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Wieczysta Kraków crestWieczysta Kraków
v
Wisla Plock crestWisla Plock

Ekstraklasa | Fri 09 Oct, 17:00

Wieczysta Kraków v Wisla Plock Stats

Data last updated: Sat 31 Oct 2026, 20:29 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Wieczysta Kraków face Wisla Plock in Ekstraklasa on Fri 09 Oct, 17:00. Wieczysta Krakow vs Wisla Plock Preview: Visitors Target Third Straight League Win. Defensive fragility on both sides makes this narrow scoreline credible despite Wieczysta’s recent winless run.

BT4Y lean · price warning

Over 2

  • At 7/10, Over 2 implies roughly 59%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 48%.
  • Over 2.5 Goals is advised as Wieczysta combine steady attacking output with significant defensive frailty, conceding 17 goals in eight matches.
  • The Over 2.5 trend is 40% for Wieczysta Kraków and 40% for Wisla Plock, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
  • Wisla Plock are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.2 goals per match, with Wieczysta Kraków at 1.
  • BTTS rates of 60% for Wieczysta Kraków and 40% for Wisla Plock show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.
Price warning

Over 2 is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 59% while the model sits nearer 48% (-10.5 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Wisla Plock Draw No Bet shows a +15 pts edge at 2.15.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The 48% for Over 2 sits against roughly 59% implied by the current price. The Over 2.5 trend is 40% for Wieczysta Kraków and 40% for Wisla Plock, so the goals angle is not just a price call. Over 2.5 Goals is advised as Wieczysta combine steady attacking output with significant defensive frailty, conceding 17 goals in eight matches.

Model chance vs price48% model chance against roughly 59% implied
Negative
The Over 2.5 trend is 40% for Wieczysta Kraków.Visible data support
Positive
Wisla Plock are carrying more of the scoring load at.Visible data support
Positive
Over 2.5 Goals is advised as Wieczysta combine steady.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Over that scoring level is the preferred angle because over 2.5 Goals is advised as Wieczysta combine steady attacking output with significant defensive frailty, conceding that scoring level in eight matches. The Over 2.5 trend is 40% for Wieczysta Kraków and 40% for Wisla Plock, so the goals angle is not just a price call. However, Wieczysta's metrics highlight a team capable of controlling passages of play, while Wisla remain defensively vulnerable on the road.

Main risk

However, Wieczysta's metrics highlight a team capable of controlling passages of play, while Wisla remain defensively vulnerable on the road.

Key Data Signals

Over 2 evidence

Over 2.5 Goals is advised as Wieczysta combine steady attacking output with significant defensive frailty, conceding 17 goals.

The Over 2.5 trend is 40% for Wieczysta Kraków and 40% for Wisla Plock, so the goals angle is not just a price call.

Wisla Plock are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.2 goals per match, with Wieczysta Kraków at 1.

BTTS rates of 60% for Wieczysta Kraków and 40% for Wisla Plock show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2 notes

  • Use the last-five and H2H goal samples to judge whether Over 2.5 has a tempo route, not just a historical average.
  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Wieczysta Kraków1
Avg goals scored
Wisla Plock1.2
Wieczysta Kraków2
Avg goals conceded
Wisla Plock1.8
Wieczysta Kraków60%
BTTS rate
Wisla Plock40%
Wieczysta Kraków40%
Over 2.5 goals
Wisla Plock40%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 48% vs implied 59% · edge -10.5 pts
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 56%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 37%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 30%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Over 2.5 Goals does not fully support the current price: recent Over 2.5 rates are 40% for Wieczysta Kraków and 40% for Wisla Plock, so the goals line needs support from both scoring profiles.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 48% vs implied 59% · edge -10.5 pts
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Load more odds for this section
Wisla Plock Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 62%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Wisla Plock to WinBetMGM guide price · model 48%
3
Check odds @ 3
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Wieczysta Kraków Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.68
Check odds @ 1.68
DrawBet365 guide price · model 23%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Over 2.5 Goals is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Wieczysta Kraków

DLDLL
Last 50W 2D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 2D 5L
18 Sep 2026A Widzew Łódź2-2
13 Sep 2026A Pogon Szczecin0-2
07 Sep 2026H Zaglebie Lubin1-1
29 Aug 2026A Wisla Krakow0-2
21 Aug 2026A Cracovia Krakow2-3

Wisla Plock

WWDLL
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 2D 3L
20 Sep 2026A Zaglebie Lubin2-0
13 Sep 2026H Cracovia Krakow3-1
07 Sep 2026A Pogon Szczecin1-1
28 Aug 2026H Korona Kielce0-2
23 Aug 2026A GKS Katowice0-5
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 77% vs implied 62% · edge +15 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Load more odds for this section
Wisla Plock Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 62%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Wisla Plock to WinBetMGM guide price · model 48%
3
Check odds @ 3
Wieczysta Kraków Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.68
Check odds @ 1.68
DrawBet365 guide price · model 23%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 50%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Wieczysta Kraków to WinBetUK guide price · model 27%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Wieczysta Kraków Over 2.5
40%Wisla Plock Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Wieczysta Kraków sit at 40% and Wisla Plock sit at 40%, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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