Football Stats Hub

Ponte Preta crestPonte Preta
v
Criciuma crestCriciuma

Serie B | Thu 09 Jul, 00:00

Ponte Preta v Criciuma Stats

Data last updated: Wed 08 Jul 2026, 05:14 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Ponte Preta hosts Criciuma in a tense Serie B clash where form and tactical control sharply diverge. Ponte Preta struggles with a five-match losing streak and a severe attacking drought, failing to score in their last two games. Criciuma arrives in strong form, boasting four wins from their last five matches and a solid defensive record. Both teams deploy a 3-4-3 formation, but Criciuma's superior passing volume and defensive compactness give them a clear edge. The visitors' ability to control possession and manage tight games underlines their and tactical maturity heading into this encounter.

BT4Y best bet

Criciuma to Win

  • Criciuma has won four of their last five league matches, showing strong momentum.
  • Ponte Preta has failed to score in their last two games, highlighting attacking struggles.
  • Criciuma's defense is robust, conceding only 11 goals in 16 matches compared to Ponte Preta's 31.
  • Criciuma dominates possession and shot volume, averaging 12.8 shots per game versus Ponte Preta's 9.4.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

Criciuma's consistent form and tactical superiority underpin a 70% to win, supported by their strong defensive record and high shot volume. Ponte Preta's attacking inefficiency and defensive frailty increase their vulnerability. The price at 1.57 offers positive value with a 6.3% edge. The model notes no data limitations, reinforcing in this selection. Criciuma's ability to control tempo and limit Ponte Preta's chances makes an away win the most probable outcome.

Recent FormCriciuma 4 wins in last 5 matches
Strong positive
Defensive RecordCriciuma conceded 11 goals vs Ponte Preta 31
Strong positive
Attacking VolumeCriciuma averages 12.8 shots/game
Positive
Price Value Edge6.3% positive value at 1.57 odds
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Criciuma's tactical discipline and recent winning form make them the clear choice to secure an away victory. Their defensive solidity and ability to control possession contrast sharply with Ponte Preta's attacking woes and defensive struggles, suggesting Criciuma will manage the game effectively to claim three points.

Main risk

The main risk is Ponte Preta's home resilience and potential to frustrate Criciuma, which could lead to a draw or narrow scoreline.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“Criciuma's structured approach and superior form position them well to exploit Ponte Preta's current attacking deficiencies and secure a controlled away win.”

Key Data Signals

Criciuma to Win evidence

Criciuma has won four of their last five league matches, showing strong momentum.

Ponte Preta has failed to score in their last two games, highlighting attacking struggles.

Criciuma's defense is robust, conceding only 11 goals in 16 matches compared to Ponte Preta's 31.

Criciuma dominates possession and shot volume, averaging 12.8 shots per game versus Ponte Preta's 9.4.

What To Watch In The Data

Criciuma to Win notes

  • Over the last ten meetings, the average goals per game is 2.1, with Criciuma winning the last two encounters.
  • Criciuma's recent matches trend heavily towards under 2.5 goals, indicating a controlled tempo and defensive solidity that shapes expectations for a tight, low-scoring game in this fixture.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Ponte Preta4.4
Avg corners for
Criciuma5.2
Ponte Preta9.6
Avg total corners
Criciuma8
Ponte Preta2.4
Avg yellow cards
Criciuma2.2
Ponte Preta9.4
Avg shots
Criciuma12.8
Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
1.92
Check odds @ 1.92
Load more odds for this section
Over 5.5 CardsBetMGM guide price
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Criciuma averages more corners and shots than Ponte Preta, reflecting territorial control and sustained pressure. Both teams commit fouls regularly, suggesting a physical contest with set-piece opportunities. The card count is balanced, indicating discipline will be important but not overly disruptive.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

full betting preview for Ponte Preta v Criciumacorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Ponte Preta0.2
Avg goals scored
Criciuma1
Ponte Preta2.2
Avg goals conceded
Criciuma0.2
Ponte Preta20%
BTTS rate
Criciuma20%
Ponte Preta40%
Over 2.5 goals
Criciuma0%
Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 66% vs implied 60% · edge +6.1 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 47%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 22%
4
Check odds @ 4
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Criciuma's recent matches show a strong trend towards low-scoring games, with the 2.5-goal line unbroken in 17 of their last 20 fixtures. Ponte Preta's attacking struggles further support a low-scoring outcome, making BTTS No and Under 3.5 Goals a logical expectation for this match.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickCriciuma to WinBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 63% · edge +7.5 pts
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Load more odds for this section
Criciuma Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.27
Check odds @ 1.27
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 47%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
The of 1.57 for Criciuma to win reflect strong market aligned with the model's 70% chance, indicating positive value. The price fairly rewards Criciuma's superior form and tactical control, with no warning flags for overpricing, making this a solid selection at current .
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Ponte Preta

LLLLL
Last 50W 0D 5L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 1D 9L
03 Jul 2026A Fortaleza EC0-2
28 Jun 2026A Atletico Goianiense0-2
23 Jun 2026H Novorizontino0-2
14 Jun 2026A Juventude0-3
09 Jun 2026H Cuiaba1-2

Criciuma

WWWDW
Last 54W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 5D 0L
04 Jul 2026H Sport Recife1-0
27 Jun 2026H São Bernardo1-0
24 Jun 2026A America Mineiro1-0
16 Jun 2026H Ceara1-1
06 Jun 2026H Londrina1-0
Market aligned with main pickCriciuma to WinBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 63% · edge +7.5 pts
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Load more odds for this section
Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 84%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
Criciuma Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.27
Check odds @ 1.27
Criciuma's recent form is impressive, with four wins and a draw in their last five matches, showcasing consistency and . Ponte Preta's form is poor, with five consecutive losses and no goals in their last two games, indicating deep offensive and defensive issues that undermine their competitiveness.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2Ponte Preta wins
6Draws
2Criciuma wins
02 Aug 2023Criciuma v Ponte Preta2-1
22 Apr 2023Ponte Preta v Criciuma1-2
29 Oct 2022Ponte Preta v Criciuma1-1
15 Jul 2022Criciuma v Ponte Preta1-1
09 Apr 2021Criciuma v Ponte Preta1-1
04 Sep 2019Criciuma v Ponte Preta0-0
Market aligned with main pickCriciuma to WinBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 63% · edge +7.5 pts
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 47%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
The head-to-head record shows Criciuma has won the last two meetings against Ponte Preta, both by narrow 2-1 scorelines. While the overall sample includes several draws, Criciuma's recent control provides a psychological edge, though Ponte Preta's home resilience suggests the match may remain competitive.
Season team stats

Serie B

Ponte Preta16
Played
Criciuma16
Ponte Preta0.6
Avg goals for
Criciuma1.1
Ponte Preta1.9
Avg goals against
Criciuma0.7
Ponte Preta2
Clean sheets
Criciuma7
Market aligned with main pickCriciuma to WinBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 63% · edge +7.5 pts
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Load more odds for this section
Criciuma Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.27
Check odds @ 1.27
Criciuma's season stats reveal a strong defense conceding only 11 goals and a balanced attack averaging 1 goal per game. Ponte Preta's defensive record is poor with 31 goals conceded and a struggling attack scoring just 0.2 goals recently, reinforcing Criciuma's superiority in season-long performance metrics.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
3Criciuma30168627
19Ponte Preta8162212-21
Criciuma sits third in the Serie B standings, reflecting their status as promotion contenders with consistent results. Ponte Preta languishes near the relegation zone, underlining the pressure they face and the gulf in quality and between the teams, which favors Criciuma in this matchup.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Ponte Preta Over 2.5
0%Criciuma Over 2.5
2.1H2H avg goals
Over the last ten meetings, the average goals per game is 2.1, with Criciuma winning the last two encounters. Criciuma's recent matches trend heavily towards under 2.5 goals, indicating a controlled tempo and defensive solidity that shapes expectations for a tight, low-scoring game in this fixture.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Ponte Preta v Criciuma prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

More stats pages

Browse football stats pages

Open the main stats hub for the latest fixture dashboards.

Competition and hubs

full betting preview for Ponte Preta v Criciumacorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hub

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

Read full prediction View match centre