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Juve Stabia crestJuve Stabia
v
Hellas Verona crestHellas Verona

Serie B | Wed 28 Oct, 19:00

Juve Stabia v Hellas Verona Stats

Data last updated: Tue 27 Oct 2026, 07:56 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Juve Stabia hosts Hellas Verona in a Serie B clash where both teams seek to climb the standings. Juve Stabia has shown solid defensive form, conceding just 0.6 goals per game, while Hellas Verona has struggled defensively, allowing 2 goals per match. Offensively, Verona is more prolific but vulnerable at the back. Juve Stabia's recent form includes 9 points from their last fixtures, indicating momentum at home. Tactical discipline and defensive resilience could be key factors in this encounter, with Juve Stabia aiming to capitalize on Verona's defensive lapses to secure a vital home win.

BT4Y best bet

Juve Stabia to Win

  • Juve Stabia has a strong defensive record, conceding only 0.6 goals per game this season.
  • Hellas Verona concedes 2 goals per match on average, indicating defensive vulnerability.
  • Juve Stabia has earned 9 points recently, showing better form than Verona's 5 points.
  • Verona's attack is potent but their defensive issues may be exploited by Juve Stabia.
  • Model projects a 65.3% chance for Juve Stabia to win, with positive value at 3.1 .

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Juve Stabia to win based on their superior defensive record and recent form momentum, contrasting with Hellas Verona's defensive struggles despite their attacking threat. Juve Stabia's ability to limit goals against (0.6 per game) and accumulate points recently supports a home victory. The offer positive value with a 33% edge, reflecting a strong chance for Juve Stabia to capitalize on Verona's defensive weaknesses. No data limitations affect in this pick.

Defensive SolidityJuve Stabia concedes 0.6 goals per game
Strong positive
Recent FormJuve Stabia earned 9 points recently vs Verona's 5
Positive
Opponent Defensive WeaknessVerona concedes 2 goals per game
Strong positive
Value Edge47.3% model chance vs 32.3% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Data QualityComplete data for both teams
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Juve Stabia's disciplined defense and recent point accumulation give them a tactical and statistical edge over Hellas Verona, whose defensive frailties could be decisive. The home side's ability to control the game and exploit defensive gaps makes a home win the most plausible outcome.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“Juve Stabia's defensive resilience combined with Hellas Verona's defensive lapses creates a compelling case for a home victory, especially given Juve Stabia's recent form and tactical discipline.”

Key Data Signals

Juve Stabia to Win evidence

Juve Stabia has a strong defensive record, conceding only 0.6 goals per game this season.

Hellas Verona concedes 2 goals per match on average, indicating defensive vulnerability.

Juve Stabia has earned 9 points recently, showing better form than Verona's 5 points.

Verona's attack is potent but their defensive issues may be exploited by Juve Stabia.

What To Watch In The Data

Juve Stabia to Win notes

  • In the last meeting, the average goals scored were high (5 goals), and Hellas Verona has an 80% Over 2.5 goals rate this season.
  • This trend suggests an open game with goal-scoring opportunities, but Juve Stabia's defensive discipline could moderate the final goal tally, making Over 2.5 a watch-worthy angle rather than a certainty.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Juve Stabia1.4
Avg goals scored
Hellas Verona1.6
Juve Stabia0.6
Avg goals conceded
Hellas Verona2
Juve Stabia60%
BTTS rate
Hellas Verona100%
Juve Stabia20%
Over 2.5 goals
Hellas Verona80%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +15 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 61%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 79%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 43%
3
Check odds @ 3
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 43%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Juve Stabia averages 1.4 goals per game with a 60% BTTS rate, while Hellas Verona scores 1.6 but concedes 2 goals per match with an 80% Over 2.5 rate. This indicates a potentially open game with chances for both teams to score, though Juve Stabia's defensive strength may limit Verona's scoring opportunities.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickJuve Stabia to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 47% vs implied 32% · edge +15 pts
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 75%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Juve Stabia Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 65%
2.02
Check odds @ 2.02
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 61%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
The 47.3% for Juve Stabia to Win sits against roughly 32.3% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Juve Stabia have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 5 for Hellas Verona.

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Juve Stabia

WWDDD
Last 52W 3D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 3D 2L
24 Oct 2026A Cremonese1-0
18 Oct 2026H Sudtirol3-0
10 Oct 2026A Virtus Entella1-1
18 Sep 2026H Cesena1-1
12 Sep 2026A Vicenza Virtus1-1

Hellas Verona

DDLWL
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 3D 3L
25 Oct 2026H Pisa1-1
16 Oct 2026H Catanzaro2-2
11 Oct 2026A Modena2-3
20 Sep 2026H Vicenza Virtus2-1
11 Sep 2026A Benevento1-3
Market aligned with main pickJuve Stabia to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 47% vs implied 32% · edge +15 pts
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Load more odds for this section
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 79%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Juve Stabia Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 65%
2.02
Check odds @ 2.02
Juve Stabia's recent form shows 9 points gained with a strong defensive record, contrasting with Hellas Verona's 5 points and defensive struggles. This momentum and stability at the back give Juve Stabia a tactical advantage heading into this fixture, increasing their chances of securing a win.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

20%Juve Stabia Over 2.5
80%Hellas Verona Over 2.5
5H2H avg goals
In the last meeting, the average goals scored were high (5 goals), and Hellas Verona has an 80% Over 2.5 goals rate this season. This trend suggests an open game with goal-scoring opportunities, but Juve Stabia's defensive discipline could moderate the final goal tally, making Over 2.5 a watch-worthy angle rather than a certainty.

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