Football Stats Hub

Dundee crestDundee
v
Kilmarnock crestKilmarnock

Premiership | Sat 27 Feb, 15:00

Dundee v Kilmarnock Stats

Data last updated: Wed 28 Oct 2026, 22:08 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Dundee face Kilmarnock in Premiership on Sat 27 Feb, 15:00. Dundee United average 13.4 attempts but only 1.0 goal across their last 10 league games, suggesting their problem has been conversion rather than simply generating shooting situations.

BT4Y match pick

Kilmarnock to win and both teams to score

  • At 7/2, Kilmarnock to win and both teams to score implies roughly 22%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 18%.
  • A 2-1 score fits Kilmarnock's 2.1 goals per game and Dundee United's 1.9 goals conceded average.
  • Kilmarnock need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Dundee on 10 and Kilmarnock on 4.
  • The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg here, with recent BTTS rates of 100% for Dundee and 80% for Kilmarnock.
  • Kilmarnock to win and both teams to score needs both attacks involved, so goals-for averages of 2 for Dundee and 1.2 for Kilmarnock are central to the read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 18% for Kilmarnock to win and both teams to score sits against roughly 22% implied by the current price. Kilmarnock need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Dundee on 10 and Kilmarnock on 4. A 2-1 score fits Kilmarnock's 2.1 goals per game and Dundee United's 1.9 goals conceded average.

Model chance vs price18% model chance against roughly 22% implied
Negative
Kilmarnock need the result edge to pair with scoring at.Visible data support
Positive
The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg.Visible data support
Positive
A 2-1 score fits Kilmarnock's 2.1 goals per game.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Kilmarnock Win & BTTS is the preferred angle because a 2-1 score fits Kilmarnock's that scoring level per game and Dundee United's that scoring level conceded average. Kilmarnock need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Dundee on 10 and Kilmarnock on 4. Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Main risk

Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Key Data Signals

Kilmarnock to win and both teams to score evidence

A 2-1 score fits Kilmarnock's 2.1 goals per game and Dundee United's 1.9 goals conceded average.

Kilmarnock need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Dundee on 10 and Kilmarnock on 4.

The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg here, with recent BTTS rates of 100% for Dundee and 80% for Kilmarnock.

Kilmarnock Win & BTTS needs both attacks involved, so goals-for averages of 2 for Dundee and 1.2 for Kilmarnock are central to the read.

What To Watch In The Data

Kilmarnock to win and both teams to score notes

  • Use the article-led angle and the visible data together; the strongest signal is where both point to the same match pattern.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Dundee2
Avg goals scored
Kilmarnock1.2
Dundee1.4
Avg goals conceded
Kilmarnock2.4
Dundee100%
BTTS rate
Kilmarnock80%
Dundee100%
Over 2.5 goals
Kilmarnock80%

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Dundee

WLDWW
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 2D 3L
28 Oct 2026H Kilmarnock3-1
24 Oct 2026A ST Mirren1-2
17 Oct 2026H Rangers2-2
10 Oct 2026A Falkirk2-1
19 Sep 2026H Motherwell2-1

Kilmarnock

LLWLD
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 2D 6L
28 Oct 2026A Dundee1-3
24 Oct 2026A Falkirk0-3
17 Oct 2026H Motherwell3-2
10 Oct 2026A Rangers1-3
19 Sep 2026H Heart Of Midlothian1-1

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Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Dundee Over 2.5
80%Kilmarnock Over 2.5
3.5H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Dundee sit at 100% and Kilmarnock sit at 80% with the H2H average at 3.5 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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