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New Zealand crestNew Zealand
v
Egypt crestEgypt

World Cup | Mon 22 Jun, 02:00

New Zealand v Egypt Stats

Data last updated: Mon 03 Aug 2026, 16:57 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

New Zealand face Egypt in World Cup on Mon 22 Jun, 02:00. Vancouver Sets Up a Proper Group G Nerve-Test. Egypt have conceded only 8 goals across their last 20 matches, with 14 clean sheets in that run.

BT4Y best bet

Rationale: Egypt to Win (4/7) Egypt possess the precise structural characteristics required to disrupt New Zealand's high-tempo attacking patterns

  • At 5/1, Rationale: Egypt to Win (4/7) Egypt possess the precise structural characteristics required to disrupt New Zealand's high-tempo attacking patterns implies roughly 17%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 29%.
  • Egypt's defensive resilience is outstanding, shutting out fourteen of their last twenty opponents.
  • Egypt have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Rationale: Egypt to Win (4/7) Egypt possess the precise structural characteristics required to disrupt New Zealand's high-tempo attacking patterns angle.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 29% for Rationale: Egypt to Win (4/7) Egypt possess the precise structural characteristics required to disrupt New Zealand's high-tempo attacking patterns sits against roughly 17% implied by the current price. Egypt have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Rationale: Egypt to Win (4/7) Egypt possess the precise structural characteristics required to disrupt New Zealand's high-tempo attacking patterns angle. Egypt's defensive resilience is outstanding, shutting out fourteen of their last twenty opponents.

Model chance vs price29% model chance against roughly 17% implied
Positive
Egypt have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
Egypt's defensive resilience is outstanding, shutting out fourteen of.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Draw is the preferred angle because egypt's defensive resilience is outstanding, shutting out fourteen of their last twenty opponents. Egypt have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Draw angle more than a raw possession edge. Egypt scored against Belgium and led at half-time, but the final result still finished 1-1.

Main risk

Egypt scored against Belgium and led at half-time, but the final result still finished 1-1.

Key Data Signals

Rationale: Egypt to Win (4/7) Egypt possess the precise structural characteristics required to disrupt New Zealand's high-tempo attacking patterns evidence

Egypt's defensive resilience is outstanding, shutting out fourteen of their last twenty opponents.

Egypt have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Draw angle more than a raw possession edge.

What To Watch In The Data

Rationale: Egypt to Win (4/7) Egypt possess the precise structural characteristics required to disrupt New Zealand's high-tempo attacking patterns notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    New Zealand2
    Avg goals scored
    Egypt1
    New Zealand2
    Avg goals conceded
    Egypt1
    New Zealand100%
    BTTS rate
    Egypt100%
    New Zealand100%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Egypt0%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 40% vs implied 25% · edge +15 pts
    4
    Check odds @ 4
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    Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 62%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 61%
    1.33
    Check odds @ 1.33
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 43%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 25%
    3.5
    Check odds @ 3.5
    BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
    1.22
    Check odds @ 1.22
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickNew Zealand to WinBet365 guide price · Model 32% vs implied 17% · edge +15 pts
    6
    Check odds @ 6
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    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 40%
    4
    Check odds @ 4
    New Zealand Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 56%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 50%
    1.85
    Check odds @ 1.85
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 43%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    New Zealand to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    New Zealand1
    Avg corners for
    Egypt7
    New Zealand5
    Avg total corners
    Egypt9
    New Zealand0
    Avg yellow cards
    Egypt2
    New Zealand14
    Avg shots
    Egypt14
    Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
    3.4
    Check odds @ 3.4
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    Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 50%
    1.85
    Check odds @ 1.85
    Over 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 44%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 10.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    New Zealand

    D
    Last 50W 1D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 1D 0L
    16 Jun 2026A Iran2-2

    Egypt

    D
    Last 50W 1D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 1D 0L
    15 Jun 2026A Belgium1-1
    Market aligned with main pickHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 59% vs implied 44% · edge +15 pts
    2.3
    Check odds @ 2.3
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    New Zealand to WinBet365 guide price · model 32%
    6
    Check odds @ 6
    New Zealand Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 56%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    0New Zealand wins
    0Draws
    1Egypt wins
    22 Mar 2024Egypt v New Zealand1-0
    Market aligned with main pickNew Zealand to WinBet365 guide price · Model 32% vs implied 17% · edge +15 pts
    6
    Check odds @ 6
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    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 40%
    4
    Check odds @ 4
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 43%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    The head-to-head sample gives context for New Zealand to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Season team stats

    World Cup

    New Zealand3
    Played
    Egypt5
    New Zealand1.3
    Avg goals for
    Egypt1.8
    New Zealand3.3
    Avg goals against
    Egypt1.4
    New Zealand0
    Clean sheets
    Egypt0
    Market aligned with main pickNew Zealand to WinBet365 guide price · Model 32% vs implied 17% · edge +15 pts
    6
    Check odds @ 6
    Load more odds for this section
    New Zealand Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 56%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Season data supports New Zealand to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    2Egypt531202
    4New Zealand13012-6
    World Cup standings are background only here: the useful read is whether the form and chance profile translate into control, territory and clear openings in this specific fixture.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    100%New Zealand Over 2.5
    0%Egypt Over 2.5
    1H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: New Zealand sit at 100% and Egypt sit at 0% with the H2H average at 1 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    New Zealand v Egypt prediction

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    Betting context

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