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Match Context

Fixture analysis

Bodo/Glimt travel to Trondheim in commanding form, chasing the Eliteserien summit, while Rosenborg are under mounting pressure near the foot of the table. The fixture pits a high-possession, attacking away side against a home team struggling for goals and .

Rosenborg crestRosenborg
v
Bodo/Glimt crestBodo/Glimt

Eliteserien | Fri 29 May, 18:00

Rosenborg v Bodo/Glimt Stats

Data last updated: Thu 28 May 2026, 03:32 UK time
BT4Y best bet

Bodo/Glimt to Win

  • Bodo/Glimt average 67.1% possession and 17 shots per match
  • Rosenborg have scored just 7 goals in 10 league games
  • Bodo/Glimt concede only 0.9 goals per game
  • Rosenborg sit 15th with 6 losses in 10 matches
  • Recent form: Bodo/Glimt 12 points from 5, Rosenborg just 4

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

Bodo/Glimt’s structural dominance is clear: they control matches with over 67% possession and generate a league-high 17 attempts per game. Rosenborg’s attack is the weakest in the division, averaging just 0.7 goals per match and struggling to create clear chances. Bodo/Glimt’s defensive record is also elite, conceding less than a goal per game. The away side’s technical superiority, combined with Rosenborg’s lack of attacking threat and recent poor form, makes Bodo/Glimt strong favourites. The model’s chance is slightly lower due to historical draws, but the data points to away control.

Possession & Attacking VolumeBodo/Glimt 67.1% possession, 17 shots per game
Strong positive
Defensive SolidityBodo/Glimt concede 0.9 goals per match
Strong positive
Rosenborg Attacking OutputRosenborg 7 goals in 10 games
Strong positive
Recent FormBodo/Glimt 12 points from last 5, Rosenborg 4
Positive
Head-to-Head Draws5 of last 10 meetings drawn
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Bodo/Glimt’s tactical structure and attacking clarity make them clear favourites in Trondheim. Their ability to dominate possession and create sustained pressure should expose Rosenborg’s defensive frailties. With Rosenborg’s attack misfiring and low, the away side’s technical edge and recent form suggest a controlled Bodo/Glimt victory.

Main risk

Bodo/Glimt are missing several key players due to international duty, and Rosenborg have historically kept matches tighter than expected, drawing five of the last ten meetings, which adds some risk to the away win.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Bodo/Glimt’s structural superiority and Rosenborg’s attacking struggles

“Bodo/Glimt’s relentless possession game and high shot volume should suffocate Rosenborg, whose attack has been blunt all season. Even with some absentees, Bodo/Glimt’s system is robust enough to control the match and exploit any defensive lapses.”

Key Data Signals

Rosenborg Win evidence

Bodo/Glimt average 67.1% possession and 17 shots per match

Rosenborg have scored just 7 goals in 10 league games

Bodo/Glimt concede only 0.9 goals per game

Rosenborg sit 15th with 6 losses in 10 matches

What To Watch In The Data

Rosenborg Win notes

  • Rosenborg have the stronger base if recent points return and final line-ups keep pointing towards Rosenborg Win.
  • Check whether Rosenborg create enough clear chances rather than just territory.
  • Final line-ups and price movement can change the value quickly.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Rosenborg4.8
Avg corners for
Bodo/Glimt7.8
Rosenborg11
Avg total corners
Bodo/Glimt9.8
Rosenborg1.6
Avg yellow cards
Bodo/Glimt0.2
Rosenborg12.6
Avg shots
Bodo/Glimt21.4
Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 10.5 Corners is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: Rosenborg average 4.8 corners and Bodo/Glimt average 7.8, so the bet needs sustained territory to become repeated deliveries rather than sterile possession.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile and goal-market notes.

Rosenborg1
Avg goals scored
Bodo/Glimt3.4
Rosenborg1.8
Avg goals conceded
Bodo/Glimt0.6
Rosenborg40%
BTTS rate
Bodo/Glimt40%
Rosenborg40%
Over 2.5 goals
Bodo/Glimt80%
Best odds for this sectionOver 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 80% vs implied 89% · edge -9.7 pts
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
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Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.7
Check odds @ 2.7
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 44%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 60%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 62%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 44%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 1.5 Goals does not fully support the current price: recent Over 2.5 rates are 40% for Rosenborg and 80% for Bodo/Glimt, so the goals line needs support from both scoring profiles.
Player stats

Player props and player-level numbers.

Best player marketA. Helmersen Anytime GoalscorerA. Helmersen · 2 goals · 3 SOT/90
86/100
Check odds
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J. Reitan-Sunde 1+ Shot On TargetJ. Reitan-Sunde · 13.85 shots on target/90
84/100
Check odds
J. Reitan-Sunde 2+ ShotsJ. Reitan-Sunde · 13.85 shots/90
82/100
Check odds
O. Brynhildsen To Assist / Key Pass AngleO. Brynhildsen · 1 assists · 1.84 key passes/90
70/100
Check odds
J. Reitan-Sunde To Be FouledJ. Reitan-Sunde · 6.92 fouls won/90
80/100
Check odds
A. Witry Card RiskA. Witry · 4 yellows · 0.92 fouls/90
79/100
Check odds
Helmersen gives A. Helmersen Anytime Goalscorer a credible route through 2 goals and 3 SOT/90, especially if the match flow produces touches around the penalty area.
A. Helmersen
A. HelmersenBodo/Glimt · Attacker
Goal threat100/100
Shots /906
SOT /903
J. Reitan-Sunde
J. Reitan-SundeRosenborg · Attacker
Goal threat100/100
Shots /9013.85
SOT /9013.85
K. Høgh
K. HøghBodo/Glimt · Attacker
Goal threat85/100
Shots /903.37
SOT /901.75
M. Hansen
M. HansenBodo/Glimt · Attacker
Goal threat38/100
Shots /902.65
SOT /902.65
A. Witry
A. WitryRosenborg · Defender
Goal threat4/100
Shots /900.18
SOT /900
J. Svensson
J. SvenssonRosenborg · Midfielder
Goal threat13/100
Shots /900.94
SOT /900.31
O. Selnæs
O. SelnæsRosenborg · Midfielder
Goal threat10/100
Shots /900
SOT /900
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickRosenborg to WinBetfred guide price · Model 27% vs implied 22% · edge +4.8 pts
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
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Rosenborg Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 60%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 62%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Rosenborg to Win is a price-led watchlist angle rather than a form-backed pick: Rosenborg trail Bodo/Glimt on recent points, so line-ups and market movement need to improve before trusting it.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Rosenborg

LLWLD
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 2D 6L
25 May 2026A KFUM Oslo0-2
16 May 2026H Aalesund2-3
10 May 2026H Lillestrom2-0
01 May 2026A Viking0-3
25 Apr 2026H Brann1-1

Bodo/Glimt

WWWLW
Last 54W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 107W 1D 2L
24 May 2026H Brann3-1
20 May 2026A Start4-1
16 May 2026H Tromso5-0
04 May 2026H Molde0-1
30 Apr 2026H Start5-0
Market aligned with main pickRosenborg to WinBetfred guide price · Model 27% vs implied 22% · edge +4.8 pts
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Load more odds for this section
Rosenborg Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 48%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Rosenborg to Win is a price-led watchlist angle rather than a form-backed pick: Rosenborg trail Bodo/Glimt on recent points, so line-ups and market movement need to improve before trusting it.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2Rosenborg wins
5Draws
3Bodo/Glimt wins
21 Sep 2025Rosenborg v Bodo/Glimt1-1
24 May 2025Bodo/Glimt v Rosenborg4-0
28 Oct 2024Bodo/Glimt v Rosenborg2-3
27 Apr 2024Rosenborg v Bodo/Glimt1-3
17 Sep 2023Rosenborg v Bodo/Glimt1-1
13 May 2023Bodo/Glimt v Rosenborg3-2
Market aligned with main pickRosenborg to WinBetfred guide price · Model 27% vs implied 22% · edge +4.8 pts
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 60%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 62%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Rosenborg to Win is a price-led watchlist angle rather than a form-backed pick: Rosenborg trail Bodo/Glimt on recent points, so line-ups and market movement need to improve before trusting it.
Season team stats

Eliteserien

Rosenborg10
Played
Bodo/Glimt10
Rosenborg0.7
Avg goals for
Bodo/Glimt2.6
Rosenborg1.6
Avg goals against
Bodo/Glimt0.9
Rosenborg2
Clean sheets
Bodo/Glimt5
Market aligned with main pickRosenborg to WinBetfred guide price · Model 27% vs implied 22% · edge +4.8 pts
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Load more odds for this section
Rosenborg Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Rosenborg to Win is a price-led watchlist angle rather than a form-backed pick: Rosenborg trail Bodo/Glimt on recent points, so line-ups and market movement need to improve before trusting it.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
3Bodo/Glimt221071217
15Rosenborg810226-9
Bodo/Glimt are third in the table with 22 points, while Rosenborg languish in 15th with just 8 points from 10 games, underlining the gulf in quality and form.
Key match trends

Over 2.5 and recent goal-pattern context.

40%Rosenborg Over 2.5
80%Bodo/Glimt Over 2.5
3.5H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Rosenborg sit at 40% and Bodo/Glimt sit at 80% with the H2H average at 3.5 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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