 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate in recent matches, indicating frequent high-scoring games.

Head-to-head meetings average 4.29 goals, suggesting open games historically.

Both teams have BTTS rates of 80%, supporting goal exchanges.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • The last seven head-to-head matches average 4.29 goals, indicating a history of high-scoring encounters.
  • Recent Over 2.5 trends show Pisa at 80% and Palermo at 60% in their latest fixtures, confirming a tempo and style conducive to multiple goals.
  • This trend panel supports expectations of an open game with frequent goal opportunities for both sides.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Pisa2
Avg goals scored
Palermo2.2
Pisa1.6
Avg goals conceded
Palermo1
Pisa80%
BTTS rate
Palermo80%
Pisa80%
Over 2.5 goals
Palermo60%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 72% vs implied 59% · edge +13.3 pts
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 88%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 53%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 32%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 28%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Both Pisa and Palermo have BTTS rates of 80%, reflecting frequent goal exchanges. Pisa’s recent matches show an 80% Over 2.5 rate, while Palermo maintains 60%, indicating a consistent trend toward multiple goals. The average 4.29 goals in their last seven meetings further confirms the fixture’s propensity for open, attacking play with goals at both ends.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 72% vs implied 59% · edge +13.3 pts
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Palermo Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 68%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 74%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Palermo to WinBet365 guide price · model 52%
2.7
Check odds @ 2.7
Pisa Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
DrawBetfred guide price · model 22%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
The 72.1% for Over 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 58.8% implied by the current price (+13.3 pts). The Over 2.5 trend is 80% for Pisa and 60% for Palermo, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Pisa

DWWDL
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 2D 2L
25 Oct 2026A Hellas Verona1-1
17 Oct 2026H Cremonese3-1
10 Oct 2026A Vicenza Virtus3-0
20 Sep 2026A Mantova2-2
11 Sep 2026H Virtus Entella1-4

Palermo

WWWWD
Last 54W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 107W 1D 0L
25 Oct 2026H Carrarese2-1
17 Oct 2026A Mantova2-0
10 Oct 2026A Empoli4-2
19 Sep 2026H Padova2-1
13 Sep 2026A Avellino1-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 80% vs implied 65% · edge +15 pts
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
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Palermo Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 68%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Palermo to WinBet365 guide price · model 52%
2.7
Check odds @ 2.7
Pisa Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
DrawBetfred guide price · model 22%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 49%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Pisa to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
2.45
Check odds @ 2.45
Recent form data shows Pisa scoring 2 goals per game and conceding 1.6, with an 80% Over 2.5 rate, highlighting their involvement in high-scoring matches. Palermo scores slightly more at 2.2 goals per game while conceding only 1, maintaining a 60% Over 2.5 rate. Both teams’ offensive outputs and goal concessions suggest a continuation of open games with multiple goals expected.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Pisa Over 2.5
60%Palermo Over 2.5
4.29H2H avg goals
The last seven head-to-head matches average 4.29 goals, indicating a history of high-scoring encounters. Recent Over 2.5 trends show Pisa at 80% and Palermo at 60% in their latest fixtures, confirming a tempo and style conducive to multiple goals. This trend panel supports expectations of an open game with frequent goal opportunities for both sides.

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