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Netherlands crestNetherlands
v
Algeria crestAlgeria

Friendlies | Wed 03 Jun, 19:45

Netherlands v Algeria Stats

Data last updated: Tue 21 Jul 2026, 14:44 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Netherlands face Algeria in Friendlies on Wed 03 Jun, 19:45. Ronald Koeman's squad negotiated their entire group campaign seamlessly without dropping a single fixture. The Netherlands are in excellent form, remaining unbeaten in their last 10 fixtures.

BT4Y lean · price warning

Netherlands Win

  • At 1/3, Netherlands Win implies roughly 75%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 27%.
  • De Kuip has become a fortress for the Dutch national team and the sense of comfort that comes with playing at home could be.
  • Algeria have the cleaner defensive sample at 0 conceded per match, which helps the Netherlands Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
Price warning

Netherlands Win is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 75% while the model sits nearer 27% (-48 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Algeria Draw No Bet shows a +47.3 pts edge at 4.5.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The 27% for Netherlands Win sits against roughly 75% implied by the current price. Algeria have the cleaner defensive sample at 0 conceded per match, which helps the Netherlands Win angle more than a raw possession edge. De Kuip has become a fortress for the Dutch national team and the sense of comfort that comes with playing at home could be.

Model chance vs price27% model chance against roughly 75% implied
Negative
Algeria have the cleaner defensive sample at 0 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
De Kuip has become a fortress for the Dutch.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Netherlands Win is the preferred angle because de Kuip has become a fortress for the Dutch national team and the sense of comfort that comes with playing at home could be invaluable as the World Cup approaches. Algeria have the cleaner defensive sample at 0 conceded per match, which helps the Netherlands Win angle more than a raw possession edge. An organised Algeria side recently kept five clean sheets in seven matches but can lack attacking ruthlessness against elite European teams.

Main risk

An organised Algeria side recently kept five clean sheets in seven matches but can lack attacking ruthlessness against elite European teams.

Key Data Signals

Netherlands Win evidence

De Kuip has become a fortress for the Dutch national team and the sense of comfort that comes.

Algeria have the cleaner defensive sample at 0 conceded per match, which helps the Netherlands Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

What To Watch In The Data

Netherlands Win notes

    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Netherlands5
    Avg corners for
    Algeria5
    Netherlands11
    Avg total corners
    Algeria11
    Netherlands0
    Avg yellow cards
    Algeria4
    Netherlands8
    Avg shots
    Algeria6
    Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 75% vs implied 58% · edge +17.2 pts
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
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    Over 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 69%
    2.02
    Check odds @ 2.02
    Over 8.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

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    Useful next reads

    more Friendlies analysisNetherlands v Algeria predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Netherlands1.5
    Avg goals scored
    Algeria3.5
    Netherlands1
    Avg goals conceded
    Algeria0
    Netherlands100%
    BTTS rate
    Algeria0%
    Netherlands50%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Algeria50%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 58% vs implied 52% · edge +5.9 pts
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    Load more odds for this section
    Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 54%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 68%
    1.22
    Check odds @ 1.22
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
    1.7
    Check odds @ 1.7
    BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 46%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 32%
    2.62
    Check odds @ 2.62
    BTTS Yes is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: the BTTS rates are 100% for Netherlands and 0% for Algeria, so the price depends on both attacks contributing rather than the clean-sheet story.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

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    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickNetherlands to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 27% vs implied 73% · edge -45.5 pts
    1.38
    Check odds @ 1.38
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 75%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 58%
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
    1.7
    Check odds @ 1.7
    Netherlands Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
    1.19
    Check odds @ 1.19
    Netherlands to Win is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Netherlands

    DW
    Last 51W 1D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 1D 0L
    31 Mar 2026H Ecuador1-1
    27 Mar 2026H Norway2-1

    Algeria

    DW
    Last 51W 1D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 1D 0L
    31 Mar 2026H Uruguay0-0
    27 Mar 2026H Guatemala7-0
    Market aligned with main pickNetherlands to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 27% vs implied 73% · edge -45.5 pts
    1.38
    Check odds @ 1.38
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    Netherlands Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
    1.19
    Check odds @ 1.19
    Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 51%
    1.07
    Check odds @ 1.07
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    0Netherlands wins
    0Draws
    0Algeria wins
    Market aligned with main pickNetherlands to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 27% vs implied 73% · edge -45.5 pts
    1.38
    Check odds @ 1.38
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 58%
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
    1.7
    Check odds @ 1.7
    There is no strong recent head-to-head sample for Netherlands to Win, which makes current output, injuries and market timing more important than historic meetings.
    Season team stats

    Friendlies

    Netherlands4
    Played
    Algeria4
    Netherlands1.3
    Avg goals for
    Algeria3
    Netherlands1
    Avg goals against
    Algeria0
    Netherlands0
    Clean sheets
    Algeria4
    Market aligned with main pickNetherlands to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 27% vs implied 73% · edge -45.5 pts
    1.38
    Check odds @ 1.38
    Load more odds for this section
    Netherlands Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
    1.19
    Check odds @ 1.19
    Season data supports Netherlands to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    50%Netherlands Over 2.5
    50%Algeria Over 2.5
    -H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Netherlands sit at 50% and Algeria sit at 50%, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    Netherlands v Algeria prediction

    Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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    Competition and hubs

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    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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