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Saburtalo crestSaburtalo
v
Flora Tallinn crestFlora Tallinn

UEFA Champions League | Tue 14 Jul, 17:00

Saburtalo v Flora Tallinn Stats

Data last updated: Wed 15 Jul 2026, 06:26 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Flora Tallinn hosts Saburtalo in a pivotal UEFA Champions League first-leg qualifier at A. Flora, the dominant Estonian champions, bring a potent attack averaging 2.5 goals per game and high territorial pressure, while Saburtalo arrive as resilient Georgian champions with a consistent scoring record in 16 of their last 19 matches. Both sides face significant stakes, with Flora seeking to leverage home advantage and Saburtalo aiming to secure a valuable away goal. Tactical battles in midfield and defensive discipline will shape this tightly poised encounter, promising an intense and open contest.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Flora average 2.5 goals per match with 374 shots and 197 corners this season.
  • Saburtalo have scored in 16 of their last 19 competitive matches, showing consistent threat.
  • Saburtalo maintain an 86% passing accuracy, aiding their ability to break high press.
  • Flora concede 1.15 goals per game, indicating defensive vulnerabilities exploitable by Saburtalo.
  • Both teams have shown strong attacking intent, supporting a Both Teams to Score outcome.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The Both Teams to Score pick is supported by Flora's high attacking volume and Saburtalo's consistent scoring record. Flora's average of 2.5 goals per game and heavy shot and corner counts show sustained offensive pressure, while Saburtalo's ability to score in 16 of 19 matches and strong passing accuracy enable them to navigate pressure and find chances. Defensive lapses on both sides and tactical openness in this qualifier increase the likelihood of goals at both ends. The model rates this bet with a 76% chance, reflecting clear value at current .

Flora's attacking output2.5 goals per game, 374 shots, 197 corners
Strong positive
Saburtalo's scoring consistencyGoals in 16 of 19 matches, 1.42 goals per game
Strong positive
Saburtalo's passing accuracy86% passing accuracy under pressure
Positive
Flora's defensive concessions1.15 goals conceded per game
Positive
Match tactical opennessMidfield battle and defensive discipline issues
Positive
Main risk

A cautious first half or disciplined defensive approach from Saburtalo could limit early goal opportunities, potentially delaying scoring and affecting the timing of goals in the match.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score rationale

“Flora's aggressive home style combined with Saburtalo's consistent scoring ability creates a dynamic where both sides are likely to breach each other's defenses. This match promises open play and goal-scoring chances for both teams.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Flora average 2.5 goals per match with 374 shots and 197 corners this season.

Saburtalo have scored in 16 of their last 19 competitive matches, showing consistent threat.

Saburtalo maintain an 86% passing accuracy, aiding their ability to break high press.

Flora concede 1.15 goals per game, indicating defensive vulnerabilities exploitable by Saburtalo.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last 10 matches, both teams have shown a 100% rate for over 2.5 goals, indicating a trend towards open, high-scoring games.
  • The average goals per match in their head-to-head meeting was 5, suggesting this fixture is likely to follow a similar pattern of attacking tempo and goal opportunities for both sides.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Saburtalo3
Avg goals scored
Flora Tallinn2
Saburtalo2
Avg goals conceded
Flora Tallinn3
Saburtalo100%
BTTS rate
Flora Tallinn100%
Saburtalo100%
Over 2.5 goals
Flora Tallinn100%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 60% · edge +16.1 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 88%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 26%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Both Flora and Saburtalo have demonstrated strong attacking outputs this season, with Flora averaging 2.5 goals per game and Saburtalo scoring in 16 of 19 matches. The tactical setup suggests open play, with Flora's high shot and corner counts and Saburtalo's ability to exploit defensive gaps, supporting a high likelihood of goals from both sides.

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Useful next reads

UEFA Champions League fixtures and predictionsSaburtalo v Flora Tallinn predictionplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 60% · edge +16.1 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Flora Tallinn Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 42%
3.45
Check odds @ 3.45
Saburtalo to WinBetUK guide price · model 68%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Saburtalo Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Flora Tallinn to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
The Both Teams to Score market is priced at 1.80 with an implied chance of 55.6%, while the model estimates a 76% probability, indicating strong value. This price reflects recognition of both teams' attacking strengths but underestimates Saburtalo's scoring consistency and Flora's defensive vulnerabilities, making the market an attractive option without major price sensitivity concerns.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Saburtalo

W
Last 51W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 0L
08 Jul 2026A Flora Tallinn3-2

Flora Tallinn

L
Last 50W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 1L
08 Jul 2026H Saburtalo2-3
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 86% vs implied 89% · edge -3.3 pts
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
Load more odds for this section
Flora Tallinn Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 42%
3.45
Check odds @ 3.45
Saburtalo to WinBetUK guide price · model 68%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Saburtalo Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 45%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Flora Tallinn to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
DrawBet365 guide price · model 22%
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
Recent form data shows both teams consistently involved in high-scoring matches, with Saburtalo scoring three goals in their last game and Flora netting twice. Both sides have a 100% over 2.5 goals and BTTS rate in recent matches, reflecting their attacking efficiency and defensive openness, which supports the Both Teams to Score selection.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

1Saburtalo wins
0Draws
0Flora Tallinn wins
08 Jul 2026Flora Tallinn v Saburtalo2-3
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 60% · edge +16.1 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Saburtalo to WinBetUK guide price · model 68%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Flora Tallinn to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
DrawBet365 guide price · model 22%
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
The single recent head-to-head match between Flora and Saburtalo featured a high-scoring 5-goal game, illustrating an open contest with goals at both ends. Although the sample is limited, this encounter aligns with current form and tactical profiles, providing supportive context for the Both Teams to Score market in this qualifier.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

UEFA Champions League

Saburtalo2
Played
Flora Tallinn2
Saburtalo2.5
Avg goals for
Flora Tallinn2
Saburtalo2
Avg goals against
Flora Tallinn2.5
Saburtalo0
Clean sheets
Flora Tallinn0
Best odds for this sectionFlora Tallinn Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 42% vs implied 29% · edge +13 pts
3.45
Check odds @ 3.45
Load more odds for this section
Saburtalo to WinBetUK guide price · model 68%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Saburtalo Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Flora Tallinn to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Season-long statistics reveal Flora's prolific attack with 65 goals in 26 matches and Saburtalo's steady scoring rate of 1.42 goals per game. Flora's defensive concession of 1.15 goals per game and Saburtalo's seven clean sheets in 19 matches indicate vulnerabilities on both sides, reinforcing the expectation of goals from both teams in this fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Saburtalo Over 2.5
100%Flora Tallinn Over 2.5
5H2H avg goals
Over the last 10 matches, both teams have shown a 100% rate for over 2.5 goals, indicating a trend towards open, high-scoring games. The average goals per match in their head-to-head meeting was 5, suggesting this fixture is likely to follow a similar pattern of attacking tempo and goal opportunities for both sides.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Saburtalo v Flora Tallinn prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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Betting context

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