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Brann crestBrann
v
Start crestStart

Eliteserien | Sun 12 Jul, 16:00

Brann v Start Stats

Data last updated: Sat 11 Jul 2026, 04:24 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Brann and Start meet in an Eliteserien clash where attacking intent and defensive vulnerabilities set the stage for an open game. Brann, positioned 11th, have shown a strong tendency for high-scoring matches, while Start, struggling near the bottom, have conceded frequently but also contributed offensively. Both teams have averaged over 1.6 goals scored per game recently, with Brann's matches consistently exceeding 2.5 goals. This fixture promises a dynamic encounter with both sides pushing forward, creating multiple scoring opportunities and a likely goal-rich contest.

BT4Y match pick

Over 2.5 Goals

  • Brann's last matches have all gone over 2.5 goals (100% rate).
  • Start's games have a 60% over 2.5 goals rate this season.
  • Both teams average 11.2 shots per game, indicating attacking activity.
  • Brann concedes 1.8 goals per game; Start concedes 2.6, suggesting defensive frailty.
  • H2H average goals stand at 2.13 over eight meetings, supporting a goal-laden game.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model projects a 66.6% chance for over 2.5 goals, supported by Brann's perfect recent record of high-scoring matches and Start's openness at the back. Both teams maintain strong attacking outputs with similar shot volumes and goal averages above 1.6 per game. The head-to-head data aligns with this trend, showing an average of just over two goals per meeting. Defensive vulnerabilities on both sides further enhance the likelihood of multiple goals, making over 2.5 goals a compelling choice for this fixture.

Brann Over 2.5 Rate100% recent matches
Strong positive
Start Defensive Record2.6 goals conceded per game
Positive
Shots per Game11.2 each team
Positive
H2H Average Goals2.13 goals per match
Positive
Model Confidence66.6% chance
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open and attacking game as Brann and Start both seek goals to improve their league positions. Brann's consistent high-scoring matches combined with Start's defensive struggles suggest multiple goals are likely. The data supports a lively contest with several scoring opportunities, making over 2.5 goals a sensible selection for this fixture.

Main risk

The main risk lies in potential tactical adjustments that could tighten defenses or reduce scoring chances, which may limit the goal tally despite the attacking trends.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Goal-scoring potential and defensive openness

“Brann's offensive consistency and Start's defensive vulnerabilities set the stage for a match where goals are expected at both ends, making the over 2.5 goals market a logical and data-backed choice.”

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

Brann's last matches have all gone over 2.5 goals (100% rate).

Start's games have a 60% over 2.5 goals rate this season.

Both teams average 11.2 shots per game, indicating attacking activity.

Brann concedes 1.8 goals per game; Start concedes 2.6, suggesting defensive frailty.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • In the last eight head-to-head meetings, the average goals scored is 2.13, indicating a moderately high-scoring history.
  • Brann's recent matches have all exceeded 2.5 goals, and Start's matches have a 60% over 2.5 rate this season.
  • This trend panel suggests a sustained tempo and attacking approach conducive to multiple goals in this fixture.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Brann5.4
Avg corners for
Start2.4
Brann8.8
Avg total corners
Start8
Brann1.6
Avg yellow cards
Start2
Brann11.2
Avg shots
Start11.2
Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
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Over 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 48%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Brann averages 5.4 corners per game compared to Start's 2.4, reflecting territorial control and sustained pressure. Both teams generate over 11 shots per game, with Brann producing more shots on target, indicating attacking efficiency. The moderate card averages suggest a competitive but not overly aggressive match, supporting open play and goal chances.

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Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Brann1.6
Avg goals scored
Start1.6
Brann1.8
Avg goals conceded
Start2.6
Brann100%
BTTS rate
Start80%
Brann100%
Over 2.5 goals
Start60%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 68% · edge -1 pts
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 85%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 49%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 37%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Both teams have shown a propensity for goals, with Brann's matches always exceeding 2.5 goals recently and Start contributing to high-scoring games 60% of the time. The BTTS rates of 100% for Brann and 80% for Start suggest both sides are likely to find the net, reinforcing the over 2.5 goals outlook.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 68% · edge -1 pts
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Start Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 42%
4.1
Check odds @ 4.1
Start to WinBet365 guide price · model 29%
7
Check odds @ 7
DrawBetfred guide price · model 26%
5
Check odds @ 5
Brann Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 65%
1.23
Check odds @ 1.23
Brann to WinBetMGM guide price · model 55%
1.38
Check odds @ 1.38
The over 2.5 goals market is well supported by model projections and recent team performances, indicating a strong probability rather than a speculative bet. Without visible , this is a football-driven selection based on attacking and defensive metrics rather than price value.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Brann

LLLWW
Last 52W 0D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 1D 5L
29 May 2026H Sarpsborg 08 FF1-2
24 May 2026A Bodo/Glimt1-3
20 May 2026A Aalesund1-2
16 May 2026H KFUM Oslo2-1
02 May 2026H Fredrikstad3-1

Start

LWLLD
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 3D 6L
29 May 2026A Fredrikstad1-2
25 May 2026H Valerenga2-0
20 May 2026H Bodo/Glimt1-4
16 May 2026A Viking3-6
03 May 2026H Tromso1-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 55% vs implied 33% · edge +21.4 pts
3
Check odds @ 3
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Start Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 42%
4.1
Check odds @ 4.1
Start to WinBet365 guide price · model 29%
7
Check odds @ 7
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 82%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
DrawBetfred guide price · model 26%
5
Check odds @ 5
Brann Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 65%
1.23
Check odds @ 1.23
Brann to WinBetMGM guide price · model 55%
1.38
Check odds @ 1.38
Brann's recent form includes a perfect 100% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals, reflecting their attacking style and defensive openness. Start's 60% over 2.5 rate and 80% BTTS rate also indicate a tendency toward goal-rich games. Both teams have scored an average of 1.6 goals per game recently, supporting the expectation of multiple goals in this fixture.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

6Brann wins
2Draws
0Start wins
04 Aug 2022Brann v Start1-0
07 Jul 2022Start v Brann0-2
09 Dec 2020Start v Brann1-1
19 Jul 2020Brann v Start1-1
06 Aug 2018Brann v Start4-1
12 May 2018Start v Brann0-1
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 68% · edge -1 pts
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Start to WinBet365 guide price · model 29%
7
Check odds @ 7
DrawBetfred guide price · model 26%
5
Check odds @ 5
Brann to WinBetMGM guide price · model 55%
1.38
Check odds @ 1.38
The eight previous meetings between Brann and Start have averaged just over two goals per game, supporting the potential for a goal-laden encounter. While not overwhelmingly high, this average aligns with recent attacking trends and the teams' current form, providing a relevant historical context for expecting multiple goals.
Season team stats

Eliteserien

Brann12
Played
Start12
Brann2
Avg goals for
Start1.1
Brann1.7
Avg goals against
Start2.3
Brann1
Clean sheets
Start1
Best odds for this sectionStart Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 42% vs implied 24% · edge +17.6 pts
4.1
Check odds @ 4.1
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Start to WinBet365 guide price · model 29%
7
Check odds @ 7
Brann Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 65%
1.23
Check odds @ 1.23
Brann to WinBetMGM guide price · model 55%
1.38
Check odds @ 1.38
Season-long data shows Brann scoring 1.6 goals per game while conceding 1.8, highlighting a balance tilted toward open play. Start concedes 2.6 goals per game, the highest in the matchup, while scoring 1.6 themselves. These figures underline defensive vulnerabilities and attacking willingness, making over 2.5 goals a plausible outcome based on season trends.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
11Brann13124174
16Start712147-15
Brann sits 11th with 13 points, while Start is 16th with 7 points, both under pressure to improve results. This league position context suggests both teams will prioritize attacking to secure points, increasing the likelihood of an open game with several goals scored.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Brann Over 2.5
60%Start Over 2.5
2.13H2H avg goals
In the last eight head-to-head meetings, the average goals scored is 2.13, indicating a moderately high-scoring history. Brann's recent matches have all exceeded 2.5 goals, and Start's matches have a 60% over 2.5 rate this season. This trend panel suggests a sustained tempo and attacking approach conducive to multiple goals in this fixture.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Brann v Start prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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Competition and hubs

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Next step

Betting context

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