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Deportivo Cali crestDeportivo Cali
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Alianza Valledupar crestAlianza Valledupar

Primera A | Sat 03 Oct, 01:45

Deportivo Cali v Alianza Valledupar Stats

Data last updated: Fri 02 Oct 2026, 10:37 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Deportivo Cali hosts Alianza Valledupar in a Primera A clash where the home side sits comfortably in third place, while Alianza Valledupar struggles near the bottom of the table. Deportivo Cali's solid defensive record contrasts with Alianza Valledupar's more porous backline, setting up a tactical battle between a confident attack and a team seeking to break their scoring drought. Both teams have shown moments of offensive promise recently, making this fixture an intriguing contest with potential for goals at both ends.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Deportivo Cali concedes just 0.4 goals per game, showing defensive solidity.
  • Alianza Valledupar averages 1.2 goals scored per match, indicating some attacking threat.
  • Both teams have combined for BTTS in 50% of recent matches, supporting goal chances at both ends.
  • Deportivo Cali averages 10.6 shots per game with 5.4 on target, showing offensive intent.
  • Alianza Valledupar's 60% BTTS rate suggests they often concede while scoring themselves.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Both Teams to Score at 66.7% chance, well above the implied market chance of 47.6%, indicating strong value. Deportivo Cali's attacking players like E. Rodríguez create consistent shooting opportunities, while Alianza Valledupar's offense and defensive vulnerabilities suggest goals at both ends. The teams' recent form and season stats reinforce the likelihood of mutual scoring, making this an attractive bet with a solid level of 88%.

Model Chance62.6% model chance vs 47.6% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Implied Market Chance62.6% model chance vs 47.6% implied (+15 pts)
Positive
Deportivo Cali Defensive Strength0.4 goals conceded per game
Positive
Alianza Valledupar BTTS Rate60%
Positive
Shots and Shots on TargetHigh volume from both sides
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both teams have shown offensive capabilities that align with the likelihood of goals at both ends. Deportivo Cali's attacking midfielders and forwards consistently generate quality chances, while Alianza Valledupar's defensive frailties and moderate scoring record suggest they can find the net despite conceding. This combination supports a Both Teams to Score outcome as a tactically sound and data-backed choice.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score

“Deportivo Cali's attacking rhythm combined with Alianza Valledupar's defensive lapses creates a fertile ground for goals from both sides. The statistical profiles and recent performances underline the appeal of a BTTS wager in this fixture.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Deportivo Cali concedes just 0.4 goals per game, showing defensive solidity.

Alianza Valledupar averages 1.2 goals scored per match, indicating some attacking threat.

Both teams have combined for BTTS in 50% of recent matches, supporting goal chances at both ends.

Deportivo Cali averages 10.6 shots per game with 5.4 on target, showing offensive intent.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.6, indicating a moderately open game.
  • Alianza Valledupar's 80% over 2.5 goals rate contrasts with Deportivo Cali's 40%, suggesting matches often feature multiple goals and a lively tempo conducive to BTTS outcomes.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Deportivo Cali1.8
Avg goals scored
Alianza Valledupar1.2
Deportivo Cali0.4
Avg goals conceded
Alianza Valledupar1.8
Deportivo Cali40%
BTTS rate
Alianza Valledupar60%
Deportivo Cali40%
Over 2.5 goals
Alianza Valledupar80%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 57%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 39%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 47%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 37%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Deportivo Cali averages 1.8 goals scored and concedes just 0.4 per game, while Alianza Valledupar scores 1.2 but concedes 1.8, creating a scenario where goals are likely at both ends. The 50% combined BTTS rate in recent matches reflects a balanced contest with scoring opportunities for both sides.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
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Deportivo Cali to WinBet365 guide price · model 71%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Alianza Valledupar Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 42%
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 57%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 63%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Deportivo Cali Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 78%
1.26
Check odds @ 1.26
Alianza Valledupar to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
7
Check odds @ 7
The 62.6% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 47.6% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Deportivo Cali show a 40% BTTS rate and Alianza Valledupar show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Deportivo Cali

WWWWD
Last 54W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 3D 2L
28 Sep 2026H Águilas Doradas2-0
23 Sep 2026A Santa Fe1-0
20 Sep 2026H Cucuta3-0
14 Sep 2026A Once Caldas2-1
11 Sep 2026A Millonarios1-1

Alianza Valledupar

WLWWL
Last 53W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 1D 6L
27 Sep 2026A Jaguares2-1
19 Sep 2026H Santa Fe1-4
16 Sep 2026A Chico2-1
13 Sep 2026H Junior1-0
03 Sep 2026A America de Cali0-3
Best odds for this sectionDeportivo Cali to WinBet365 guide price · Model 71% vs implied 65% · edge +6 pts
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
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Alianza Valledupar Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 42%
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
Deportivo Cali Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 78%
1.26
Check odds @ 1.26
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 86%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Alianza Valledupar to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
7
Check odds @ 7
DrawBetfred guide price · model 21%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Deportivo Cali's recent form shows 13 points with a strong defensive record, while Alianza Valledupar has 9 points but concedes more goals. Both teams have BTTS rates of 40% and 60% respectively, highlighting a trend toward mutual scoring in their latest matches, reinforcing the BTTS market appeal.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Deportivo Cali Over 2.5
80%Alianza Valledupar Over 2.5
2.6H2H avg goals
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.6, indicating a moderately open game. Alianza Valledupar's 80% over 2.5 goals rate contrasts with Deportivo Cali's 40%, suggesting matches often feature multiple goals and a lively tempo conducive to BTTS outcomes.

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