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Independiente Medellinv
FlamengoCONMEBOL Libertadores | Fri 08 May, 01:30
Independiente Medellin v Flamengo Stats
BT4Y best bet
Both Teams to Score
- At 2.05, Both Teams to Score is priced at roughly 49% implied probability. Our model has it closer to 76%, so the current line is showing a +27.2-point value edge.
- Independiente Medellin have scored in 100% of the recent sample and Flamengo have scored in 100%, with BTTS rates of 80% and 67%.
- The goals data supports the Both Teams to Score angle: Independiente Medellin have taken 2 wins from their last 5 matches, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded.
- The goals data supports the Both Teams to Score angle: Flamengo have taken 2 wins from their last 3 matches, with BTTS landing in 67% of that sample.
- If the bookmaker is still close to 2.05, this is the market to check first because the data and the price are both pointing in the same direction.
Market odds
Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 76% vs implied 49% · edge +27.2 pts
2.05
Bet HERE @ 2.05Load more odds for this section
Key match trends
A quick read of the strongest visible indicators.
40%Independiente Medellin Over 2.5
33%Flamengo Over 2.5
5H2H avg goals
Recent form
Results and scoring shape from recent games.
Independiente Medellin
WLDWD
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 recordLast 103W 3D 1L
01 May 2026H Cusco1-0
17 Apr 2026A Flamengo1-4
09 Apr 2026H Estudiantes L.P.1-1
13 Mar 2026H Juventud2-1
06 Mar 2026A Juventud1-1
Flamengo
DWW
Last 52W 1D 0L
Last 5 recordLast 102W 1D 0L
30 Apr 2026A Estudiantes L.P.1-1
17 Apr 2026H Independiente Medellin4-1
09 Apr 2026A Cusco2-0
Best odds for this sectionHome Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 45% vs implied 32% · edge +12.7 pts
3.1
Bet HERE @ 3.1Load more odds for this section
Goals, BTTS and over/under
Goal-market data and related prices.
Independiente Medellin1.2
Avg goals scoredFlamengo2.33
Independiente Medellin1.4
Avg goals concededFlamengo0.67
Independiente Medellin80%
BTTS rateFlamengo67%
Independiente Medellin40%
Over 2.5 goalsFlamengo33%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 76% vs implied 49% · edge +27.2 pts
2.05
Bet HERE @ 2.05Load more odds for this section
Head-to-head
Recent meetings and related markets.
0Independiente Medellin wins
0Draws
1Flamengo wins
17 Apr 2026Flamengo v Independiente Medellin4-1
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 76% vs implied 49% · edge +27.2 pts
2.05
Bet HERE @ 2.05Load more odds for this section
Corners, cards and shots
Detailed stat markets where available.
Independiente Medellin5.2
Avg corners forFlamengo4.33
Independiente Medellin8
Avg total cornersFlamengo9.33
Independiente Medellin2.2
Avg yellow cardsFlamengo0.67
Independiente Medellin12
Avg shotsFlamengo17
Best odds for this sectionOver 4.5 CardsBetfred guide price · Model 50% vs implied 50% · edge -0.3 pts
2
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Player stats
Player props and player-level signals.
Best player angleG. de Arrascaeta Anytime GoalscorerG. de Arrascaeta · 2 goals · 4.59 SOT/90
86/100
Bet HERELoad more player angles
G. de Arrascaeta To Assist / Key Pass AngleG. de Arrascaeta · 1 assists · 4.59 key passes/90
74/100
Bet HERE
G. de ArrascaetaFlamengo · Midfielder
Goal threat100/100
Shots /906.43
SOT /904.59
PedroFlamengo · Attacker
Goal threat100/100
Shots /907.5
SOT /907.5
H. PalaciosIndependiente Medellin · Defender
Goal threat73/100
Shots /902.36
SOT /901.88
Luiz AraújoFlamengo · Attacker
Goal threat73/100
Shots /904.66
SOT /903.1
E. LarrosaIndependiente Medellin · Attacker
Goal threat36/100
Shots /901.92
SOT /900.77
M. PalaciosIndependiente Medellin · Defender
Goal threat1/100
Shots /900
SOT /900
F. FydriszewskiIndependiente Medellin · Attacker
Goal threat45/100
Shots /901.96
SOT /900.56
Season team stats
CONMEBOL Libertadores
Independiente Medellin7
PlayedFlamengo3
Independiente Medellin1.1
Avg goals forFlamengo2.3
Independiente Medellin1.1
Avg goals againstFlamengo0.7
Independiente Medellin2
Clean sheetsFlamengo1
Best odds for this sectionHome Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 45% vs implied 32% · edge +12.7 pts
3.1
Bet HERE @ 3.1Load more odds for this section
League standings snapshot
Current table context.
| Pos | Team | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
| 3 | Independiente Medellin | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -2 |
Next step
Betting context
Use the best-bet case above as the starting point, then check the live odds and the full prediction before staking.
