Football Stats Hub

Chico crestChico
v
Junior crestJunior

Primera A | Sun 16 Aug, 02:10

Chico v Junior Stats

Data last updated: Sun 16 Aug 2026, 23:09 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This Primera A clash features Junior aiming to improve on a slightly better recent run compared to Chico, who have struggled defensively. Junior's tactical setup emphasizes controlled possession and efficient attacking transitions, leveraging key players like Luis Muriel to break down opponents. Chico's defensive vulnerabilities and lower goal-scoring output add pressure to their home performance. The match stakes are significant for both sides seeking points to climb the standings, with Junior's sharper form and attacking edge setting the stage for a competitive encounter.

BT4Y best bet

Junior to Win

  • Junior has a 57.8% to win, showing clear value at of 2.00.
  • Junior concedes only 0.8 goals per game, while Chico concedes 3 goals per game, highlighting defensive gaps.
  • Junior averages 15.6 shots per game with 4.2 on target, indicating strong attacking pressure.
  • Chico's recent form shows only 0.6 goals scored per game and 0 BTTS rate, suggesting offensive struggles.
  • Luis Muriel leads Junior with 12 goals and 2.01 shots on target per 90 minutes, a key scoring threat.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

Junior's superior defensive record and more potent attack underpin the 57.8% to win. The team averages nearly double the shots per game compared to Chico, whose defensive frailties and low scoring rate create a favorable scenario for Junior. The price offers positive value with a 7.8% edge, reflecting Junior's ability to control the game tempo and capitalize on chances. This pick balances solid data signals with Junior's tactical strengths and recent momentum.

Model Win Probability57.8%
Strong positive
Junior Defensive Strength0.8 goals conceded per game
Strong positive
Chico Defensive Weakness3 goals conceded per game
Strong positive
Junior Attacking Volume15.6 shots per game
Strong positive
Value Edge7.8% positive
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Junior's more balanced defense and higher attacking output make them the logical choice to secure victory. Their ability to generate quality chances through players like Luis Muriel, combined with Chico's defensive struggles, suggests Junior can control the match and convert opportunities into goals effectively.

Main risk

The fixture status adds uncertainty, so prices should be checked again once the match details settle.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Junior to Win

“Junior's tactical discipline and attacking firepower, especially from Muriel, give them a clear edge over Chico's porous defense. Expect Junior to leverage their higher shot volume and defensive solidity to dictate the match tempo and secure the win.”

Key Data Signals

Junior to Win evidence

Junior has a 57.8% to win, showing clear value at of 2.00.

Junior concedes only 0.8 goals per game, while Chico concedes 3 goals per game, highlighting defensive gaps.

Junior averages 15.6 shots per game with 4.2 on target, indicating strong attacking pressure.

Chico's recent form shows only 0.6 goals scored per game and 0 BTTS rate, suggesting offensive struggles.

What To Watch In The Data

Junior to Win notes

  • Over the last ten matches, the average goals in head-to-head encounters is 2.8, indicating moderate scoring.
  • Junior's matches have a 40% Over 2.5 goals rate, while Chico's is 60%.
  • This suggests a balanced tempo with potential for goals, but not a high-scoring shootout, aligning with Junior's controlled attacking style and Chico's defensive issues.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Chico0.6
Avg goals scored
Junior0.8
Chico3
Avg goals conceded
Junior0.8
Chico0%
BTTS rate
Junior20%
Chico60%
Over 2.5 goals
Junior40%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS NoBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 56% · edge +11.7 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 50%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 68%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 32%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Under 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 54%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 37%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Goal trends show Junior averaging 0.8 goals per game with a 20% BTTS rate, while Chico scores 0.6 goals with no BTTS in recent matches. The average goals in their head-to-head is 2.8, indicating moderate scoring potential. The data suggests a controlled game with limited BTTS likelihood, favoring Junior's ability to keep a clean sheet while scoring.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

corners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Chico

LLWLL
Last 51W 0D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 1D 6L
08 Aug 2026A Santa Fe0-2
02 Aug 2026A America de Cali0-7
02 May 2026H Llaneros3-0
27 Apr 2026A Internacional de Bogota0-4
23 Apr 2026A Independiente Medellin0-2

Junior

LLLWD
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 4D 3L
02 Aug 2026H Millonarios0-1
26 Jul 2026A Deportes Tolima1-2
08 Jun 2026A Atletico Nacional0-1
03 Jun 2026H Atletico Nacional3-0
24 May 2026H Santa Fe0-0
Market aligned with main pickJunior to WinBetUK guide price · Model 58% vs implied 50% · edge +7.8 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
Load more odds for this section
Junior Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 67%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 83%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Junior's recent form shows 4 points gained with a solid defensive record conceding only 0.8 goals per game, contrasting with Chico's 3 points and 3 goals conceded per game. Junior's ability to limit opponents' chances and maintain scoring consistency underpins their stronger momentum heading into this fixture.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
2Junior351911267
18Chico17195212-17
18Junior02002-2
20Chico02002-9
Both teams occupy lower table positions, with Junior ranked 18th and Chico 20th, both on zero points. The standings reflect early-season struggles but also add pressure to Junior to secure points and improve their position, increasing their motivation and tactical focus for this match.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickJunior to WinBetUK guide price · Model 58% vs implied 50% · edge +7.8 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
Load more odds for this section
Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 67%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Junior Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 67%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 50%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 37%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
The Junior to Win market is priced at 2.00 with a model-implied chance of 57.8%, offering a positive of 7.8%. This pricing reflects in Junior's superior defensive and attacking metrics compared to Chico. The fairly reward Junior's form and statistical control, making this a price-sensitive but attractive selection given the data.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Chico3.8
Avg corners for
Junior5.4
Chico7.4
Avg total corners
Junior10.8
Chico1.6
Avg yellow cards
Junior2.6
Chico8.8
Avg shots
Junior15.6
Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · Model 67% vs implied 55% · edge +12.3 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Load more odds for this section
Over 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 55%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Over 10.5 CornersBetUK guide price
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Junior averages 5.4 corners and 15.6 shots per game, indicating sustained attacking pressure and territorial control. Chico's 3.8 corners and 8.8 shots reflect less offensive threat. Card data shows Junior concedes more yellows (2.6) than Chico (1.6), suggesting a more aggressive defensive approach that could disrupt Chico's rhythm and maintain control through physicality.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

3Chico wins
2Draws
5Junior wins
08 Feb 2026Junior v Chico3-0
02 Aug 2025Junior v Chico2-0
19 Feb 2025Chico v Junior0-2
22 Jul 2024Junior v Chico2-1
28 Jan 2024Chico v Junior2-2
20 Sep 2023Chico v Junior2-1
Market aligned with main pickJunior to WinBetUK guide price · Model 58% vs implied 50% · edge +7.8 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 50%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 37%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
The ten previous meetings between these teams average 2.8 goals per match, showing a moderate scoring trend. While the sample is reasonable, recent tactical shifts and form differences mean historical results provide background context but less predictive power than current defensive and attacking metrics.
Season team stats

Primera A

Chico21
Played
Junior27
Chico0.7
Avg goals for
Junior1.5
Chico2
Avg goals against
Junior1.1
Chico4
Clean sheets
Junior9
Market aligned with main pickJunior to WinBetUK guide price · Model 58% vs implied 50% · edge +7.8 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
Load more odds for this section
Junior Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 67%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Season statistics reinforce Junior's defensive solidity, conceding less than one goal per game, and a higher shot volume indicating offensive efficiency. Chico's defensive frailty and low scoring rate highlight vulnerabilities that Junior can exploit, supporting the likelihood of a Junior victory.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Chico Over 2.5
40%Junior Over 2.5
2.8H2H avg goals
Over the last ten matches, the average goals in head-to-head encounters is 2.8, indicating moderate scoring. Junior's matches have a 40% Over 2.5 goals rate, while Chico's is 60%. This suggests a balanced tempo with potential for goals, but not a high-scoring shootout, aligning with Junior's controlled attacking style and Chico's defensive issues.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Football predictions hub

Find the latest football previews and betting angles from the main predictions hub.

More stats pages

Deportivo Pereira v JaguaresPrimera A · Sun 16 Aug 22:00America de Cali v Fortaleza FCPrimera A · Mon 17 Aug 00:05Internacional de Bogota v Independiente MedellinPrimera A · Mon 17 Aug 00:15Once Caldas v Alianza ValleduparPrimera A · Mon 17 Aug 02:15

Competition and hubs

corners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hub

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

View match centre