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Venezia crestVenezia
v
Inter crestInter

Serie A | Wed 28 Oct, 17:30

Venezia v Inter Stats

Data last updated: Tue 27 Oct 2026, 19:04 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Venezia face a daunting Serie A challenge hosting league leaders Inter, who boast a potent attack averaging three goals per game. Venezia's recent form is fragile, with just three points and a low scoring rate of 0.8 goals per match, while Inter have been clinical and consistent. The tactical battle will likely see Venezia adopt a cautious approach to contain Inter's offensive threats, aiming to avoid defeat at home. This fixture tests Venezia's resilience against a top side pressing for continued control in the title race.

BT4Y best bet

Venezia Draw No Bet

  • Venezia have secured only 3 points this season, showing defensive vulnerabilities with 2 goals conceded per match.
  • Inter lead Serie A with 22 points and average 3 goals scored per game, indicating strong offensive firepower.
  • Inter's over 2.5 goals rate is 100%, suggesting high-scoring potential in their matches.
  • Venezia's draw no bet offer significant value given the of 45% versus implied chance of 23.5%.
  • Inter average 22.4 shots and 8.4 shots on target per game, highlighting their attacking pressure.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies strong value in Venezia Draw No Bet at 4.25 , reflecting a 45% chance of Venezia avoiding defeat despite their low points tally. Inter's attacking control is clear, but Venezia's home resilience and the risk of Inter underperforming or defensive lapses justify this selection. The price is attractive given the implied chance is only 23.5%, offering a 21.5% . is solid at 69%, supported by Venezia's ability to limit goals and Inter's occasional defensive concessions. This pick balances risk with potential reward in a challenging fixture.

Model Chance38.5% model chance vs 23.5% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Implied Chance38.5% model chance vs 23.5% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Value Edge38.5% model chance vs 23.5% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Confidence Level69% confidence
Positive
Data QualityComplete data for both teams
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Venezia Draw No Bet offers a tactical hedge against Inter's attacking strength, leveraging Venezia's home resilience and Inter's occasional defensive lapses. The data shows Venezia's capacity to avoid defeat despite limited scoring, making this a sensible selection in a fixture where Inter's control is not guaranteed to translate into a win.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Tactical balance and value in odds

“This bet captures the tension between Inter's offensive firepower and Venezia's defensive grit, providing a smart way to back the underdog with a safety net against defeat.”

Key Data Signals

Venezia Draw No Bet evidence

Venezia have secured only 3 points this season, showing defensive vulnerabilities with 2 goals conceded per match.

Inter lead Serie A with 22 points and average 3 goals scored per game, indicating strong offensive firepower.

Inter's over 2.5 goals rate is 100%, suggesting high-scoring potential in their matches.

Venezia's draw no bet offer significant value given the of 45% versus implied chance of 23.5%.

What To Watch In The Data

Venezia Draw No Bet notes

  • Over the last five matches, Inter have consistently produced high-scoring games, with an over 2.5 goals rate of 100%, driven by their attacking tempo and quality.
  • Venezia's matches have been lower scoring, but the head-to-head average goals of 2.6 suggest a moderately open fixture.
  • This trend panel indicates a likely goal-rich encounter, shaped by Inter's offensive style and Venezia's defensive resilience.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Venezia0.8
Avg goals scored
Inter3
Venezia2
Avg goals conceded
Inter1.4
Venezia40%
BTTS rate
Inter80%
Venezia40%
Over 2.5 goals
Inter100%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 73% vs implied 64% · edge +9.6 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
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Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 40%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 82%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 64%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 46%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 31%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Inter's matches have consistently featured high goal totals, with a 100% over 2.5 goals rate and an 80% BTTS rate, indicating frequent scoring from both sides. Venezia's lower scoring and BTTS rates (40%) suggest a more defensive setup, but the attacking threat from Inter likely ensures goals. This fixture is expected to have multiple goals, with Inter's offensive pressure overcoming Venezia's defensive efforts at times.

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Useful next reads

Serie A fixtures and predictionscorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickVenezia Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 39% vs implied 24% · edge +15 pts
4.25
Check odds @ 4.25
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 73%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 3.5 CardsBetUK guide price · model 63%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Venezia to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
8.5
Check odds @ 8.5
Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 57%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 64%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
The 38.5% for Venezia Draw No Bet sits against roughly 23.5% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Inter have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points from the sample compared with 3 for Venezia.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Venezia

LWLLL
Last 51W 0D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 7L
25 Oct 2026A Genoa0-1
17 Oct 2026H Napoli1-0
12 Oct 2026A Atalanta1-3
19 Sep 2026H Lazio0-2
11 Sep 2026H Fiorentina2-4

Inter

WWWDW
Last 54W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 107W 1D 0L
25 Oct 2026H Fiorentina2-1
17 Oct 2026A Bologna3-1
10 Oct 2026H Parma3-0
19 Sep 2026A AS Roma2-2
14 Sep 2026H Udinese5-3
Market aligned with main pickVenezia Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 39% vs implied 24% · edge +15 pts
4.25
Check odds @ 4.25
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Home / DrawBetUK guide price · model 48%
3
Check odds @ 3
Venezia to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
8.5
Check odds @ 8.5
Venezia's recent form is fragile with only 3 points and a low scoring rate of 0.8 goals per game, highlighting offensive struggles. Inter are in strong form, leading the league with 22 points and averaging 3 goals per match, demonstrating clinical finishing and consistency. This contrast suggests Venezia will focus on defensive solidity to secure at least a draw, while Inter push for a win to maintain their lead.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Venezia Over 2.5
100%Inter Over 2.5
2.6H2H avg goals
Over the last five matches, Inter have consistently produced high-scoring games, with an over 2.5 goals rate of 100%, driven by their attacking tempo and quality. Venezia's matches have been lower scoring, but the head-to-head average goals of 2.6 suggest a moderately open fixture. This trend panel indicates a likely goal-rich encounter, shaped by Inter's offensive style and Venezia's defensive resilience.

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