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Brann crestBrann
v
Start crestStart

Eliteserien | Sun 12 Jul, 16:00

Brann v Start Stats

Data last updated: Sun 02 Aug 2026, 12:35 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Brann face Start in Eliteserien on Sun 12 Jul, 16:00. Start have conceded 19 goals across their last six detailed league trips, pointing to defensive vulnerabilities. Conceding over three goals per match away highlights the ongoing structural issues in maintaining defensive form.

BT4Y best bet

Rationale: Both Teams to Score (Yes) SK Brann approach this fixture with a clear and well-documented pattern of high-event football

  • At 15/2, Rationale: Both Teams to Score (Yes) SK Brann approach this fixture with a clear and well-documented pattern of high-event football implies roughly 12%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 27%.
  • SK Brann are highly proactive, generating substantial numbers of central attacking transitions at home, but their persistent defensive fragility remains a structural issue.
  • Brann have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 4 for Start.
  • Brann sit 9 in the table, while Start sit 16, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 27% for Rationale: Both Teams to Score (Yes) SK Brann approach this fixture with a clear and well-documented pattern of high-event football sits against roughly 12% implied by the current price. Brann have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 4 for Start. SK Brann are highly proactive, generating substantial numbers of central attacking transitions at home, but their persistent defensive fragility remains a structural issue.

Model chance vs price27% model chance against roughly 12% implied
Strong positive
Brann have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points.Visible data support
Positive
Brann sit 9 in the table, while Start sit 16.Visible data support
Positive
SK Brann are highly proactive, generating substantial numbers of.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Brann Win is the preferred angle because sK Brann are highly proactive, generating substantial numbers of central attacking transitions at home, but their persistent defensive fragility remains a structural issue. Brann have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 4 for Start. The positions immediately frame this as an important game, but the deeper story is that neither side can approach it with much .

Main risk

The positions immediately frame this as an important game, but the deeper story is that neither side can approach it with much .

Key Data Signals

Rationale: Both Teams to Score (Yes) SK Brann approach this fixture with a clear and well-documented pattern of high-event football evidence

SK Brann are highly proactive, generating substantial numbers of central attacking transitions at home, but their persistent defensive.

Brann have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 4 for Start.

Brann have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.8 conceded per match, which helps the Brann Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Brann sit 9 in the table, while Start sit 16, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Rationale: Both Teams to Score (Yes) SK Brann approach this fixture with a clear and well-documented pattern of high-event football notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Brann1.6
    Avg goals scored
    Start1.6
    Brann1.8
    Avg goals conceded
    Start2.6
    Brann100%
    BTTS rate
    Start80%
    Brann100%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Start60%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +15 pts
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
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    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 85%
    1.14
    Check odds @ 1.14
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 67%
    1.48
    Check odds @ 1.48
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 49%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 37%
    2.6
    Check odds @ 2.6
    BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickBrann to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 55% vs implied 73% · edge -17.1 pts
    1.38
    Check odds @ 1.38
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    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 75%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 67%
    1.48
    Check odds @ 1.48
    Brann Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 65%
    1.23
    Check odds @ 1.23
    Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 60%
    1.25
    Check odds @ 1.25
    Brann to Win is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.

    Continue the research

    Useful next reads

    full betting preview for Brann v Startcorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Brann5.4
    Avg corners for
    Start1.5
    Brann8.8
    Avg total corners
    Start10
    Brann1.6
    Avg yellow cards
    Start1.5
    Brann11.2
    Avg shots
    Start9.5
    Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
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    Over 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 54%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 60%
    1.25
    Check odds @ 1.25
    Over 10.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Brann

    LLLWW
    Last 52W 0D 3L
    Last 5 record
    Last 104W 1D 5L
    29 May 2026H Sarpsborg 08 FF1-2
    24 May 2026A Bodo/Glimt1-3
    20 May 2026A Aalesund1-2
    16 May 2026H KFUM Oslo2-1
    02 May 2026H Fredrikstad3-1

    Start

    LWLLD
    Last 51W 1D 3L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 3D 6L
    29 May 2026A Fredrikstad1-2
    25 May 2026H Valerenga2-0
    20 May 2026H Bodo/Glimt1-4
    16 May 2026A Viking3-6
    03 May 2026H Tromso1-1
    Market aligned with main pickBrann to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 55% vs implied 73% · edge -17.1 pts
    1.38
    Check odds @ 1.38
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    Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 82%
    1.1
    Check odds @ 1.1
    Brann Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 65%
    1.23
    Check odds @ 1.23
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    6Brann wins
    2Draws
    0Start wins
    04 Aug 2022Brann v Start1-0
    07 Jul 2022Start v Brann0-2
    09 Dec 2020Start v Brann1-1
    19 Jul 2020Brann v Start1-1
    06 Aug 2018Brann v Start4-1
    12 May 2018Start v Brann0-1
    Market aligned with main pickBrann to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 55% vs implied 73% · edge -17.1 pts
    1.38
    Check odds @ 1.38
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 75%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 67%
    1.48
    Check odds @ 1.48
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Brann to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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    Open Match Centre player odds

    Season team stats

    Eliteserien

    Brann15
    Played
    Start16
    Brann2
    Avg goals for
    Start1
    Brann1.7
    Avg goals against
    Start2.3
    Brann1
    Clean sheets
    Start1
    Market aligned with main pickBrann to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 55% vs implied 73% · edge -17.1 pts
    1.38
    Check odds @ 1.38
    Load more odds for this section
    Brann Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 65%
    1.23
    Check odds @ 1.23
    Season data supports Brann to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    9Brann19156185
    16Start10162410-21
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    100%Brann Over 2.5
    60%Start Over 2.5
    2.13H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Brann sit at 100% and Start sit at 60% with the H2H average at 2.13 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    Brann v Start prediction

    Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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    Competition and hubs

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    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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