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Bodo/Glimt crestBodo/Glimt

Eliteserien | Fri 29 May, 18:00

Rosenborg v Bodo/Glimt Stats

Data last updated: Fri 19 Jun 2026, 09:41 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Rosenborg face Bodo/Glimt in Eliteserien on Fri 29 May, 18:00. Rosenborg's massive attacking deficiencies are evident with only seven goals scored all season, the worst record in the league. The recent defeats to Aalesund and KFUM Oslo have only increased scrutiny. Bodo/Glimt dominate through possession control, averaging 67.1% possession and 17 attempts per match.

BT4Y lean · price warning

Rosenborg Win

  • At 1/2, Rosenborg Win implies roughly 67%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 27%.
  • Kjetil Knutsen's structurally superior side should confidently exploit a vulnerable home defence that has leaked 16 goals.
  • Bodo/Glimt have the stronger recent points return, taking 12 points from the sample compared with 4 for Rosenborg.
  • Bodo/Glimt have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.6 conceded per match, which helps the Rosenborg Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Rosenborg sit 15 in the table, while Bodo/Glimt sit 3, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.
Price warning

Rosenborg Win is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 67% while the model sits nearer 27% (-39.7 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Rosenborg Draw No Bet shows a +11.7 pts edge at 3.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The 27% for Rosenborg Win sits against roughly 67% implied by the current price. Bodo/Glimt have the stronger recent points return, taking 12 points from the sample compared with 4 for Rosenborg. Kjetil Knutsen's structurally superior side should confidently exploit a vulnerable home defence that has leaked that scoring level.

Model chance vs price27% model chance against roughly 67% implied
Negative
Bodo/Glimt have the stronger recent points return, taking 12 points.Visible data support
Positive
Bodo/Glimt have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.6 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
Kjetil Knutsen's structurally superior side should confidently exploit a.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Rosenborg Win is the preferred angle because kjetil Knutsen's structurally superior side should confidently exploit a vulnerable home defence that has leaked that scoring level. Bodo/Glimt have the stronger recent points return, taking 12 points from the sample compared with 4 for Rosenborg. They can have the ball, but they rarely make opponents panic.

Main risk

They can have the ball, but they rarely make opponents panic.

Key Data Signals

Rosenborg Win evidence

Kjetil Knutsen's structurally superior side should confidently exploit a vulnerable home defence that has leaked 16 goals.

Bodo/Glimt have the stronger recent points return, taking 12 points from the sample compared with 4 for Rosenborg.

Bodo/Glimt have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.6 conceded per match, which helps the Rosenborg Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Rosenborg sit 15 in the table, while Bodo/Glimt sit 3, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Rosenborg Win notes

    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Rosenborg4.8
    Avg corners for
    Bodo/Glimt7.8
    Rosenborg11
    Avg total corners
    Bodo/Glimt9.8
    Rosenborg1.6
    Avg yellow cards
    Bodo/Glimt0.2
    Rosenborg12.6
    Avg shots
    Bodo/Glimt21.4
    Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
    1.88
    Check odds @ 1.88
    Over 10.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Rosenborg1
    Avg goals scored
    Bodo/Glimt3.4
    Rosenborg1.8
    Avg goals conceded
    Bodo/Glimt0.6
    Rosenborg40%
    BTTS rate
    Bodo/Glimt40%
    Rosenborg40%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Bodo/Glimt80%
    Best odds for this sectionOver 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 80% vs implied 89% · edge -9.7 pts
    1.12
    Check odds @ 1.12
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    Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 42%
    2.7
    Check odds @ 2.7
    BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 44%
    2.5
    Check odds @ 2.5
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 60%
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 62%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 44%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 1.5 Goals does not fully support the current price: recent Over 2.5 rates are 40% for Rosenborg and 80% for Bodo/Glimt, so the goals line needs support from both scoring profiles.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickRosenborg to WinBetfred guide price · Model 27% vs implied 22% · edge +4.8 pts
    4.5
    Check odds @ 4.5
    Load more odds for this section
    Rosenborg Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
    3
    Check odds @ 3
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 60%
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 62%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    Rosenborg to Win is fairly priced at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Rosenborg

    LLWLD
    Last 51W 1D 3L
    Last 5 record
    Last 102W 2D 6L
    25 May 2026A KFUM Oslo0-2
    16 May 2026H Aalesund2-3
    10 May 2026H Lillestrom2-0
    01 May 2026A Viking0-3
    25 Apr 2026H Brann1-1

    Bodo/Glimt

    WWWLW
    Last 54W 0D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 107W 1D 2L
    24 May 2026H Brann3-1
    20 May 2026A Start4-1
    16 May 2026H Tromso5-0
    04 May 2026H Molde0-1
    30 Apr 2026H Start5-0
    Market aligned with main pickRosenborg to WinBetfred guide price · Model 27% vs implied 22% · edge +4.8 pts
    4.5
    Check odds @ 4.5
    Load more odds for this section
    Rosenborg Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
    3
    Check odds @ 3
    Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 48%
    2.31
    Check odds @ 2.31
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    2Rosenborg wins
    5Draws
    3Bodo/Glimt wins
    21 Sep 2025Rosenborg v Bodo/Glimt1-1
    24 May 2025Bodo/Glimt v Rosenborg4-0
    28 Oct 2024Bodo/Glimt v Rosenborg2-3
    27 Apr 2024Rosenborg v Bodo/Glimt1-3
    17 Sep 2023Rosenborg v Bodo/Glimt1-1
    13 May 2023Bodo/Glimt v Rosenborg3-2
    Market aligned with main pickRosenborg to WinBetfred guide price · Model 27% vs implied 22% · edge +4.8 pts
    4.5
    Check odds @ 4.5
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 60%
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 62%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Rosenborg to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    Eliteserien

    Rosenborg11
    Played
    Bodo/Glimt11
    Rosenborg0.8
    Avg goals for
    Bodo/Glimt2.5
    Rosenborg1.6
    Avg goals against
    Bodo/Glimt1
    Rosenborg2
    Clean sheets
    Bodo/Glimt5
    Market aligned with main pickRosenborg to WinBetfred guide price · Model 27% vs implied 22% · edge +4.8 pts
    4.5
    Check odds @ 4.5
    Load more odds for this section
    Rosenborg Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
    3
    Check odds @ 3
    Season data supports Rosenborg to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    3Bodo/Glimt231172217
    15Rosenborg911236-9
    Rosenborg sit in position 15, while Bodo/Glimt sit in position 3, so table pressure belongs in the Rosenborg Win assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    40%Rosenborg Over 2.5
    80%Bodo/Glimt Over 2.5
    3.5H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Rosenborg sit at 40% and Bodo/Glimt sit at 80% with the H2H average at 3.5 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.