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Wieczysta Kraków crestWieczysta Kraków
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Wisla Plock crestWisla Plock

Ekstraklasa | Fri 09 Oct, 17:00

Wieczysta Kraków v Wisla Plock Stats

Data last updated: Thu 08 Oct 2026, 09:02 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This Ekstraklasa fixture features Wieczysta Kraków hosting Wisla Plock in a contest where Wisla Plock holds a clear advantage in league standing and recent form. Wisla Plock sits 11th with 11 points, while Wieczysta Kraków is 17th with 5 points. Wisla Plock's slightly better defensive record and more consistent point accumulation suggest tactical discipline and resilience. Both teams have similar goal-scoring rates, but Wisla Plock's experience and steadier form position them as favorites in this encounter.

BT4Y best bet

Wisla Plock to Win

  • Wisla Plock ranks higher in the league and has nearly double the points of Wieczysta Kraków.
  • Wisla Plock averages slightly more shots on target per game, indicating better attacking efficiency.
  • Wieczysta Kraków concedes more goals on average, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities.
  • Recent form data shows Wisla Plock accumulating 7 points compared to Wieczysta Kraków's 2 in recent matches.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Wisla Plock to win with a 64.5% chance, reflecting their stronger league position and more consistent recent form. Wisla Plock's defensive solidity and slightly higher attacking output underpin this . The of 3.0 imply a 33.3% chance, creating a significant of 31.2%. This suggests the market underestimates Wisla Plock's likelihood of victory, making the bet attractive without price warnings. Both teams have comparable over 2.5 goal rates, but Wisla Plock's steadier form and player contributions support the win selection.

Model Chance48.3% model chance vs 33.3% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Implied Market Chance48.3% model chance vs 33.3% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Value Edge48.3% model chance vs 33.3% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Recent FormWisla Plock 7 points vs Wieczysta Kraków 2
Positive
Defensive RecordWisla Plock concedes 1.8 vs 2.0 goals per game
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Wisla Plock's superior league position and steadier recent form make them the logical choice for victory. Their ability to maintain defensive discipline while creating more quality chances than Wieczysta Kraków underpins this selection. Expect Wisla Plock to control key phases and capitalize on opponent defensive lapses to secure the win.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“Wisla Plock's consistent attacking threat combined with a more reliable defensive structure gives them a clear edge in this matchup, especially against a struggling Wieczysta Kraków side.”

Key Data Signals

Wisla Plock to Win evidence

Wisla Plock ranks higher in the league and has nearly double the points of Wieczysta Kraków.

Wisla Plock averages slightly more shots on target per game, indicating better attacking efficiency.

Wieczysta Kraków concedes more goals on average, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities.

Recent form data shows Wisla Plock accumulating 7 points compared to Wieczysta Kraków's 2 in recent matches.

What To Watch In The Data

Wisla Plock to Win notes

  • Recent trends show both teams have a 40% rate of matches finishing over 2.5 goals, indicating moderate scoring tempo.
  • The balanced goal totals suggest this fixture could see a controlled pace with moments of attacking intent, rather than a high-scoring shootout.
  • This trend supports a tactical game where Wisla Plock's efficiency may decide the outcome.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Wieczysta Kraków1
Avg goals scored
Wisla Plock1.2
Wieczysta Kraków2
Avg goals conceded
Wisla Plock1.8
Wieczysta Kraków60%
BTTS rate
Wisla Plock40%
Wieczysta Kraków40%
Over 2.5 goals
Wisla Plock40%
Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · Model 56% vs implied 48% · edge +8.2 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 48%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 37%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 30%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Both teams have a 40% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals and differing BTTS rates, with Wieczysta Kraków at 60% and Wisla Plock at 40%. This suggests a moderate likelihood of goals but a less consistent pattern of both teams scoring. The goal-scoring profiles indicate a balanced game with potential for decisive moments rather than high-scoring openness.

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickWisla Plock to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 48% vs implied 33% · edge +15 pts
3
Check odds @ 3
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Wisla Plock Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 62%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 72%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 48%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
The 48.3% for Wisla Plock to Win sits against roughly 33.3% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Wisla Plock have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 2 for Wieczysta Kraków.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Wieczysta Kraków

DLDLL
Last 50W 2D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 2D 5L
18 Sep 2026A Widzew Łódź2-2
13 Sep 2026A Pogon Szczecin0-2
07 Sep 2026H Zaglebie Lubin1-1
29 Aug 2026A Wisla Krakow0-2
21 Aug 2026A Cracovia Krakow2-3

Wisla Plock

WWDLL
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 2D 3L
20 Sep 2026A Zaglebie Lubin2-0
13 Sep 2026H Cracovia Krakow3-1
07 Sep 2026A Pogon Szczecin1-1
28 Aug 2026H Korona Kielce0-2
23 Aug 2026A GKS Katowice0-5
Market aligned with main pickWisla Plock to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 48% vs implied 33% · edge +15 pts
3
Check odds @ 3
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Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 77%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Wisla Plock Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 62%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Wisla Plock's recent form shows 7 points gained compared to Wieczysta Kraków's 2, reflecting better momentum and match control. Wisla Plock's ability to secure points consistently indicates tactical stability and effective execution, while Wieczysta Kraków struggles to convert opportunities into results, suggesting vulnerability under pressure.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Wieczysta Kraków Over 2.5
40%Wisla Plock Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Recent trends show both teams have a 40% rate of matches finishing over 2.5 goals, indicating moderate scoring tempo. The balanced goal totals suggest this fixture could see a controlled pace with moments of attacking intent, rather than a high-scoring shootout. This trend supports a tactical game where Wisla Plock's efficiency may decide the outcome.

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