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Vvsb crestVvsb
v
EVV crestEVV

KNVB Beker | Wed 28 Oct, 19:00

Vvsb v EVV Stats

Data last updated: Tue 27 Oct 2026, 07:53 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This KNVB Beker fixture features Vvsb hosting EVV in a midweek clash where EVV's recent attacking form stands out. EVV averages 3 goals scored per game with a perfect record of over 2.5 goals in recent matches, while Vvsb has struggled offensively, scoring only 1.5 goals per game and failing to reach over 2.5 goals. Both teams have shown contrasting defensive records, with Vvsb yet to concede in recent outings and EVV conceding once. The tactical battle will likely hinge on EVV's ability to maintain offensive pressure and Vvsb's defensive resilience, setting an intriguing dynamic for this cup tie.

BT4Y best bet

EVV or Draw

  • EVV or Draw offers strong value with a 75.4% versus 40% implied .
  • EVV's recent matches have all featured over 2.5 goals, indicating attacking potency.
  • Vvsb has not conceded recently but struggles to score, suggesting a tight defensive setup.
  • Head-to-head shows a high-scoring encounter with an average of 7 goals in their only meeting.
  • Limited corner and card data shifts focus to attacking and defensive form for this bet.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors EVV or Draw with a 75.4% chance, reflecting EVV's superior recent scoring form and consistent over 2.5 goals trend. EVV's offensive strength contrasts with Vvsb's lower scoring output, while Vvsb's clean defensive record tempers the risk. The price at 2.5 offers positive value given the model's . Limited data on corners and cards means the model relies heavily on recent goal trends and form, making this a solid but data-aware selection.

Model Chance45.6% model chance vs 37% implied (+8.6 pts)
Strong positive
Implied Odds Chance45.6% model chance vs 37% implied (+8.6 pts)
Strong positive
Recent Goals Scored (EVV)3 per game
Strong positive
Recent Goals Scored (Vvsb)1.5 per game
Negative
Over 2.5 Goals Rate (EVV)100%
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

EVV or Draw is a tactically sound pick given EVV's attacking momentum and consistent goal-scoring, balanced by Vvsb's defensive solidity. The data supports EVV's ability to avoid defeat, making this a prudent bet for the cup tie with a solid statistical foundation.

Main risk

Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · tactical and form balance

“EVV's attacking consistency combined with Vvsb's defensive resilience creates a compelling case for a double chance on EVV or Draw, especially with the value reflected in the .”

Key Data Signals

EVV or Draw evidence

EVV or Draw offers strong value with a 75.4% versus 40% implied .

Vvsb has not conceded recently but struggles to score, suggesting a tight defensive setup.

What To Watch In The Data

EVV or Draw notes

  • The only head-to-head meeting featured 7 goals, supporting an expectation of a high-tempo game with multiple scoring opportunities.
  • EVV's perfect over 2.5 goals rate in recent matches aligns with this trend, suggesting an open contest.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Vvsb1.5
Avg goals scored
EVV3
Vvsb0
Avg goals conceded
EVV1
Vvsb0%
BTTS rate
EVV100%
Vvsb0%
Over 2.5 goals
EVV100%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 65% · edge +1.3 pts
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
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Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 46%
2.7
Check odds @ 2.7
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 37%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 40%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
EVV's matches have consistently featured over 2.5 goals and BTTS, highlighting their offensive approach. Vvsb's low scoring and clean defensive record suggest a potential for fewer goals, but the attacking trend favors a higher-scoring game overall.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionEVV Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 42% vs implied 28% · edge +13.8 pts
3.55
Check odds @ 3.55
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
EVV to WinBetfred guide price · model 27%
5
Check odds @ 5
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 22%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Vvsb to WinBet365 guide price · model 51%
1.55
Check odds @ 1.55
The 45.6% for EVV or Draw sits against roughly 37% implied by the current price (+8.6 pts).
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Vvsb

WW
Last 52W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 0D 0L
22 Sep 2026A Rijnvogels1-0
02 Sep 2026H Ajax Amateurs2-0

EVV

WW
Last 52W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 0D 0L
22 Sep 2026H Halsteren3-1
02 Sep 2026A Hercules3-1
Best odds for this sectionEVV Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 42% vs implied 28% · edge +13.8 pts
3.55
Check odds @ 3.55
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Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 49%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
EVV to WinBetfred guide price · model 27%
5
Check odds @ 5
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 73%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 22%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Vvsb to WinBet365 guide price · model 51%
1.55
Check odds @ 1.55
Vvsb Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 59%
1.27
Check odds @ 1.27
Recent form shows EVV scoring 3 goals per game with a 100% over 2.5 goals rate, indicating strong offensive momentum. Vvsb has scored less and kept clean sheets, suggesting a defensive posture. This contrast supports the double chance on EVV or Draw.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

0%Vvsb Over 2.5
100%EVV Over 2.5
7H2H avg goals
The only head-to-head meeting featured 7 goals, supporting an expectation of a high-tempo game with multiple scoring opportunities. EVV's perfect over 2.5 goals rate in recent matches aligns with this trend, suggesting an open contest.

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