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Estudiantes L.P. crestEstudiantes L.P.
v
Independiente Medellin crestIndependiente Medellin

CONMEBOL Libertadores | Wed 27 May, 01:30

Estudiantes L.P. v Independiente Medellin Stats

Data last updated: Wed 10 Jun 2026, 11:18 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

face Independiente Medellin in CONMEBOL Libertadores on Wed 27 May, 01:30. come in with 6 recent points and 1 goals per match, while Independiente Medellin have 7 points and 1.2 goals per match in the same lens. In this competition context, game state, selection calls and recent rhythm matter more than a simple table position.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • At 4.33, Both Teams To Score implies roughly 23%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 76%.
  • Show a 80% BTTS rate and Independiente Medellin show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Average 1 goals scored and Independiente Medellin average 1.2, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 76% for Both Teams To Score sits against roughly 23% implied by the current price. Show a 80% BTTS rate and Independiente Medellin show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Model chance vs price76% model chance against roughly 23% implied
Strong positive
Show a 80% BTTS rate and Independiente Medellin show a.Visible data support
Positive
Average 1 goals scored and Independiente Medellin average 1.2, so.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Show a 80% BTTS rate and Independiente Medellin show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score evidence

Show a 80% BTTS rate and Independiente Medellin show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Average 1 goals scored and Independiente Medellin average 1.2, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score notes

  • Compare both teams on scoring rate and clean-sheet record before trusting Both Teams To Score.
  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Estudiantes L.P.4.2
Avg corners for
Independiente Medellin3.6
Estudiantes L.P.7.2
Avg total corners
Independiente Medellin6.6
Estudiantes L.P.4
Avg yellow cards
Independiente Medellin2.2
Estudiantes L.P.13.4
Avg shots
Independiente Medellin10.4
Best odds for this sectionOver 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · Model 75% vs implied 56% · edge +19.4 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Over 4.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 68%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 35%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Over 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 29%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 3.5 Cards needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

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Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Estudiantes L.P.1
Avg goals scored
Independiente Medellin1.2
Estudiantes L.P.1
Avg goals conceded
Independiente Medellin2
Estudiantes L.P.80%
BTTS rate
Independiente Medellin60%
Estudiantes L.P.20%
Over 2.5 goals
Independiente Medellin60%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 23% · edge +52.9 pts
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
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Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 64%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 41%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 59%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 23%
4
Check odds @ 4
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 23% · edge +52.9 pts
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
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Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Independiente Medellin Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 52%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Independiente Medellin to WinBet365 guide price · model 42%
5.25
Check odds @ 5.25
DrawBet365 guide price · model 30%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 41%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Estudiantes L.P. to WinBetMGM guide price · model 42%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Estudiantes L.P.

LDDWD
Last 51W 3D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 3D 1L
21 May 2026A Flamengo0-1
06 May 2026A Cusco1-1
30 Apr 2026H Flamengo1-1
14 Apr 2026H Cusco2-1
09 Apr 2026A Independiente Medellin1-1

Independiente Medellin

WLWLD
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 3D 2L
21 May 2026A Cusco3-2
08 May 2026H Flamengo0-3
01 May 2026H Cusco1-0
17 Apr 2026A Flamengo1-4
09 Apr 2026H Estudiantes L.P.1-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 72% vs implied 48% · edge +23.9 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
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Independiente Medellin Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 52%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Independiente Medellin to WinBet365 guide price · model 42%
5.25
Check odds @ 5.25
DrawBet365 guide price · model 30%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 72%
1.11
Check odds @ 1.11
Estudiantes L.P. to WinBetMGM guide price · model 42%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Estudiantes L.P. Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 53%
1.32
Check odds @ 1.32
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Estudiantes L.P. wins
1Draws
0Independiente Medellin wins
09 Apr 2026Independiente Medellin v Estudiantes L.P.1-1
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 23% · edge +52.9 pts
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Load more odds for this section
Independiente Medellin to WinBet365 guide price · model 42%
5.25
Check odds @ 5.25
DrawBet365 guide price · model 30%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 41%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Estudiantes L.P. to WinBetMGM guide price · model 42%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
The head-to-head sample gives context for BTTS Yes, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Season team stats

CONMEBOL Libertadores

Estudiantes L.P.6
Played
Independiente Medellin9
Estudiantes L.P.1
Avg goals for
Independiente Medellin1.2
Estudiantes L.P.0.8
Avg goals against
Independiente Medellin1.2
Estudiantes L.P.1
Clean sheets
Independiente Medellin2
Best odds for this sectionIndependiente Medellin Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 52% vs implied 30% · edge +21.8 pts
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Load more odds for this section
Independiente Medellin to WinBet365 guide price · model 42%
5.25
Check odds @ 5.25
Estudiantes L.P. to WinBetMGM guide price · model 42%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Estudiantes L.P. Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 53%
1.32
Check odds @ 1.32
Season data supports Independiente Medellin Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
2Estudiantes L.P.962311
3Independiente Medellin76213-5
CONMEBOL Libertadores standings are background only here: the useful read is whether the form and chance profile translate into control, territory and clear openings in this specific fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

20%Estudiantes L.P. Over 2.5
60%Independiente Medellin Over 2.5
2H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Estudiantes L.P. sit at 20% and Independiente Medellin sit at 60% with the H2H average at 2 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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Fixture links

Prediction context

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Betting context

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