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Sutton Utd crestSutton Utd
v
Aldershot Town crestAldershot Town

National League | Wed 28 Oct, 19:45

Sutton Utd v Aldershot Town Stats

Data last updated: Tue 27 Oct 2026, 21:13 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Sutton Utd and Aldershot Town meet in a National League clash where both sides have shown tendencies to concede and score. Sutton Utd have struggled defensively, allowing an average of 2.2 goals per game, while Aldershot Town concede slightly less but maintain a strong attacking output with 1.6 goals scored per match. Both teams have recorded a high frequency of matches featuring goals at both ends, making this fixture likely to be open and competitive under the floodlights.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Sutton Utd concede 2.2 goals per game on average, indicating defensive vulnerabilities.
  • Aldershot Town score 1.6 goals per match and have an 80% BTTS rate.
  • Both teams have combined for an average of 2.4 goals in their last 10 meetings.
  • Sutton Utd have a 60% BTTS rate, supporting the likelihood of both teams scoring.
  • Aldershot Town’s matches go over 2.5 goals 80% of the time, suggesting attacking openness.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies a 76% chance for both teams to score, well above the implied market chance of 58.8%, indicating strong value. Sutton Utd’s defensive record and Aldershot Town’s attacking consistency create a scenario where both sides are likely to find the net. The historical average of 2.4 goals per meeting and high BTTS rates for both teams reinforce this expectation. No data limitations reduce , making this a solid pick based on attacking and defensive profiles.

Sutton Utd defensive weakness2.2 goals conceded per game
Strong positive
Aldershot Town attacking strength1.6 goals scored per game
Strong positive
High BTTS ratesSutton 60%, Aldershot 80%
Strong positive
H2H average goals2.4 goals per match
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both teams have shown a pattern of scoring and conceding regularly, with Aldershot Town’s attacking form particularly notable. Sutton Utd’s defensive struggles increase the likelihood of goals at both ends. This match’s recent form and historical data suggest a lively contest where both sides will find the net, making the BTTS selection tactically and statistically sound.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score

“The combination of Sutton Utd’s porous defense and Aldershot Town’s consistent goal threat creates a compelling case for both teams to score. Their past meetings and current form underline the attacking openness expected in this fixture.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Sutton Utd concede 2.2 goals per game on average, indicating defensive vulnerabilities.

Aldershot Town score 1.6 goals per match and have an 80% BTTS rate.

Both teams have combined for an average of 2.4 goals in their last 10 meetings.

Sutton Utd have a 60% BTTS rate, supporting the likelihood of both teams scoring.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • In the last ten matches between these teams, the average goals scored is 2.4, with a strong trend towards over 2.5 goals in Aldershot Town’s games at 80%.
  • This trend indicates a fast tempo and attacking openness, supporting the expectation of multiple goals and BTTS in this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Sutton Utd1
Avg goals scored
Aldershot Town1.6
Sutton Utd2.2
Avg goals conceded
Aldershot Town2
Sutton Utd60%
BTTS rate
Aldershot Town80%
Sutton Utd40%
Over 2.5 goals
Aldershot Town80%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 74% vs implied 59% · edge +15 pts
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
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Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 51%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 71%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 35%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Both teams have high BTTS rates—60% for Sutton Utd and 80% for Aldershot Town—indicating frequent goal exchanges. Their last ten meetings averaged 2.4 goals, supporting an open game with goals at both ends. Aldershot’s strong over 2.5 goals rate further emphasizes attacking intent in this fixture.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 74% vs implied 59% · edge +15 pts
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
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Aldershot Town Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Aldershot Town to WinBet365 guide price · model 41%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
DrawBetfred guide price · model 27%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Sutton Utd Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Sutton Utd to WinBetfred guide price · model 33%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
The 73.8% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 58.8% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Sutton Utd show a 60% BTTS rate and Aldershot Town show a 80% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Sutton Utd

LLDLD
Last 50W 2D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 3D 6L
24 Oct 2026A Harrogate Town1-3
09 Oct 2026H Boreham Wood0-2
03 Oct 2026A Kidderminster Harriers1-1
30 Sep 2026A Tamworth0-2
26 Sep 2026H Forest Green3-3

Aldershot Town

LLLLW
Last 51W 0D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 2D 5L
24 Oct 2026H Wealdstone0-1
10 Oct 2026A Altrincham1-3
03 Oct 2026H Carlisle1-3
29 Sep 2026A AFC Hornchurch1-2
26 Sep 2026H Tamworth5-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +15 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
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Aldershot Town Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Aldershot Town to WinBet365 guide price · model 41%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
DrawBetfred guide price · model 27%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 60%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Sutton Utd Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Sutton Utd to WinBetfred guide price · model 33%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Recent form shows Sutton Utd scoring only 1 goal across their last matches while conceding 2.2 on average, highlighting defensive frailty. Aldershot Town have scored 1.6 goals per game recently and maintain an 80% BTTS rate, reflecting their offensive consistency. This contrast supports the expectation of goals from both sides in this fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Sutton Utd Over 2.5
80%Aldershot Town Over 2.5
2.4H2H avg goals
In the last ten matches between these teams, the average goals scored is 2.4, with a strong trend towards over 2.5 goals in Aldershot Town’s games at 80%. This trend indicates a fast tempo and attacking openness, supporting the expectation of multiple goals and BTTS in this fixture.

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