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SK Beveren crestSK Beveren
v
Lommel United crestLommel United

Jupiler Pro League | Fri 09 Oct, 19:45

SK Beveren v Lommel United Stats

Data last updated: Thu 08 Oct 2026, 08:56 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

SK Beveren hosts Lommel United in a Jupiler Pro League clash where both teams show moderate attacking intent but contrasting defensive solidity. SK Beveren has conceded 1.8 goals per game, indicating defensive vulnerabilities that could lead to more attacking phases and set-piece opportunities. Lommel United, with a slightly better defensive record, still averages four corners per match, suggesting active wing play. Recent form shows both sides have low goal output but maintain steady pressure, hinting at a contest with frequent territorial exchanges and set-piece battles. The corner count is expected to be high due to these tactical dynamics and open play.

BT4Y best bet

Over 9.5 Corners

  • SK Beveren averages 5.4 corners per game, Lommel United 4.0, combining for over 9.5 corners on average.
  • Both teams have similar shot volumes, around 10.7 per game, indicating active offensive phases.
  • Recent matches show SK Beveren concedes 1.8 goals per game, leading to more defensive pressure and likely more corners.
  • Neither team has scored many goals recently, but their attacking pressure creates corner opportunities.
  • The model estimates a 62.6% chance for over 9.5 corners, slightly above the market implied chance, indicating value.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Over 9.5 Corners with a 62.6% chance, supported by both teams' average corner counts and active attacking play. SK Beveren's defensive lapses and Lommel United's wing activity contribute to frequent corner situations. The combined average corners per match exceed the 9.5 threshold, reinforcing the bet's appeal. No data limitations or price warnings reduce , making this a solid corner market selection with standard stake guidance.

Average Corners per Game9.4 combined (5.4 + 4.0)
Strong positive
Shot VolumeApprox. 10.7 shots per team per game
Positive
Defensive VulnerabilitySK Beveren concedes 1.8 goals per game
Positive
Model Chance vs Implied Chance62.6% model chance vs 61.7% implied (+0.9 pts)
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect a match with sustained wing play and territorial battles leading to numerous corners. SK Beveren's defensive openness and Lommel United's attacking intent create a scenario ripe for set-piece situations. The corner count should surpass 9.5 as both teams seek to exploit flanks and generate pressure.

Main risk

Corner volume can be sterile if territory does not become shots, crosses or repeat box entries.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Corners market

“The corner market stands out here due to SK Beveren’s defensive tendencies and Lommel United’s active wing play, which typically generate frequent corners. This fixture’s tactical balance suggests a lively contest with plenty of set-piece chances.”

Key Data Signals

Over 9.5 Corners evidence

SK Beveren averages 5.4 corners per game, Lommel United 4.0, combining for over 9.5 corners on average.

Both teams have similar shot volumes, around 10.7 per game, indicating active offensive phases.

Recent matches show SK Beveren concedes 1.8 goals per game, leading to more defensive pressure and likely more corners.

Neither team has scored many goals recently, but their attacking pressure creates corner opportunities.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 9.5 Corners notes

  • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals tally is 3.1, suggesting open games.
  • Although this fixture’s focus is corners, the tempo and attacking exchanges reflected in these goal trends imply frequent wing play and set-piece situations that drive corner counts above 9.5.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

SK Beveren1
Avg goals scored
Lommel United1
SK Beveren1.8
Avg goals conceded
Lommel United1.2
SK Beveren0%
BTTS rate
Lommel United0%
SK Beveren60%
Over 2.5 goals
Lommel United40%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS NoBet365 guide price · Model 61% vs implied 46% · edge +15 pts
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
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Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 51%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 71%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 53%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 35%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 32%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Both teams have low recent goal tallies and 0% BTTS rates, indicating tight defenses or low scoring. However, the attacking pressure and shot volumes suggest open play phases that produce corners rather than goals, supporting a corner-focused market rather than goal-based bets.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

SK Beveren

LWWLL
Last 52W 0D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 0D 4L
20 Sep 2026A Kortrijk0-1
12 Sep 2026H St. Truiden2-0
06 Sep 2026H OH Leuven3-0
28 Aug 2026A Genk0-4
22 Aug 2026A Zulte Waregem0-4

Lommel United

DLLWW
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 2D 3L
19 Sep 2026H KV Mechelen0-0
12 Sep 2026A Union St. Gilloise0-5
04 Sep 2026H Club Brugge KV0-1
29 Aug 2026A Cercle Brugge1-0
23 Aug 2026H KVC Westerlo4-0
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 66% vs implied 51% · edge +15 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
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Lommel United Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 54%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Lommel United to WinBet365 guide price · model 41%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
DrawBet365 guide price · model 28%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 64%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
SK Beveren Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 46%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
SK Beveren to WinBetfred guide price · model 36%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Recent form shows SK Beveren with 6 points and Lommel United with 7 points, both scoring just 1 goal in their last matches but maintaining high corner averages. SK Beveren’s 60% over 2.5 goals rate contrasts with Lommel’s 40%, but both teams consistently generate corners, reinforcing the likelihood of surpassing 9.5 corners in this fixture.

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Useful next reads

corners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionLommel United Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 54% vs implied 39% · edge +15 pts
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
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Lommel United to WinBet365 guide price · model 41%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 69%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 53%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
DrawBet365 guide price · model 28%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
SK Beveren Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 46%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
SK Beveren to WinBetfred guide price · model 36%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
The 62.6% for Over 9.5 Corners sits against roughly 61.7% implied by the current price (+0.9 pts). SK Beveren lead the corner sample at 5.4 per match, with Lommel United lower at 4.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%SK Beveren Over 2.5
40%Lommel United Over 2.5
3.1H2H avg goals
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals tally is 3.1, suggesting open games. Although this fixture’s focus is corners, the tempo and attacking exchanges reflected in these goal trends imply frequent wing play and set-piece situations that drive corner counts above 9.5.

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